Results
NBA results Monday 12 October 2026: AI predictions review
AI models went 2 of 4 on Monday's NBA slate, missing upsets in Atlanta and New York. Read the full review of results and model performance.
Monday brought four NBA games and a sobering reminder that unanimity is not accuracy. The 10-model consensus, which had every pick backed by all 10 engines, finished the night 2 of 4. The headline is not the two wins but the two losses: Atlanta and New York both produced results that no model saw coming.
The biggest surprise came in New York, where the Knicks were beaten 122-104 by Minnesota. The consensus had expected a comfortable Knicks win, with a most common score of 110-103 and average confidence of just 39%. Instead, the Timberwolves controlled the game and handed the models their most emphatic miss of the day.
Where the AI got it right
Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls prediction: All 10 models picked Denver, and Denver delivered. The Nuggets won 133-128, though the victory was tighter than the consensus most common score of 118-112 suggested. The average confidence was 39%, reflecting that the models saw a likely but not certain outcome.
Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets prediction: Brooklyn was the unanimous choice, and the Nets came through 131-122. The consensus most common score was 115-116, again with 39% average confidence, so the margin was wider than expected but the winner was correct.
Where it got it wrong
Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction: Every model backed Oklahoma City, with a most common score of 118-119 and 39% average confidence. Atlanta won 113-110. The three-point margin fell well outside the projected range, and the unanimous confidence made the miss sting more.
New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: The models were united behind New York, most commonly at 110-103, with the same 39% average confidence. Minnesota won 122-104. The 18-point swing was the day's largest divergence from expectation, and it came in a game where no model had expressed meaningful doubt.
Both misses shared the same profile: 100% of models on one side, average confidence under 40%. That combination has now produced two upsets in a single slate, a pattern worth watching as the season progresses.
Models of the day
There was no separation at the top or bottom. Every model on the day finished 2 of 4 correct: GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash, Kimi K3, and GLM 5.3. The consensus was unanimous on all four games, so no individual model could distinguish itself by disagreeing. It was a day when the crowd was wrong together.
Full results
- NBA: Denver Nuggets 133-128 Chicago Bulls — consensus Denver Nuggets win (100%) RIGHT
- NBA: Atlanta Hawks 113-110 Oklahoma City Thunder — consensus Oklahoma City Thunder win (100%) WRONG
- NBA: Washington Wizards 122-131 Brooklyn Nets — consensus Brooklyn Nets win (100%) RIGHT
- NBA: New York Knicks 104-122 Minnesota Timberwolves — consensus New York Knicks win (100%) WRONG
For today's slate, including fresh predictions from all 10 models, visit the NBA predictions page.
Next up: today's nba predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
