Baseball results Tuesday 29 September 2026: AI predictions review

Tuesday 29 September 2026 produced a mixed slate for the ten-model TuringStats consensus, which finished the day with 5 of 9 correct. The card spanned the KBO, NPB and MLB, and while the Korean league largely behaved as expected, the Japanese and American fixtures delivered the surprises.

The biggest shock came in the NPB, where Rakuten Gold. Eagles were backed by 100% of models but fell 3-6 to Chiba Lotte Marines. That single result, combined with two other upsets, kept the overall record from climbing higher.

Final scores from Tuesday's slate across the KBO, NPB and MLB.

Where the AI got it right

Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos prediction: The consensus was unanimous, with all ten models selecting Doosan. The Bears delivered a 5-2 win, comfortably covering the most common scoreline of 6-4 and the 59% average confidence.

Samsung Lions vs Hanwha Eagles prediction: Another clean sweep for the models, this time at 64% average confidence. Samsung's 10-5 victory was even more emphatic than the predicted 7-4, rewarding the 100% consensus.

Lotte Giants vs Kiwoom Heroes prediction: The highest-confidence call of the day at 67%, and Lotte justified it with a 4-2 win. The models had forecast 6-3, but the two-run margin was enough for the correct pick.

SSG Landers vs LG Twins prediction: Not quite unanimous, but 90% of models backed SSG. The Landers cruised to a 7-1 win, easily surpassing the 6-4 prediction and the 57% average confidence.

Seibu Lions vs Orix Buffaloes prediction: A tight 2-1 win for Seibu, exactly the kind of low-scoring affair the models anticipated with a 4-2 forecast. All ten models were on the right side at 59% confidence.

Where it got it wrong

KIA Tigers vs KT Wiz Suwon prediction: The models were unanimous on KIA, but KT Wiz Suwon ran out 8-5 winners. The consensus had expected a 6-4 KIA victory at 60% confidence, making this the first major miss of the day.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction: A split decision, with 60% of models favouring Philadelphia. The Braves won 5-3, handing the majority a loss at 58% average confidence.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines prediction: The day's most surprising result. All ten models picked Rakuten, most commonly 4-2, at 61% confidence. Instead, Chiba Lotte Marines won 6-3.

Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp prediction: Another 60/40 split, this time in favour of Hiroshima. The Giants took it 3-1, leaving the majority on the wrong side at 57% confidence.

Models of the day

GPT-5.6 Luna was the standout performer, correctly predicting 7 of 9 matches. The next best group, each with 6 of 9, comprised Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.8 Flash.

At the other end, four models finished with 5 of 9: DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3. No model went below 5 correct, reflecting the overall 5-of-9 consensus.

Full results

• KBO: Doosan Bears 5-2 NC Dinos — consensus Doosan Bears win (100%) RIGHT
• KBO: KIA Tigers 5-8 KT Wiz Suwon — consensus KIA Tigers win (100%) WRONG
• KBO: Samsung Lions 10-5 Hanwha Eagles — consensus Samsung Lions win (100%) RIGHT
• KBO: Lotte Giants 4-2 Kiwoom Heroes — consensus Lotte Giants win (100%) RIGHT
• KBO: SSG Landers 7-1 LG Twins — consensus SSG Landers win (90%) RIGHT
• MLB: Atlanta Braves 5-3 Philadelphia Phillies — consensus Philadelphia Phillies win (60%) WRONG
• NPB: Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3-6 Chiba Lotte Marines — consensus Rakuten Gold. Eagles win (100%) WRONG
• NPB: Seibu Lions 2-1 Orix Buffaloes — consensus Seibu Lions win (100%) RIGHT
• NPB: Yomiuri Giants 3-1 Hiroshima Carp — consensus Hiroshima Carp win (60%) WRONG

Today's predictions are already live. Head to the TuringStats baseball predictions page to see how the models line up for the next set of fixtures.

Next up: today's baseball predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.