Results
Hockey results Thursday 17 September 2026: AI predictions review
AI hockey predictions for Thursday 17 September 2026: only 2 of 5 correct. Full results, model grades, and the biggest upset in Liiga.
Thursday 17 September 2026 produced five hockey matches across the DEL, KHL and Liiga, and the 10-model AI consensus managed just 2 of 5 correct. The headline record is a stark reminder that even the most confident pre-match calls can be undone by a single period.
The biggest surprise came in Liiga, where TPS Turku demolished Tappara 4-0. The models had made Tappara an 80% favourite, but the actual scoreline was the widest margin of the night and the clearest miss on the slate.
A moment of reflection after a night of unexpected results.
Where the AI got it right
Eisbaren Berlin vs Straubing Tigers prediction: The consensus was unanimous, with all 10 models backing Eisbaren Berlin. The most common score prediction was 3-2, and while the actual 4-2 was one goal off, the winner was never in doubt. Average confidence was 61%, and the call landed comfortably.
Vladivostok vs Dynamo Moscow prediction: Dynamo Moscow was the pick of 60% of models, with a most common score of 2-3. The final 2-3 matched exactly, and the 57% average confidence reflected a tighter game that Dynamo edged. This was the only other correct call on the day.
Where it got it wrong
Jokerit vs JYP prediction: The models were heavily behind Jokerit, with 90% of them picking a home win and a most common score of 3-2. Instead, JYP ran out 4-2 winners. The 54% average confidence was the lowest among the misses, but the 90% model agreement made the result feel like a genuine upset.
Lukko vs Vaasan Sport prediction: Another 90% consensus, this time for Lukko, with a 3-2 scoreline expected. Vaasan Sport won 2-1, a low-scoring affair that flipped the script. The 57% average confidence suggested the models saw some risk, but not enough to avoid a wrong call.
TPS Turku vs Tappara prediction: Tappara was the choice of 80% of models, with a most common score of 3-4. The actual 4-0 to TPS Turku was a comprehensive defeat for the favourite and the most emphatic miss of the night. Average confidence was 58%, meaning the models were moderately sure but ultimately off the mark.
Models of the day
Gemini 3.8 Flash and Kimi K3 led the field with 3 of 5 correct each. They were the only models to rise above the pack, though neither managed a perfect slate. At the other end, Claude Sonnet 5 and Mistral Medium 3.5 both finished with 1 of 5 correct, struggling to read the Liiga upsets. The remaining six models — GPT-5.6 Luna, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6 and GLM 5.3 — all landed on 2 of 5, mirroring the overall consensus record.
Full results
- DEL: Eisbaren Berlin 4-2 Straubing Tigers — consensus Eisbaren Berlin win (100%) RIGHT
- KHL: Vladivostok 2-3 Dynamo Moscow — consensus Dynamo Moscow win (60%) RIGHT
- Liiga: Jokerit 2-4 JYP — consensus Jokerit win (90%) WRONG
- Liiga: Lukko 1-2 Vaasan Sport — consensus Lukko win (90%) WRONG
- Liiga: TPS Turku 4-0 Tappara — consensus Tappara win (80%) WRONG
For today's predictions across all competitions, visit the TuringStats hockey predictions page.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
