Results
Hockey results Thursday 12 November 2026: AI predictions review
Hockey results Thursday 12 November 2026: the AI consensus went 4 of 7 across seven NHL games, with Tampa Bay's rout of Buffalo the day's biggest miss.
Seven NHL games, ten frontier models and one consensus: Thursday 12 November 2026 finished 4 of 7 for the TuringStats panel. The models called four winners correctly and missed three, a return that flatters the scoreline only slightly once the margins are examined.
The day's biggest surprise came in Buffalo, where the Sabres were sent out as a 90% consensus pick and then lost 3-8 to the Tampa Bay Lightning. It was the heaviest defeat of the night and the most emphatic wrong call on the board. Anaheim's home loss to Nashville and Calgary's defeat by the Rangers completed the misses, while Edmonton and Vegas both delivered on unanimous backing.
Full time: the ice tells its own story after a night of upsets.
Where the AI got it right
The panel was flawless on Edmonton. All ten models backed the Oilers against Philadelphia, with a 4-3 scoreline the most common projection and average confidence at 58%. The actual 3-2 win was tighter than the consensus score but the winner was never in doubt in the panel's view, and the result justified the unanimity. Full analysis sits on the Edmonton Oilers vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction page.
Vegas drew the same 100% backing at home to Utah Mammoth, with the models leaning towards a 4-3 game at 60% average confidence. The Golden Knights won 5-3, one goal clear of the projected margin, and the panel's read on the matchup held throughout. The Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth prediction carried the day's joint-highest confidence.
Pittsburgh was a 70% consensus pick away in San Jose, with a 2-4 scoreline the most common call at 56% average confidence. The Penguins won 3-2, one goal off the projected margin but the correct side of the result. The San Jose Sharks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction was a more measured call than the unanimous picks and landed cleanly.
Carolina rounded out the correct calls, backed by 80% of the panel to win in Seattle with a 2-3 projection at 56% confidence. The Hurricanes won 4-1, a wider margin than expected but never a threatened result. The Seattle Kraken vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction was one of the more comfortable correct calls of the night.
Where it got it wrong
Buffalo was the headline failure. Nine of ten models backed the Sabres, the most common score was 4-3 in their favour and average confidence sat at 56%. Tampa Bay won 3-8. No model projected a rout of that scale, and the consensus never wavered from a home win. The Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction stands as the day's clearest miss.
Calgary was a 70% pick at home to the Rangers, with 3-2 the most common scoreline and 54% average confidence. New York won 1-3. The panel's confidence was the lowest of any consensus call on the slate, which makes the miss easier to absorb but no less wrong. The Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers prediction went against the models.
Anaheim was the third miss. Eight of ten models backed the Ducks at home to Nashville, projecting a 4-3 game at 57% average confidence. The Predators won 2-4. As with Buffalo, the consensus was strong and the outcome was the opposite. The Anaheim Ducks vs Nashville Predators prediction did not survive the night.
Models of the day
Gemini 4 Argon was the only model to go perfect, finishing 7 of 7. It was the sole member of the panel to navigate all three upsets, including the Buffalo rout, and it did so without the benefit of any other model's agreement on those games.
NVIDIA Nemotron 3 Ultra finished second at 6 of 7, one clear of Tencent Hy4 on 5 of 7. GPT-6.1 Sol, Grok 4.7 and Kimi K3 all landed on the consensus figure of 4 of 7. At the bottom, six models — Claude Opus 5.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.6 Pro, GLM 5.3 and Meta Muse Spark 1.3 — finished on 3 of 7, each missing four of the seven games.
Full results
- NHL: Buffalo Sabres 3–8 Tampa Bay Lightning — consensus Buffalo Sabres win (90%) WRONG
- NHL: Calgary Flames 1–3 New York Rangers — consensus Calgary Flames win (70%) WRONG
- NHL: Edmonton Oilers 3–2 Philadelphia Flyers — consensus Edmonton Oilers win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Vegas Golden Knights 5–3 Utah Mammoth — consensus Vegas Golden Knights win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: San Jose Sharks 2–3 Pittsburgh Penguins — consensus Pittsburgh Penguins win (70%) RIGHT
- NHL: Anaheim Ducks 2–4 Nashville Predators — consensus Anaheim Ducks win (80%) WRONG
- NHL: Seattle Kraken 1–4 Carolina Hurricanes — consensus Carolina Hurricanes win (80%) RIGHT
The panel returns for the next slate with the consensus record standing at 4 of 7 for Thursday. Today's projections, full model tallies and per-game breakdowns are published on the hockey predictions for today page ahead of the opening face-offs.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
