AI predictions for Kalshi markets
Updated 22 October 2026
Every day 10 AI models forecast the most-traded Kalshi questions, from economics to sports, without seeing the price. On resolved Kalshi questions the AIs picked the right side 10 of 15 times, against 10 of 15 for the market favourite.
What you see for each market
- The Kalshi question and its rules summary.
- Each AI model's Yes or No with a probability and a one-line reason.
- The AI average next to the market price, and how far apart they are.
- After resolution: who was closer, the AIs or the market.
Why blind forecasts matter
If the models saw the price they would anchor on it. Blind, they give an independent view: on 31 of 41 questions they still landed within 15 points of the market, and when they were confident they were right 11 of 12 times.
Questions
Which AI is best at Kalshi-style questions?
DeepSeek V4 Pro has beaten the market price on 21 of 41 resolved questions, the most of the 10 models. Full table on AI vs markets.
Can I trade from TuringStats?
No. It is information only, with no trading and no financial advice.
Ask 10 AIs before your next match.
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