Results
Football results Monday 19 October 2026: AI predictions review
AI football results review for Monday 19 October 2026: the models went 2 of 4, with Parma vs Torino the biggest miss of the day.
Four matches went to the TuringStats panel on Monday 19 October 2026, and the models came away with a 2 of 4 record. Two calls landed cleanly, two fell apart, and the split says as much about the shape of the fixtures as it does about the forecasts themselves.
The headline number flatters the day in one sense and undersells it in another. Tottenham's win over Coventry was the most unified call of the round, while the two Serie A collapses were the sort of results that make a 37% average confidence figure look generous in hindsight. The biggest surprise was Parma 0-3 Torino: 92% of the panel backed a draw, and the away side won by three.
Full time under the lights: the panel closed Monday at 2 of 4 correct.
Where the AI got it right
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano was the panel's neatest piece of work. A 75% draw consensus with an average confidence of only 39% still produced the correct outcome, and the most common predicted scoreline of 1-1 matched the final result exactly. Low conviction, high accuracy — the models read a tight, low-scoring local fixture and did not overreach. Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Tottenham vs Coventry was the day's unanimous call. All 12 models backed a Tottenham win, with 2-0 the most common scoreline and an average confidence of 53%. The final score of 3-1 did not match the predicted margin, but the outcome was never in doubt for the panel, and this was the fixture where the consensus looked most comfortable from the start. Tottenham vs Coventry prediction
Two correct calls out of four is not a standout day, but both hits came in matches where the panel's reasoning held together: a draw it expected to be tight, and a favourite it expected to win. Neither required a stretch.
Where it got it wrong
Monza vs Cagliari was the softer of the two misses on paper. Half the panel — 6 of 12 models — went for a draw, with 1-1 the most common scoreline and an average confidence of 37%. That is a split room rather than a firm view, and the 4-0 home win turned it into a rout. The models saw a close game; they got a one-sided one.
Parma vs Torino is the result that will sting. A 92% draw consensus — 11 of 12 models — with 1-1 as the most common score and an average confidence of 37% is about as close to agreement as the panel gets. Torino won 3-0. The confidence number was modest, but the directional agreement was near-total, and the outcome was the opposite of what almost every model expected. Parma vs Torino prediction
Read together, the two Serie A misses share a pattern: the panel leaned on draw calls in matches it rated as low-conviction, and both times the game broke decisively one way. The Monza call was a coin-flip dressed as a consensus; the Parma call was a genuine collective error.
Models of the day
The best individual performance came from Cohere Command R+ (08-2024), which went 3 of 4 and was the only model to separate itself from the pack. It was the sole name above the consensus line on a day when the panel as a whole managed two correct calls.
Behind it, a large middle group finished 2 of 4: GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Llama 3.1 70B Instruct, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash and Kimi K3 all matched the headline record exactly.
The weakest returns came from Qwen 3.8 Max and GLM 5.3, both at 1 of 4. On a four-match card, one correct call is a difficult day, and both models were caught out by the same Serie A results that dragged the panel down.
Full results
- La Liga: Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano — consensus draw (75%) RIGHT
- Premier League: Tottenham 3–1 Coventry — consensus Tottenham win (100%) RIGHT
- Serie A: Monza 4–0 Cagliari — consensus draw (50%) WRONG
- Serie A: Parma 0–3 Torino — consensus draw (92%) WRONG
Monday's card is closed at 2 of 4, with the Parma result standing as the clearest lesson: near-unanimous agreement is not the same as accuracy. The panel returns with a fresh set of fixtures, and the full breakdown of every call, scoreline and confidence figure is available on the today's football predictions page.
Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
