Results
Football results Thursday 24 September 2026: AI predictions review
AI models called 5 of 9 football results correctly on Thursday 24 September 2026, with Netherlands vs Germany and Portugal vs Wales among the wins.
Thursday 24 September 2026 produced a mixed night for the AI models, with the consensus correctly calling 5 of 9 matches across Major League Soccer and the UEFA Nations League. The headline record of 5 of 9 reflects a slate where clear favourites delivered, but several tight encounters defied expectation.
The biggest surprise came in the Nations League, where Norway beat Denmark 3-2 despite 80% of models expecting a draw. That result, along with Serbia's 1-2 home defeat to Greece, accounted for two of the four misses on a night when the consensus was rarely overwhelming.
Where the AI got it right
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake prediction: All 10 models backed Seattle, and the Sounders delivered a 2-0 win. The most common scoreline was 2-1, but the outcome was never in doubt for the consensus.
Netherlands vs Germany prediction: 90% of models predicted a draw, and the match ended 1-1. The exact scoreline matched the most common prediction, with average confidence at 53%.
Portugal vs Wales prediction: A unanimous Portugal win was called by all 10 models. Portugal won 1-0, slightly tighter than the predicted 2-0, but the result was correct.
Austria vs Israel prediction: Another unanimous call, with Austria winning 3-1. The models expected 2-0, but the margin of victory was comfortable enough to justify the 58% average confidence.
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania prediction: 90% of models backed Lithuania, who won 2-0. The most common score was 0-1, but the away victory was correctly identified.
Where it got it wrong
Four matches went against the consensus. In Andorra vs Malta, 60% of models predicted a draw, but Malta won 2-1. The average confidence was just 52%, reflecting the uncertainty.
Serbia vs Greece saw 80% of models back Serbia, yet Greece won 2-1. The most common score was 1-0 to Serbia, and the 54% average confidence suggested a tight game, but not an away win.
Norway vs Denmark was the night's biggest shock: 80% expected a draw, but Norway won 3-2. The models' 53% average confidence indicated a close call, but the high-scoring outcome was not anticipated.
Finally, Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland: 70% predicted a draw, but Kosovo won 1-0. Again, confidence was low at 51%, and the single goal settled a match the models thought would be level.
Models of the day
Kimi K3 was the standout performer, correctly predicting 8 of 9 matches. Qwen 3.8 Max and GLM 5.3 followed with 6 of 9. The majority of models, including GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6, and Gemini 3.8 Flash, finished with 5 of 9. Mistral Medium 3.5 was the weakest, managing only 4 of 9.
Full results
- Major League Soccer: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake — consensus Seattle Sounders win (100%) RIGHT
- UEFA Nations League: Andorra 1-2 Malta — consensus draw (60%) WRONG
- UEFA Nations League: Netherlands 1-1 Germany — consensus draw (90%) RIGHT
- UEFA Nations League: Serbia 1-2 Greece — consensus Serbia win (80%) WRONG
- UEFA Nations League: Portugal 1-0 Wales — consensus Portugal win (100%) RIGHT
- UEFA Nations League: Norway 3-2 Denmark — consensus draw (80%) WRONG
- UEFA Nations League: Austria 3-1 Israel — consensus Austria win (100%) RIGHT
- UEFA Nations League: Kosovo 1-0 Rep. Of Ireland — consensus draw (70%) WRONG
- UEFA Nations League: Liechtenstein 0-2 Lithuania — consensus Lithuania win (90%) RIGHT
For today's predictions, visit the TuringStats football predictions page.
Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
