Which AI is best at predicting football?
Updated 16 October 2026
Right now Claude Sonnet 5 leads, picking the right result in 51.6% of 1,372 graded football matches. The gap is small: the ten models range from 45.9% to 51.6%. The bigger edge comes from combining them: when all ten agree they are right 62.4% of the time.
Current ranking
| # | Model | Right result | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Sonnet 5 | 51.6% | 1,372 |
| 2 | DeepSeek V4 Pro | 49.5% | 1,372 |
| 3 | Gemini 3.8 Flash | 48.9% | 1,371 |
| 4 | Grok 4.6 | 48.4% | 1,372 |
| 5 | Qwen 3.8 Max | 48.2% | 1,372 |
| 6 | Mistral Medium 3.5 | 47.6% | 1,372 |
| 7 | GPT-5.6 Luna | 47.1% | 1,372 |
| 8 | MiMo V2.5 Pro | 45.9% | 1,372 |
| 9 | Kimi K3 | 48% | 809 |
| 10 | GLM 5.3 | 47.8% | 809 |
Updated after every finished match. The live leaderboard also covers the NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB.
Why the best model is not the whole story
Leads change. Over a few hundred matches the gap between models is a few points, small enough that luck plays a part. What holds up is agreement: unanimous calls beat every individual model. That is why TuringStats shows all ten votes rather than picking a favourite.
Questions
Is Claude or ChatGPT better at football predictions?
In our current record Claude Sonnet 5 leads and GPT sits at 47.1%. Check the live leaderboard; the order moves as results come in.
Ask 10 AIs before your next match.
Free picks for every match, every model graded, and your own questions answered by the whole council.