Is DeepSeek good at predictions?
Updated 22 October 2026
Short answer
Yes, and it is cheap. On 1,490 graded football matches DeepSeek picked the right result 49.4% of the time (Claude 51.7%, GPT 47.2%). On prediction-market questions the model closest to the market most often so far is DeepSeek V4 Pro, beating the market price on 21 of 41 resolved questions.
Football
| Model | Right result |
|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 49.4% |
| Claude | 51.7% |
| GPT | 47.2% |
| Grok | 48.7% |
| Gemini | 49.4% |
Prediction markets
Blind to the price, the AI average picked the right side 70.7% of the time against 75.6% for the market on 41 questions. Live: AI vs Polymarket and Kalshi.
Questions
Is DeepSeek better than ChatGPT at predictions?
On our football record DeepSeek 49.4% vs GPT 47.2%. Both are beaten by ten models agreeing (62.4%).
Ask 10 AIs before your next match.
Free picks for every match, every model graded, and your own questions answered by the whole council.