Results
NBA results Sunday 11 October 2026: AI predictions review
AI models called 5 of 6 NBA games right on Sunday 11 October 2026. See where the consensus hit and missed, plus full results.
Sunday’s NBA slate produced a 5-of-6 return for the TuringStats consensus, with ten frontier models combining to forecast six fixtures. The headline number flatters a day that was never comfortable: average confidence sat at 37% across the board, and the single miss arrived from a unanimous pick.
The biggest surprise came in Houston, where all ten models backed the Rockets and the Dallas Mavericks won by 17. Elsewhere, Miami and Minnesota traded the lead down the stretch before the Timberwolves escaped by a point, while Boston’s blowout of Philadelphia was the only result that ran clear of its projection.
Where the AI got it right
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction — Minnesota edged a one-point game, 124-125, vindicating the 80% consensus that favoured the Timberwolves. The most common scoreline among the models was 108-109, so the result arrived with more offence than expected, but the winner was correctly identified.
Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction — Boston’s 144-106 rout was the most emphatic call of the day. The models had the Celtics at 70% and a most common score of 108-101; the margin exceeded that forecast, but the direction was never in doubt.
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings prediction — A unanimous 100% consensus landed as Golden State won 111-106. The most common scoreline was 118-112, so the game ran slightly tighter than projected, yet the Warriors’ victory was the models’ most confident call of the slate.
Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs prediction — Phoenix’s 102-98 win came in a lower-scoring game than the 114-109 most common score, but the 70% consensus on the Suns held. It was a four-point margin that justified the models’ lean.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic prediction — Cleveland covered comfortably, 119-105, against a 100% consensus and a most common score of 114-108. The Cavaliers’ win was one of three unanimous picks to come in.
Where it got it wrong
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction — The day’s sole miss, and a stark one. All ten models backed Houston, with a most common score of 114-108. Dallas won 115-132, a 17-point road victory that no model saw coming. Average confidence across the slate was 37%, and this was the fixture where that low conviction was least warranted: a unanimous call that never looked like landing.
Models of the day
Five models finished with 5 of 6 correct: GPT-5.6 Luna, Mistral Medium 3.5, Qwen 3.8 Max, Grok 4.6 and GLM 5.3. They each avoided the Houston trap and read the rest of the board cleanly.
Claude Sonnet 5 and DeepSeek V4 Pro followed at 4 of 6, while MiMo V2.5 Pro, Gemini 3.8 Flash and Kimi K3 brought up the rear on 3 of 6. For those three, the Rockets result was costly, but the gap to the leaders was wider than a single game.
Full results
- NBA: Miami Heat 124–125 Minnesota Timberwolves — consensus Minnesota Timberwolves win (80%) RIGHT
- NBA: Boston Celtics 144–106 Philadelphia 76ers — consensus Boston Celtics win (70%) RIGHT
- NBA: Golden State Warriors 111–106 Sacramento Kings — consensus Golden State Warriors win (100%) RIGHT
- NBA: Phoenix Suns 102–98 San Antonio Spurs — consensus Phoenix Suns win (70%) RIGHT
- NBA: Houston Rockets 115–132 Dallas Mavericks — consensus Houston Rockets win (100%) WRONG
- NBA: Cleveland Cavaliers 119–105 Orlando Magic — consensus Cleveland Cavaliers win (100%) RIGHT
Monday’s fixtures are already through the models. Full predictions for the next slate are available at https://turingstats.com/nba-predictions/today.
Next up: today's nba predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
