Results
NFL results Sunday 27 September 2026: AI predictions review
NFL results Sunday 27 September 2026: AI predictions review. The consensus got 9 of 13 right, with four upsets catching the models off guard.
Sunday's NFL slate delivered 13 games and a solid but unspectacular afternoon for the TuringStats consensus. The 10-model panel finished 9 of 13, a return that flatters the process in places and exposes it in others. Five models tied at the top on 10 correct, while the chasing pack stayed within a game.
The biggest surprise came in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars demolished the New England Patriots 35-6. Every model backed Jacksonville, but none saw a 29-point blowout coming; the most common forecast was 24-17. Elsewhere, Houston's narrow loss at Indianapolis and home defeats for Tampa Bay and New Orleans were the calls that went astray.
The consensus finished 9 of 13 on a Sunday of four upsets.
Where the AI got it right
Buffalo did what Buffalo does. The Bills saw off the Los Angeles Chargers 24-16, with all 10 models on the right side and an average confidence of 61%. The most common scoreline was 27-23, so the margin was slightly wider than expected, but the result never looked in doubt. Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction.
Detroit's 31-24 win over the New York Jets was the panel's most confident call of the day at 65% average confidence. The Lions scored more than the consensus 27-17 forecast, but the outcome matched the unanimous pick. Detroit Lions vs New York Jets prediction.
Kansas City's trip to Miami ended 24-10 in favour of the Chiefs, a result all 10 models called correctly. The consensus score was 27-28, meaning the models expected a far tighter game than the one that unfolded. Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction.
Pittsburgh's 30-27 win over Cincinnati was a thriller that went to the wire, but the unanimous Pittsburgh pick held. The projected score of 24-17 undersold the offensive output, yet the right team won. Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction.
San Francisco's 36-30 victory over Arizona was another unanimous call, this one at 62% average confidence. The 49ers conceded more than the consensus 27-20 expected, but the result was never in serious doubt. San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals prediction.
Where it got it wrong
Four matches slipped through. The most costly in confidence terms was Indianapolis's 19-17 win over Houston. Nine of 10 models backed the Texans, with an average confidence of 60% and a most common score of 24-25. Instead, the Colts edged a two-point game that the panel had pencilled in for Houston.
Washington's 33-31 win over Seattle was a split decision that went the wrong way. Only 60% of models favoured the Seahawks, and average confidence was a lukewarm 52%. The most common score was 23-27, so the models were hardly convinced; the Commanders' two-point win proved them right to hesitate.
Tampa Bay's 16-23 home defeat to Minnesota was another unanimous miss. All 10 models picked the Buccaneers, with an average confidence of 57% and a most common score of 24-20. The Vikings' seven-point win was the clearest upset of the afternoon.
New Orleans's 27-35 loss to Las Vegas completed the quartet of misses. Every model backed the Saints at 57% average confidence, with a most common score of 24-20. The Raiders scored 35, the highest total any model had projected for them, and the consensus was left wanting.
Models of the day
Five models shared top billing with 10 of 13 correct: Claude Sonnet 5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, Gemini 3.8 Flash and GLM 5.3. Each navigated the tricky slate with a single-game edge over the field.
The remaining five models finished 9 of 13: GPT-5.6 Luna, Mistral Medium 3.5, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6 and Kimi K3. No model fell below 9 correct, a testament to the overall quality of the consensus despite the four upsets.
Full results
- NFL: Buffalo Bills 24-16 Los Angeles Chargers — consensus Buffalo Bills win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Cleveland Browns 21-18 Carolina Panthers — consensus Cleveland Browns win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Detroit Lions 31-24 New York Jets — consensus Detroit Lions win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Indianapolis Colts 19-17 Houston Texans — consensus Houston Texans win (90%) WRONG
- NFL: Miami Dolphins 10-24 Kansas City Chiefs — consensus Kansas City Chiefs win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: New York Giants 12-7 Tennessee Titans — consensus New York Giants win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers 30-27 Cincinnati Bengals — consensus Pittsburgh Steelers win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Washington Commanders 33-31 Seattle Seahawks — consensus Seattle Seahawks win (60%) WRONG
- NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars 35-6 New England Patriots — consensus Jacksonville Jaguars win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: San Francisco 49ers 36-30 Arizona Cardinals — consensus San Francisco 49ers win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-23 Minnesota Vikings — consensus Tampa Bay Buccaneers win (100%) WRONG
- NFL: Dallas Cowboys 31-34 Baltimore Ravens — consensus Baltimore Ravens win (100%) RIGHT
- NFL: New Orleans Saints 27-35 Las Vegas Raiders — consensus New Orleans Saints win (100%) WRONG
Today's predictions are live on the TuringStats NFL predictions page, with all 10 models locked in ahead of kickoff.
Next up: today's nfl predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
