Hockey results Wednesday 28 October 2026: AI predictions review

Wednesday's 11-game NHL slate was a rough night for the results desk. The 10-model consensus finished 5 of 11, a record that flatters the process in places and undersells how badly it broke in others. Five of the six misses arrived on picks backed by at least 90 per cent of the models, and three of those were unanimous.

The biggest surprise came in Chicago, where all 10 models backed Los Angeles Kings to win — most of them by a 3-4 scoreline — and the Blackhawks won 2-1 instead. That was the day's most confident wrong call at an average confidence of 61 per cent. St. Louis and Utah were the other unanimous misses.

Full-time scenes from an 11-game NHL night that produced five correct consensus calls.

Where the AI got it right

The consensus held firm in Carolina, where Carolina Hurricanes vs Boston Bruins prediction drew 90 per cent support. The models leaned Hurricanes at an average confidence of 57 per cent and the most common score of 4-3 was too generous, but the winner was right: Carolina took it 2-1.

Vancouver was the day's tightest correct call. Only 70 per cent of models backed the Canucks in Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, with an average confidence of 56 per cent and a most common score of 4-5. The game delivered 11 goals and the Canucks edged it 6-5 — the exact scoreline was missed, the result was not.

Vegas was more straightforward. Vegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators prediction carried 80 per cent support at 56 per cent average confidence, and the Golden Knights won 4-1, comfortably clearing a consensus that had expected a 4-3 game.

Buffalo and Washington completed the correct column. San Jose Sharks vs Buffalo Sabres prediction was backed by 90 per cent of models at 59 per cent confidence; the Sabres won 2-0, a shutout against a consensus that had forecast a 4-5 shootout. Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction was the day's most confident correct call: unanimous at 62 per cent average confidence, and the Capitals won 5-2, one goal better than the predicted 4-2.

Where it got it wrong

Chicago was the headline failure. Every model picked Los Angeles in Chicago Blackhawks vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, the most common score was 3-4, and average confidence reached 61 per cent. The Blackhawks won 2-1.

St. Louis and Nashville were also unanimous, and both were wrong. In St. Louis Blues vs Montreal Canadiens prediction, 100 per cent of models backed the Blues at 59 per cent confidence with a 3-2 scoreline; Montreal won 2-0. In Nashville Predators vs New York Islanders prediction, the same unanimity at 57 per cent pointed to a 3-2 Predators win; the Islanders took it 4-3.

Utah made it four unanimous misses. Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction was a 100 per cent pick at 59 per cent confidence with a 4-2 forecast; the Wild won 3-1. The two remaining misses were less emphatic in the vote but no less costly. Winnipeg drew 80 per cent support at 56 per cent confidence in Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers prediction, and Florida won 5-1. Dallas was backed by 90 per cent at 56 per cent in Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils prediction; New Jersey won 5-1.

Models of the day

Kimi K3 topped the table with 6 of 11 correct, the only model to beat the consensus figure. Five models landed exactly on the consensus at 5 of 11: GPT-5.6 Luna, Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.8 Flash.

Three models finished below the line at 4 of 11: Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.6 Pro and GLM 5.3. Claude Sonnet 5 was the day's weakest performer at 3 of 11, three short of the consensus and half the tally of the leading model.

Full results

• NHL: St. Louis Blues 0-2 Montreal Canadiens — consensus St. Louis Blues win (100%) WRONG
• NHL: Winnipeg Jets 1-5 Florida Panthers — consensus Winnipeg Jets win (80%) WRONG
• NHL: Carolina Hurricanes 2-1 Boston Bruins — consensus Carolina Hurricanes win (90%) RIGHT
• NHL: Nashville Predators 3-4 New York Islanders — consensus Nashville Predators win (100%) WRONG
• NHL: Dallas Stars 1-5 New Jersey Devils — consensus Dallas Stars win (90%) WRONG
• NHL: Chicago Blackhawks 2-1 Los Angeles Kings — consensus Los Angeles Kings win (100%) WRONG
• NHL: Utah Mammoth 1-3 Minnesota Wild — consensus Utah Mammoth win (100%) WRONG
• NHL: Anaheim Ducks 5-6 Vancouver Canucks — consensus Vancouver Canucks win (70%) RIGHT
• NHL: Vegas Golden Knights 4-1 Ottawa Senators — consensus Vegas Golden Knights win (80%) RIGHT
• NHL: San Jose Sharks 0-2 Buffalo Sabres — consensus Buffalo Sabres win (90%) RIGHT
• NHL: Washington Capitals 5-2 Philadelphia Flyers — consensus Washington Capitals win (100%) RIGHT

The lesson from Wednesday is that unanimity was not a signal of safety: four 100 per cent picks produced three losses. Thursday's slate is already through the models, with full picks, scorelines and confidence levels on the today's hockey predictions page.

Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.