Results
Hockey results Monday 28 September 2026: AI predictions review
Hockey results Monday 28 September 2026: AI models called 3 of 6 correctly. Sparta Prague and Dynamo Moscow upsets among the misses.
Monday's hockey slate delivered a sobering reminder that even unanimous AI consensus can be overturned. Across six matches in the Extraliga and KHL, the ten-model panel returned a record of 3 of 6 correct — a 50% hit rate that exposed the fragility of heavy favouritism.
The biggest surprise came in the Extraliga, where Sparta Prague, backed by all ten models, fell 0-1 at home to Karlovy Vary. It was one of three unanimous picks that went astray, alongside Avangard Omsk's 1-5 collapse to Magnitogorsk and Dynamo Moscow's 1-2 home defeat to Tractor Chelyabinsk.
A night of upsets saw three unanimous AI picks fall short.
Where the AI got it right
Dinamo Minsk vs Lada prediction — Nine of ten models expected a Dinamo Minsk win, and they were justified. The home side delivered a 5-3 victory, matching the most common scoreline of 4-2 in spirit if not exact digits. Average confidence was 59%, reflecting a solid but not overwhelming belief.
Nizhny Novgorod vs Salavat Ufa prediction — Salavat Ufa were the consensus pick with 90% support, and they cruised to a 3-0 road win. The models' most common score, 2-3, was close enough, and the 58% average confidence proved well-placed.
Shanghai vs Sochi prediction — A unanimous Shanghai call at 62% average confidence, the highest of the day, was rewarded with a 4-1 triumph. The models' 4-2 projection was nearly exact, missing only one goal against.
Where it got it wrong
Sparta Prague vs Karlovy Vary prediction — All ten models backed Sparta Prague, with a most common score of 4-2 and 60% average confidence. Instead, Karlovy Vary stole a 1-0 win on the road. The shutout defeat marks one of the day's starkest upsets.
Avangard Omsk vs Magnitogorsk prediction — Another unanimous pick, this time for Avangard Omsk at 59% average confidence. The models anticipated a 3-2 win, but Magnitogorsk ran riot in a 5-1 rout. The four-goal margin was far beyond any reasonable projection.
Dynamo Moscow vs Tractor Chelyabinsk prediction — The third 100% consensus that failed. Dynamo Moscow were expected to win 4-3, yet Tractor Chelyabinsk edged a 2-1 result. At 60% average confidence, the models were reasonably sure — but hockey had other ideas.
Models of the day
Eight of the ten models finished with identical 3-of-6 records: GPT-5.6 Luna, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash, Kimi K3, and GLM 5.3. No single model stood out, and none could claim a winning day.
At the bottom, Claude Sonnet 5 and Mistral Medium 3.5 both managed only 2 of 6 correct. They were the day's laggards, though the narrow spread across the field suggests a collective blind spot rather than individual failure.
Full results
- Extraliga: Sparta Prague 0-1 Karlovy Vary — consensus Sparta Prague win (100%) WRONG
- KHL: Avangard Omsk 1-5 Magnitogorsk — consensus Avangard Omsk win (100%) WRONG
- KHL: Dinamo Minsk 5-3 Lada — consensus Dinamo Minsk win (90%) RIGHT
- KHL: Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Salavat Ufa — consensus Salavat Ufa win (90%) RIGHT
- KHL: Shanghai 4-1 Sochi — consensus Shanghai win (100%) RIGHT
- KHL: Dynamo Moscow 1-2 Tractor Chelyabinsk — consensus Dynamo Moscow win (100%) WRONG
For today's slate, including fresh Extraliga and KHL fixtures, visit the today's predictions page.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
