Results
NFL results Sunday 11 October 2026: AI predictions review
NFL results Sunday 11 October 2026: our AI models went 8 of 12, including a 100% consensus miss on Eagles-Jaguars. Full review and model tallies.
Sunday 11 October 2026 delivered a 12-game NFL slate and a solid but imperfect day for the TuringStats consensus. The ten-model panel finished 8 of 12, with four unanimous or near-unanimous calls going astray.
The biggest surprise came in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars edged the Philadelphia Eagles 19–17. All ten models had backed Philadelphia, most commonly at 27–28, with an average confidence of 58%. It was one of four misses on a day when the panel was right more often than not, but rarely at its most assured.
Where the AI got it right
Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans prediction: The Texans were a unanimous pick across all ten models, and Houston delivered a 26–3 win. The most common scoreline was 24–25, so the margin was larger than expected, but the direction was never in doubt.
Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction: Cincinnati carried 70% of the models' support and won 31–24. The panel's most common score was 24–27, close to the final, and the average confidence sat at 56%.
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction: A 60% consensus for New England looks modest in hindsight after a 45–17 rout. The models had forecast 24–21, so the winner was right even if the scoreline was not.
New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings prediction: Another unanimous call, and Minnesota justified it with a 23–13 win. The panel's most common score was 24–25 at 56% average confidence.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts prediction: All ten models backed Pittsburgh, and the Steelers won 34–22. The consensus score was 24–20, so the winner was clear even as the points flowed more freely than expected.
Where it got it wrong
Four matches escaped the panel. The most costly was Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction, where 100% of models picked Philadelphia at 58% average confidence. Jacksonville won 19–17.
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants prediction was another unanimous miss. All ten models expected Washington to win, most commonly 24–17, but the game ended 27–27.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos prediction saw a third 100% consensus fall short. The panel backed the Chargers, with a most common score of 24–20 and 57% average confidence. Denver won 23–17.
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers prediction completed the quartet of misses. All ten models favoured Seattle, most commonly 24–17 at 57% confidence. San Francisco won 32–29.
Models of the day
Two models led the field with 8 of 12 correct: Gemini 3.8 Flash and Kimi K3. A cluster of seven models finished on 7 of 12: GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6 and GLM 5.3. Mistral Medium 3.5 was the weakest performer on the day with 5 of 12 correct.
Full results
- NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars 19–17 Philadelphia Eagles — consensus Philadelphia Eagles win (100%) WRONG
- NFL: Tennessee Titans 3–26 Houston Texans — consensus Houston Texans win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Miami Dolphins 24–31 Cincinnati Bengals — consensus Cincinnati Bengals win (70%) RIGHT
- NFL: New England Patriots 45–17 Las Vegas Raiders — consensus New England Patriots win (60%) RIGHT
- NFL: New Orleans Saints 13–23 Minnesota Vikings — consensus Minnesota Vikings win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: New York Jets 17–12 Cleveland Browns — consensus New York Jets win (90%) RIGHT
- NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers 34–22 Indianapolis Colts — consensus Pittsburgh Steelers win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Washington Commanders 27–27 New York Giants — consensus Washington Commanders win (100%) WRONG
- NFL: Green Bay Packers 31–7 Chicago Bears — consensus Green Bay Packers win (80%) RIGHT
- NFL: Los Angeles Chargers 17–23 Denver Broncos — consensus Los Angeles Chargers win (100%) WRONG
- NFL: Arizona Cardinals 21–45 Detroit Lions — consensus Detroit Lions win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Seattle Seahawks 29–32 San Francisco 49ers — consensus Seattle Seahawks win (100%) WRONG
Today's predictions are already live on the TuringStats NFL predictions page, where all ten models have logged their picks and confidence levels ahead of kickoff.
Next up: today's nfl predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
