Results
Baseball results Wednesday 30 September 2026: AI predictions review
Baseball results Wednesday 30 September 2026: the AI consensus went 9 of 13, with upsets in the CPBL and a Padres shutout among the four misses.
Wednesday's slate ran to 13 matches across the CPBL, KBO, MLB and NPB, and the ten-model consensus finished the day 9 of 13. It was a solid rather than flawless return: the headline picks in South Korea and Japan largely held, while two CPBL favourites and one Major League front-runner fell away.
The biggest surprise came in Taiwan, where the Rakuten Monkeys were the unanimous choice of all ten models and lost 5-3 to the Wei Chuan Dragons. The San Diego Padres' 8-0 shutout of the Chicago Cubs, a game the consensus had given to the visitors, was the day's most emphatic upset.
The final out of a busy 13-match slate across four leagues.
Where the AI got it right
The most one-sided call of the day landed in the CPBL, where all ten models backed Chinatrust Brothers and the visitors delivered a 7-1 win over the TSG Hawks. The consensus had settled on a 4-6 scoreline at 65% average confidence; the margin was wider, but the verdict was never in doubt.
In the KBO, Lotte Giants vs Kiwoom Heroes prediction was the models' highest-confidence selection at 67%, and Lotte justified it with an 8-6 win. Samsung Lions were similarly convincing, taking down Hanwha Eagles 6-2 after a unanimous pick at 63% confidence.
MLB produced a clean hit in the Bronx, where New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox prediction went the way of all ten models. The Yankees won 9-0, far beyond the 6-3 scoreline the consensus had most commonly projected.
Japan's two fixtures both went to script. Hanshin Tigers vs Yakult Swallows prediction was a unanimous call at 65% confidence and finished 5-0 to Hanshin, while Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines prediction returned a 3-0 win for the Eagles.
Where it got it wrong
The day's clearest miss came at the top of the confidence table. Rakuten Monkeys were backed by 100% of the ten models, with a most common score of 5-3 and an average confidence of 62%, yet Wei Chuan Dragons won 5-3 — the exact scoreline the consensus had imagined, only reversed.
Fubon Guardians were the other CPBL casualty. Nine of ten models favoured them at 57% average confidence, with 4-3 the most common projection; Uni Lions won 4-3 instead.
In the KBO, KIA Tigers carried a unanimous pick and 60% confidence into their meeting with KT Wiz Suwon, but lost 3-2 — a one-run swing the models had not priced in. The Padres' 8-0 rout of the Cubs was the fourth miss: eight of ten models had sided with Chicago at 61% confidence, and the most common projected score of 6-7 suggested a narrow game rather than a shutout.
Models of the day
Gemini 3.8 Flash was the clear leader, finishing 10 of 13 to sit alone at the top of the table. Six models followed on 9 of 13: Claude Sonnet 5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, Grok 4.6, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3.
The weakest returns came from GPT-5.6 Luna, Mistral Medium 3.5 and MiMo V2.5 Pro, each on 8 of 13. No model in the ten-strong field went below that mark, and the spread between best and worst was just two correct calls.
Full results
- CPBL: Fubon Guardians 2-4 Uni Lions — consensus Fubon Guardians win (90%) WRONG
- CPBL: Rakuten Monkeys 3-5 Wei Chuan Dragons — consensus Rakuten Monkeys win (100%) WRONG
- CPBL: TSG Hawks 1-7 Chinatrust Brothers — consensus Chinatrust Brothers win (100%) RIGHT
- KBO: SSG Landers 4-3 LG Twins — consensus SSG Landers win (100%) RIGHT
- KBO: KIA Tigers 2-3 KT Wiz Suwon — consensus KIA Tigers win (100%) WRONG
- KBO: Doosan Bears 6-5 NC Dinos — consensus Doosan Bears win (90%) RIGHT
- KBO: Lotte Giants 8-6 Kiwoom Heroes — consensus Lotte Giants win (100%) RIGHT
- KBO: Samsung Lions 6-2 Hanwha Eagles — consensus Samsung Lions win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: New York Yankees 9-0 Boston Red Sox — consensus New York Yankees win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: San Diego Padres 8-0 Chicago Cubs — consensus Chicago Cubs win (80%) WRONG
- MLB: Atlanta Braves 3-4 Philadelphia Phillies — consensus Philadelphia Phillies win (60%) RIGHT
- NPB: Hanshin Tigers 5-0 Yakult Swallows — consensus Hanshin Tigers win (100%) RIGHT
- NPB: Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3-0 Chiba Lotte Marines — consensus Rakuten Gold. Eagles win (100%) RIGHT
The next round of fixtures is already loaded. All ten models have submitted their picks for today's games on the today's predictions page, where the consensus, most common scorelines and confidence levels are published ahead of first pitch.
Next up: today's baseball predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
