Football results Tuesday 3 November 2026: AI predictions review

Ten frontier models ran 25 fixtures through the TuringStats engine before kickoff on Tuesday 3 November 2026, and the consensus finished the day with 16 of 25 correct. It was a night that rewarded the confident calls in Europe and punished the models in English football's second tier, where the Championship delivered a string of upsets that no model saw coming.

The biggest surprise arrived in the Champions League, where Galatasaray beat VfB Stuttgart 2-0 despite 90% of models backing the German side. The Championship was worse still: Blackburn, QPR and Portsmouth all produced results against the consensus, and seven of the ten second-tier calls went the wrong way.

Full time on a 25-fixture night: the consensus landed 16 of 25 calls.

Where the AI got it right

Sirius vs Halmstad was the day's cleanest call. All 10 models backed a Sirius win, the most common score was 2-0 and the average confidence sat at 64%. Sirius delivered exactly that scoreline, and the consensus took the points without a flicker. Sirius vs Halmstad prediction

Preston vs Sheffield Utd was another unanimous pick, with 100% of models on the away win and a most common score of 1-2. The actual 2-3 was a goal-fest but the direction was correct, and the 53% average confidence was rewarded. Preston vs Sheffield Utd prediction

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München looked like the day's trickiest European call at 70% consensus and just 42% average confidence. Bayern won 2-0, and the most common predicted score of 1-1 was off only on the margin. Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München prediction

Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain was a rout the models saw coming. All 10 backed PSG at 57% average confidence, with 1-2 the most popular score, but the French side ran out 6-0 winners. The direction was right; the scale was not. Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Derby vs Norwich was the models' most impressive Championship read. Only 50% backed Norwich at 42% average confidence, and the Canaries delivered a 4-0 away win that few humans would have called. Derby vs Norwich prediction

Where it got it wrong

The Championship did the damage. Charlton vs Bolton saw 80% of models back Charlton at 44% average confidence; Bolton won 1-0. Watford vs Lincoln drew an 80% Lincoln consensus at 42%; Watford won 1-0. Blackburn vs Stoke City had 90% on Blackburn at 40%; Stoke won 2-1.

The heaviest miss of the day came at QPR vs Burnley, where all 10 models backed a QPR win at 54% average confidence and a 2-1 scoreline. It finished 1-1. Portsmouth vs Swansea split the models at 50% for Swansea, and Portsmouth won 3-1. West Brom vs Southampton drew a 70% Southampton consensus; it ended 1-1.

In Europe, Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart was the standout failure: 90% of models backed Stuttgart at 50% average confidence and the Turkish side won 2-0. Bodo/Glimt vs Lille was unanimous at 100% for a Bodo/Glimt win at 59% average confidence, the highest of any wrong call; it finished 0-0. Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional saw 90% on the visitors at 49%; it ended 1-1.

Models of the day

Claude Sonnet 5.5 topped the table with 16 of 25 correct, matching the consensus exactly and avoiding any solo missteps. MiMo V2.6 Pro and Kimi K3 followed on 15 of 25.

A cluster of five models landed on 14: Mistral Medium 3.5 (14 of 22), GPT-6 Luna, Grok 4.7, Gemini 3.8 Flash and GLM 5.3, all 14 of 25. DeepSeek V4 Pro and Qwen 3.8 Max managed 13 of 25, and Meta Muse Spark 1.3 propped up the list with 12 of 25.

Full results

• Allsvenskan: Sirius 2-0 Halmstad — consensus Sirius win (100%) RIGHT
• Championship: Charlton 0-1 Bolton — consensus Charlton win (80%) WRONG
• Championship: Watford 1-0 Lincoln — consensus Lincoln win (80%) WRONG
• Championship: Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City — consensus Blackburn win (90%) WRONG
• Championship: Derby 0-4 Norwich — consensus Norwich win (50%) RIGHT
• Championship: Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea — consensus Swansea win (50%) WRONG
• Championship: Preston 2-3 Sheffield Utd — consensus Sheffield Utd win (100%) RIGHT
• Championship: QPR 1-1 Burnley — consensus QPR win (100%) WRONG
• Championship: West Brom 1-1 Southampton — consensus Southampton win (70%) WRONG
• Championship: Birmingham 3-0 Millwall — consensus Birmingham win (90%) RIGHT
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Independ. Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield — consensus Independ. Rivadavia win (100%) RIGHT
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos JRS — consensus Argentinos JRS win (100%) RIGHT
• Primera A: Bucaramanga 1-1 Atletico Nacional — consensus Atletico Nacional win (90%) WRONG
• Primera A: Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima — consensus Deportes Tolima win (50%) RIGHT
• Primera A: Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Jaguares — consensus Deportivo Pasto win (100%) RIGHT
• Serie A: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol — consensus Mirassol win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting CP — consensus Sporting CP win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Galatasaray 2-0 VfB Stuttgart — consensus VfB Stuttgart win (90%) WRONG
• UEFA Champions League: Atletico Madrid 0-2 Bayern München — consensus Bayern München win (70%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa — consensus Barcelona win (90%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Bodo/Glimt 0-0 Lille — consensus Bodo/Glimt win (100%) WRONG
• UEFA Champions League: Feyenoord 0-3 Inter — consensus Inter win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Lask Linz 4-0 Slovan Bratislava — consensus Lask Linz win (80%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Manchester United 3-2 AS Roma — consensus Manchester United win (50%) RIGHT
• UEFA Champions League: Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint Germain — consensus Paris Saint Germain win (100%) RIGHT

The next round of fixtures is already loaded. All ten models have submitted their calls for today's matches, with consensus numbers, most common scores and confidence levels available on the today's predictions page.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.