Football results Sunday 27 September 2026: AI predictions review

Sunday 27 September 2026 produced 32 matches across the Copa del Rey, K League 1, Liga MX, Major League Soccer, Segunda División and the UEFA Nations League, and the 10-model TuringStats consensus landed 17 of them. That is a fraction above a coin toss, and the day's most striking outcome was not a narrow miss but a unanimous one: every one of the 10 models backed Germany to beat Greece, most of them by a 2-0 scoreline, and Greece won 1-0.

The pattern of the day was confidence punished. Nine fixtures drew a 100% consensus from the panel, and only five of those nine came in. Meanwhile the awkward, split-vote games — Hortaleza at 100% but only 50% average confidence, San Jose at 60% — landed on the right side often enough to keep the overall record respectable.

Full time across 32 fixtures: the consensus finished 17 of 32 on Sunday.

Where the AI got it right

Denmark 2-0 Wales was the cleanest call of the Nations League slate. All 10 models picked a Denmark win, the most common scoreline was 2-0, and the match finished exactly there at an average confidence of 57%. Denmark vs Wales prediction

Norway 1-2 Portugal followed the script almost to the letter. A unanimous Portugal pick, a most common score of 1-2, and a 1-2 final score at 58% average confidence. Norway vs Portugal prediction

Austria 3-1 Kosovo was the panel's highest-confidence Nations League selection at 61%, with every model on Austria and 2-0 the modal score. The home side scored one more than predicted but the verdict held. Austria vs Kosovo prediction

Columbus Crew 2-1 Inter Miami was a 90% consensus for the home side with 2-1 as the most common score, and that is precisely how it ended at 55% confidence. Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami prediction

Seattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FC gave the panel a full 100% agreement and a 2-1 modal scoreline; the Sounders added a third but the result was never in doubt for the models. Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Where it got it wrong

Germany 0-1 Greece is the day's headline miss. All 10 models backed Germany, the most common score was 2-0, and average confidence was the highest on the board at 62%. The actual score was a 1-0 away win. Germany vs Greece prediction

Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas City was another unanimous call that failed. Every model picked Houston with 2-1 as the modal scoreline at 53% confidence; Sporting Kansas City won by two. Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-3 Atletico San Luis saw a 100% consensus for the home side at 54% average confidence, with 1-0 the most common score. The match produced five goals and an away win. U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis prediction

San Rafael 1-5 Prat was a genuine coin flip that the panel read the wrong way: 50% of models backed San Rafael with a 1-0 modal score at 52% confidence, and Prat won by four. San Rafael vs Prat prediction

Israel 0-3 Rep. Of Ireland went against a 60% draw consensus at 51% confidence, with 1-1 the most common predicted score. Ireland won it comfortably. Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland prediction

Other misses included Maracena 1-1 Tavernes (90% Maracena, 53% confidence), FC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FC (70% LAFC), Austin 3-3 San Diego (100% Austin), Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC United (100% Vancouver), Mallorca 0-1 Almeria (100% Mallorca), Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijon (60% draw), Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United (70% Gangwon), Santos Laguna 1-0 CF Pachuca (60% draw), Talayuela 1-2 Alcazar (50% Talayuela) and Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan (50% Lithuania).

Models of the day

Claude Sonnet 5 topped the table with 21 of 32 correct, two clear of the field. GPT-5.6 Luna and DeepSeek V4 Pro shared second on 19, with MiMo V2.5 Pro and Gemini 3.8 Flash on 18.

At the other end, Qwen 3.8 Max and Grok 4.6 were the joint worst performers with 16 of 32 each, one below the consensus line and five behind the leading model. Mistral Medium 3.5, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3 all matched the panel's 17.

Full results

• Copa del Rey: Hortaleza 1-0 Güímar — consensus Hortaleza win (100%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Auriense 2-0 CD San Jose — consensus Auriense win (80%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: San Rafael 1-5 Prat — consensus San Rafael win (50%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Talayuela 1-2 Alcazar — consensus Talayuela win (50%) WRONG
• Copa del Rey: Maracena 1-1 Tavernes — consensus Maracena win (90%) WRONG
• K League 1: Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United — consensus Gangwon FC win (70%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Santos Laguna 1-0 CF Pachuca — consensus draw (60%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Tigres UANL 1-0 Puebla — consensus Tigres UANL win (100%) RIGHT
• Liga MX: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-3 Atletico San Luis — consensus U.N.A.M. - Pumas win (100%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Seattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FC — consensus Seattle Sounders win (100%) RIGHT
• Major League Soccer: FC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FC — consensus Los Angeles FC win (70%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas City — consensus Houston Dynamo win (100%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC — consensus Nashville SC win (100%) RIGHT
• Major League Soccer: Austin 3-3 San Diego — consensus Austin win (100%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Real Salt Lake 3-0 New England Revolution — consensus Real Salt Lake win (100%) RIGHT
• Major League Soccer: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC United — consensus Vancouver Whitecaps win (100%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado Rapids — consensus Los Angeles Galaxy win (100%) RIGHT
• Major League Soccer: San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers — consensus San Jose Earthquakes win (60%) RIGHT
• Major League Soccer: Columbus Crew 2-1 Inter Miami — consensus Columbus Crew win (90%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: Valladolid 3-1 Cordoba — consensus Valladolid win (100%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: Mallorca 0-1 Almeria — consensus Mallorca win (100%) WRONG
• Segunda División: Burgos 1-0 Eldense — consensus Burgos win (100%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: Eibar 3-2 Las Palmas — consensus Eibar win (70%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijon — consensus draw (60%) WRONG
• UEFA Nations League: Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan — consensus Lithuania win (50%) WRONG
• UEFA Nations League: Serbia 1-2 Netherlands — consensus Netherlands win (90%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Denmark 2-0 Wales — consensus Denmark win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Austria 3-1 Kosovo — consensus Austria win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra — consensus draw (60%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Germany 0-1 Greece — consensus Germany win (100%) WRONG
• UEFA Nations League: Norway 1-2 Portugal — consensus Portugal win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Israel 0-3 Rep. Of Ireland — consensus draw (60%) WRONG

The full slate for the next round of fixtures is already live, with all 10 models locked in before kickoff. Today's predictions are published at turingstats.com/football-predictions/today.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.