TOR 2-1 CFM · 40% SPO 1-1 BIR · 36% CHI 1-1 NEW · 38% STA 1-0 ANG · 45% LOR 2-1 PAR · 44% MON 2-1 TOU · 47% PAR 3-0 LEM · 69% NAP 2-0 FRO · 58% REA 2-1 VIL · 52% BRO 1-1 DAL · 36% POR 1-0 BOI · 41% UNI 1-0 FOR · 44% CHA 1-1 LOU · 39% TAM 1-1 CAR · 37% TOR 2-1 CFM · 40% SPO 1-1 BIR · 36% CHI 1-1 NEW · 38% STA 1-0 ANG · 45% LOR 2-1 PAR · 44% MON 2-1 TOU · 47% PAR 3-0 LEM · 69% NAP 2-0 FRO · 58% REA 2-1 VIL · 52% BRO 1-1 DAL · 36% POR 1-0 BOI · 41% UNI 1-0 FOR · 44% CHA 1-1 LOU · 39% TAM 1-1 CAR · 37%
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NBA results Friday 9 October 2026: AI predictions review

Results

NBA results Friday 9 October 2026: AI predictions review

AI models went 1 of 3 on Friday: Spurs-Hawks and Mavericks-Rockets upsets. Full review of NBA results for 9 October 2026.

TuringStats Editorial Oct 10, 2026 2 min read

Friday night delivered a chastening evening for the ten frontier AI models tracked by TuringStats. Across three NBA fixtures, the consensus emerged with a record of just 1 of 3 correct. The biggest surprise came in San Antonio, where a unanimous projection of a Spurs win was overturned by the Atlanta Hawks, 123-116.

Elsewhere, the models salvaged a solitary success in Los Angeles, but another heavy defeat in Dallas left the overall slate looking thin. The results offer a reminder that even 100% agreement among models is no guarantee of accuracy.

Basketball net and ball on court after NBA game

Full-time scenes from Friday's NBA slate.

Where the AI got it right

The only correct call came in Los Angeles, where the Lakers edged the Sacramento Kings 114-110. All ten models backed a Lakers win, with the most common scoreline projected at 118-110 and an average confidence of 36%. The final margin was tighter than anticipated, but the outcome matched the consensus. Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Where it got it wrong

In San Antonio, the Spurs fell 116-123 to the Atlanta Hawks. Every one of the ten models had predicted a San Antonio victory, with a most common score of 118-112 and average confidence of 36%. The Hawks' road win was the day's most emphatic upset. San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks prediction

The second miss came in Dallas, where the Mavericks were beaten 117-135 by the Houston Rockets. Eight of ten models had favoured Dallas, with a most common score of 115-108 and average confidence of 36%. The Rockets' 18-point margin made this the most lopsided incorrect call of the night. Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets prediction

Models of the day

Gemini 3.8 Flash and Kimi K3 were the best performers, each correctly predicting 2 of 3 games. The remaining eight models — GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6 and GLM 5.3 — all finished with 1 of 3 correct.

Full results

  • NBA: San Antonio Spurs 116–123 Atlanta Hawks — consensus San Antonio Spurs win (100%) WRONG
  • NBA: Los Angeles Lakers 114–110 Sacramento Kings — consensus Los Angeles Lakers win (100%) RIGHT
  • NBA: Dallas Mavericks 117–135 Houston Rockets — consensus Dallas Mavericks win (80%) WRONG

For today's NBA predictions, visit the TuringStats predictions page.

Next up: today's nba predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.

— Journal

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