BOU 2-1 ACM · 50% BEş 2-1 CRY · 56% CEL 0-2 RED · 59% CEL 2-1 CEL · 44% 189 1-2 LYO · 53% JAG 1-2 AND · 47% LIL 0-1 REA · 53% OLY 2-1 SPA · 55% OMO 1-2 BEN · 59% PLZ 1-0 LEV · 53% AAR 1-0 EGN · 52% AJA 2-1 ATA · 50% BOR 2-1 KUP · 55% SCB 1-1 GEN · 46% BOU 2-1 ACM · 50% BEş 2-1 CRY · 56% CEL 0-2 RED · 59% CEL 2-1 CEL · 44% 189 1-2 LYO · 53% JAG 1-2 AND · 47% LIL 0-1 REA · 53% OLY 2-1 SPA · 55% OMO 1-2 BEN · 59% PLZ 1-0 LEV · 53% AAR 1-0 EGN · 52% AJA 2-1 ATA · 50% BOR 2-1 KUP · 55% SCB 1-1 GEN · 46%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 5 Oct 11, 2026 · 20:05 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Finished

Los Angeles Chargers
vs
Denver Broncos.

Quick answer

Who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

Final score: Los Angeles Chargers 17–23 Denver Broncos. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Los Angeles Chargers to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 24–20.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 59% of the time (56 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Los Angeles Chargers (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Los Angeles Chargers win 100%

10 / 10 models

Denver Broncos win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–20
55%
Denver dominated the latest meeting, but the Chargers won three of the prior four listed matchups and return home. The recent series suggests a competitive, potentially low-to-moderate scoring game rather than a clear mismatch.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–20
56%
Series is tightly contested with recent split results; Chargers at SoFi with home comfort give slight edge in a close divisional battle.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–20
56%
Divisional clashes between these two are routinely physical and decided by one possession. The Chargers hold a slight edge at home with more balanced offensive execution.
04
Grok 4.6
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–21
55%
Thin 2026 form data; SoFi home edge and mixed H2H (Chargers won last two at home) point to a one-possession Chargers win in a typically tight AFC West game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Los Angeles Chargers win
23–20
57%
Chargers have won three of the last four meetings at SoFi Stadium, including two close one-score games. Denver's offense struggled in January's 19-3 win but this matchup has been tight, so a low-scoring home edge fits.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–17
58%
Chargers won last two home meetings vs Denver; SoFi Stadium edge and recent H2H trend favor LA, though Broncos' defensive style keeps it moderate-scoring.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–20
58%
Chargers hold slight edge at home with recent H2H wins and better offensive consistency.
08
Kimi K3
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–20
58%
Chargers won three of last five H2H including two at SoFi, but Denver's January shutout shows defensive upside; tight divisional game with home field deciding a one-possession margin.
09
GLM 5.3
Los Angeles Chargers win
24–20
54%
H2H is tight with Chargers winning three of five, including at SoFi; Broncos' Week 18 blowout came against a resting roster. Home edge in a low-margin divisional game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Los Angeles Chargers win
27–20
58%
Home-field advantage at SoFi and recent H2H home wins support Chargers, but Denver's strong 2026-01-04 result keeps it close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 24–20. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–20
    6 models
  • 27–20
    1 model
  • 23–20
    1 model
  • 24–17
    1 model
  • 24–21
    1 model

NFL · Week 5

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Chargers −4 44 Chargers 100%

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 · #4 AFC West
Home 0-3 · Road 0-3 · Division 0-3 · Streak L6 · Points 90–151
7 days of rest

Denver Broncos

4-2 · #2 AFC West
Home 3-0 · Road 1-2 · Division 1-1 · Streak W2 · Points 114–125
7 days of rest

Injury report

Los Angeles Chargers

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Denver Broncos 8 on injured reserve
  • Tyler Badie
    Tyler BadieRB
    Thumb
    Questionable
  • Talanoa Hufanga
    Talanoa HufangaS
    Ankle
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Los Angeles Chargers Denver Broncos
16.8 Points scored 21.3
26.5 Points allowed 21
293 Total yards 315
174.7 Passing yards 227
118.3 Rushing yards 88
3 Turnovers 1
32 Third-down % 46
75 Red-zone TD % 67
2 Sacks 2
28:36Time of possession29:12

Skill players · Los Angeles Chargers

Skill players · Denver Broncos

  • J.K. Dobbins
    J.K. DobbinsRB
    270 rushing yards (45 a game, 3.3 a carry), 2 TD
  • Jaylen Waddle
    Jaylen WaddleWR
    22 catches, 228 receiving yards (38 a game), 1 TD
  • RJ Harvey
    RJ HarveyRB
    23 catches, 163 receiving yards (32.6 a game), 0 TD

Last ten games

Los Angeles Chargers LLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
16.8 / 26.5
Total over 41.5
1/4
Total over 44.5
1/4
Total over 47.5
1/4
Won by 7+
0/4
Denver Broncos LWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
21.3 / 21
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
1/3

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Bo Nix by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 4.0), RJ Harvey by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Bo Nix

Bo Nix

Denver Broncos · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o229.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
288
186
214
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins

Denver Broncos · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o41.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
36
49
40
Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle

Denver Broncos · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o61.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
138
10
35
Receptions o5.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
8
2
5
RJ Harvey

RJ Harvey

Denver Broncos · RB · last 2 games
Receiving yards o54.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
41
68
Receptions o8.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
6
10

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Los Angeles Chargers 24, Denver Broncos 20: a projected total of 44 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?
The AI consensus has Los Angeles Chargers winning by 4 points (24–20).
Who is injured for Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?
Los Angeles Chargers have no one listed out or doubtful. Denver Broncos have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Los Angeles Chargers

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 24.20 vs 19.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Los Angeles Chargers win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

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10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.

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