Results
Hockey results Wednesday 4 November 2026: AI predictions review
Hockey results Wednesday 4 November 2026: the AI consensus went 5 of 11 across an 11-game NHL slate, with Columbus 7-2 Colorado the night's biggest upset.
Eleven NHL games, ten frontier models, one shared verdict before each puck drop. The consensus finished Wednesday 4 November 2026 with 5 of 11 correct — a night that started with three straight clean hits in the early window and then unravelled as underdogs kept finding the net.
The biggest surprise of the slate was in Columbus, where the Blue Jackets beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-2. All 10 models had backed Colorado, with a 2-4 scoreline as the most common call and an average confidence of 63%, the second-highest of the night. It was wrong by five goals.
Wednesday's slate produced 11 games and a 5-of-11 consensus record.
Where the AI got it right
Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars prediction: the models were unanimous on a Dallas win and the Stars delivered, edging a wild one 6-5. The most common score call was 3-4, so the margin was light, but the result held. Average confidence 59%.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction: another 10-of-10 consensus, this time on Vegas. The Golden Knights won 3-2, close to the 4-5 most common scoreline in outcome if not in shape. Average confidence 60%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings prediction: the cleanest hit of the night. Tampa Bay won 4-2, matching the most common score call exactly, with all 10 models on the Lightning at 60% average confidence.
New York Rangers vs St. Louis Blues prediction: the Rangers won 3-1 against a 3-2 most common call, with the full 10-model panel behind them at 57% average confidence.
New Jersey Devils vs Edmonton Oilers prediction: the Devils took it 4-3, one goal off the 3-2 consensus scoreline. Unanimous pick, 56% average confidence.
Where it got it wrong
The misses came in clusters, and several were emphatic. In Montreal, 100% of the panel backed the Canadiens at 58% average confidence with a 3-2 scoreline; the Winnipeg Jets won 4-5 instead.
Nashville produced the night's highest-confidence failure. All 10 models picked Carolina at 64% average confidence with a 2-4 call, and the Predators won 4-1. Vancouver was similarly undone: a unanimous Canucks pick at 59% and a 4-3 most common score, before Anaheim won 4-5.
Two calls were split rather than unanimous, and both went the wrong way. Toronto drew 70% of the panel at 55% average confidence with a 4-3 call; Utah Mammoth won 2-3. Philadelphia drew 80% at 56% with a 3-2 call; Minnesota won 2-4.
Then came Columbus, the heaviest defeat of the slate: Colorado backed by all 10 at 63%, beaten 7-2.
Models of the day
Claude Sonnet 5.5 topped the table with 7 of 11 correct, two clear of the field on a difficult night. DeepSeek V4 Pro, Gemini 3.8 Flash and Meta Muse Spark 1.3 each finished on 6 of 11.
The remaining six models — GPT-6 Luna, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.6 Pro, Grok 4.7, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3 — all landed on 5 of 11. No model fell below the consensus line, and the spread from best to worst was just two matches.
Full results
- NHL: Washington Capitals 5–6 Dallas Stars — consensus Dallas Stars win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins 2–3 Vegas Golden Knights — consensus Vegas Golden Knights win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning 4–2 Detroit Red Wings — consensus Tampa Bay Lightning win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs 2–3 Utah Mammoth — consensus Toronto Maple Leafs win (70%) WRONG
- NHL: Philadelphia Flyers 2–4 Minnesota Wild — consensus Philadelphia Flyers win (80%) WRONG
- NHL: Montreal Canadiens 4–5 Winnipeg Jets — consensus Montreal Canadiens win (100%) WRONG
- NHL: Columbus Blue Jackets 7–2 Colorado Avalanche — consensus Colorado Avalanche win (100%) WRONG
- NHL: New York Rangers 3–1 St. Louis Blues — consensus New York Rangers win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: New Jersey Devils 4–3 Edmonton Oilers — consensus New Jersey Devils win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Nashville Predators 4–1 Carolina Hurricanes — consensus Carolina Hurricanes win (100%) WRONG
- NHL: Vancouver Canucks 4–5 Anaheim Ducks — consensus Vancouver Canucks win (100%) WRONG
The lesson from Wednesday is that unanimity was no guarantee: six of the seven unanimous picks went to the models, but the one that did not — Columbus — was among the most confident calls of the night. Today's slate is already processed and graded by the same ten-model panel; the full board is on the hockey predictions for today page.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
