Football results Tuesday 27 October 2026: AI predictions review

Tuesday's card ran to 35 matches across the Copa del Rey, DFB Pokal, League Cup, Serie A, Allsvenskan, Argentina and Saudi Arabia, and the ten-model consensus finished the night with 22 of 35 correct. That is a respectable return on a schedule dominated by cup ties, where rotation and lower-league hosts routinely scramble the form book.

The biggest surprise came at Fleetwood Town, where all ten models backed Arsenal and the tie finished 1-1. The day's other headline miss was in Spain, where Sestao River beat Espanyol 4-3 despite a unanimous consensus for the visitors. The models were at their most assured in Germany and in Serie A, where the leading sides largely delivered.

Cup night: the lower-league hosts who overturned the consensus on Tuesday.

Where the AI got it right

The clearest call of the day came in the Copa del Rey, where Villarreal were backed by all ten models at an average confidence of 70% and duly won 5-0 at Manacor. The consensus scoreline was 0-3; the margin was wider still.

In the DFB Pokal, Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction was a unanimous pick at 59% average confidence with 2-0 the most common score. Dortmund won 3-2, a tighter game than forecast but the right result. Borussia Mönchengladbach were also backed by all ten at 59% and beat Karlsruher SC 2-0, matching the consensus scoreline exactly.

Serie A produced three hits from three. Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction was unanimous at 62% and Lazio ran out 6-2 winners, well beyond the predicted 0-2. Roma were equally unanimous at 59% and beat Cagliari 4-2, while Como carried only 50% of the vote at 43% confidence and still won 3-1 at Torino.

Elsewhere, Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano prediction landed: all ten models called a Rayo win at 58% and the visitors came through 3-2. Zaragoza's 4-0 win at Tudelano and Las Palmas' 3-1 win at RSD Alcalá were also unanimous correct calls.

Where it got it wrong

The standout miss was at Fleetwood, where the consensus was Arsenal at 100% with 67% average confidence — the joint-highest confidence figure of the day — and the tie ended 1-1. Sestao River's 4-3 win over Espanyol was the other unanimous failure, with all ten models on the La Liga side at 61% and 0-2 the favoured score.

Several other unanimous picks fell short. AIK Stockholm 2-2 IF Elfsborg went against a 100% Elfsborg consensus at 48%; Llanera held Ponferradina 1-1 against a unanimous call at 56%; Atlético Tordesillas drew 3-3 with Mirandés; Atlético Paso beat Córdoba 3-1; and VfL Bochum beat Mainz 2-0 against a unanimous Mainz vote at 54%.

Among the split decisions, Calamocha lost 0-3 to Europa FC despite a 50% plurality for the hosts, and SV Elversberg went down 0-2 to Darmstadt on a 50% split. Arosa's 2-0 win over Pontevedra defied a 90% consensus at 52%, Bradford beat Peterborough 2-0 against a 60% pick, and Don Benito lost 2-4 to Extremadura 1924. Manresa 2-2 Sant Andreu also went the wrong way.

Models of the day

Claude Sonnet 5 topped the table with 25 of 35 correct, three clear of the consensus and the only model to reach 25. Kimi K3 finished second on 23, one better than the field average.

Three models tied on 21 — Mistral Medium 3.5, Grok 4.6 and GLM 5.3 — while GPT-5.6 Luna, MiMo V2.6 Pro and Gemini 3.8 Flash each recorded 20. DeepSeek V4 Pro managed 19 and Qwen 3.8 Max brought up the rear on 18, four adrift of the leader and four below the consensus.

Full results

• Allsvenskan: AIK Stockholm 2-2 IF Elfsborg — consensus IF Elfsborg win (100%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Cuarte 0-2 Girona — consensus Girona win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Sestao River 4-3 Espanyol — consensus Espanyol win (100%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Calamocha 0-3 Europa FC — consensus Calamocha win (50%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Pinatar 1-3 Elche — consensus Elche win (90%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Castellonense 1-2 Almeria — consensus Almeria win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: RSD Alcalá 1-3 Las Palmas — consensus Las Palmas win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Llanera 1-1 Ponferradina — consensus Ponferradina win (100%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Cultural Leonesa — consensus Cultural Leonesa win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Ciudad de Lucena 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda — consensus Rayo Majadahonda win (80%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Atlético Tordesillas 3-3 Mirandes — consensus Mirandes win (100%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Manresa 2-2 Sant Andreu — consensus Sant Andreu win (60%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Don Benito 2-4 Extremadura 1924 — consensus Don Benito win (60%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Recreativo Huelva 2-3 Rayo Vallecano — consensus Rayo Vallecano win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Manacor 0-5 Villarreal — consensus Villarreal win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Alcazar 0-3 Malaga — consensus Malaga win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Arosa 2-0 Pontevedra — consensus Pontevedra win (90%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Atlético Paso 3-1 Cordoba — consensus Cordoba win (100%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Tudelano 0-4 Zaragoza — consensus Zaragoza win (100%) RIGHT
• DFB Pokal: Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 RB Leipzig — consensus RB Leipzig win (100%) RIGHT
• DFB Pokal: Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt — consensus Eintracht Frankfurt win (60%) RIGHT
• DFB Pokal: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-4 FC Augsburg — consensus FC Augsburg win (100%) RIGHT
• DFB Pokal: VfL Bochum 2-0 FSV Mainz 05 — consensus FSV Mainz 05 win (100%) WRONG
• DFB Pokal: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 Karlsruher SC — consensus Borussia Mönchengladbach win (100%) RIGHT
• DFB Pokal: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder Bremen — consensus Borussia Dortmund win (100%) RIGHT
• DFB Pokal: SV Elversberg 0-2 SV Darmstadt 98 — consensus SV Elversberg win (50%) WRONG
• DFB Pokal: 1. FC Köln 5-0 Union Berlin — consensus 1. FC Köln win (40%) RIGHT
• League Cup: Bradford 2-0 Peterborough — consensus Peterborough win (60%) WRONG
• League Cup: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Arsenal — consensus Arsenal win (100%) WRONG
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Deportivo Riestra — consensus Instituto Cordoba win (100%) RIGHT
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Argentinos JRS 1-0 Independ. Rivadavia — consensus Argentinos JRS win (90%) RIGHT
• Pro League: Abha 0-1 Al-Faisaly FC — consensus Al-Faisaly FC win (90%) RIGHT
• Serie A: Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio — consensus Lazio win (100%) RIGHT
• Serie A: Torino 1-3 Como — consensus Como win (50%) RIGHT
• Serie A: AS Roma 4-2 Cagliari — consensus AS Roma win (100%) RIGHT

The next round of fixtures is already through the models. Today's predictions, with every consensus pick and confidence figure, are live on the TuringStats predictions page.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.