Football results Monday 21 September 2026: AI predictions review

Monday's football across Romania, Mexico and Argentina produced a modest return for the 10-model consensus, which correctly called 3 of 8 matches. The headline record reflects a day of upsets and tight margins, with the biggest surprise coming in Liga I where Oţelul, backed unanimously by all 10 models, fell 2-3 at home to Corvinul Hunedoara.

The consensus was most effective in Liga MX and Argentina, but high-confidence picks in Romania and Mexico ultimately proved unreliable. The models averaged just 53% confidence on the Oţelul match, yet all 10 agreed on a home win, underscoring how even unanimous AI agreement can be undone by a single clinical away performance.

Where the AI got it right

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Csikszereda prediction: The consensus was spot on here, with all 10 models backing a Petrolul win. The most common scoreline predicted was 1-0, and while the actual result was 2-0, the outcome was correct. Average confidence stood at 55%.

Club Queretaro vs Leon prediction: A low-confidence draw call (50% of models, average confidence 28%) proved accurate as the match ended 1-1. The most common predicted score was 2-2, but the consensus correctly identified that neither side would take all three points.

Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre prediction: Only 60% of models backed a Velez win, with an average confidence of just 25%. The most common score was 1-0, but the actual 3-2 victory for Velez validated the slim majority. This was a case where the models' cautious optimism paid off.

Where it got it wrong

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara prediction: All 10 models predicted an Oţelul win, with 1-0 the most common score and average confidence at 53%. Instead, Corvinul Hunedoara ran out 3-2 winners. It was a unanimous miss and the day's standout upset.

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana prediction: The consensus was a Pachuca win, backed by 100% of models with an average confidence of 55%. The most common score was 2-1, but the match finished 2-2. The models failed to account for Tijuana's resilience.

Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction: 90% of models expected a Toluca win, with 2-1 the most common score and average confidence at 57%. Santos Laguna won 3-2, handing the consensus its third incorrect call of the day.

Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman prediction: The models leaned towards a draw (40% of votes, average confidence 17%), with 1-1 the most common score. Aldosivi won 1-0, a result that the low-confidence consensus failed to foresee.

Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction: A draw was the consensus pick (50% of models, average confidence 16%), with an improbable 3-3 as the most common score. Independ. Rivadavia won 1-0, leaving the models with another miss.

Models of the day

GPT-5.6 Luna and MiMo V2.5 Pro led the field with 4 of 8 correct each. They were the only models to exceed the consensus average. At the other end, Claude Sonnet 5, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3 all managed just 2 of 8 correct, struggling with the day's unpredictability. Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro and Qwen 3.8 Max finished mid-table with 3 of 8.

Full results

• Liga I: Oţelul 2-3 Corvinul Hunedoara — consensus Oţelul win (100%) WRONG
• Liga I: Petrolul Ploiesti 2-0 Csikszereda — consensus Petrolul Ploiesti win (100%) RIGHT
• Liga MX: CF Pachuca 2-2 Club Tijuana — consensus CF Pachuca win (100%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Toluca 2-3 Santos Laguna — consensus Toluca win (90%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Club Queretaro 1-1 Leon — consensus draw (50%) RIGHT
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre — consensus Velez Sarsfield win (60%) RIGHT
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Aldosivi 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — consensus draw (40%) WRONG
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Barracas Central 0-1 Independ. Rivadavia — consensus draw (50%) WRONG

For today's predictions, visit the TuringStats predictions page.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.