AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 21, 2026 · 10:00 · UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki Match Finished · 90'

V-varen Nagasaki
vs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Quick answer

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Final score: V-varen Nagasaki 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → V-varen Nagasaki form Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–2 at 65% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where V-varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

V-varen Nagasaki win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
70%
Hiroshima’s 7-2-1 record, 25-6 goal difference and six clean sheets strongly outweigh Nagasaki’s 2-3-5 record. Hiroshima also won both 2026 meetings, while Nagasaki have failed to score three times.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
1–2
58%
Hiroshima dominant form (7W2D1L, 25-6 goals, 6 clean sheets) and recent H2H wins vs struggling Nagasaki attack suggest another away win, though Nagasaki scores occasionally at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
68%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima boast an elite defense with six clean sheets in ten games and consistently dominate this matchup, while Nagasaki struggle for goals against top sides.
04
Grok 4.6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
48%
Hiroshima 7-2-1 with 25-6 and six clean sheets crush Nagasaki’s 2-3-5, 11-18 form. H2H all Hiroshima wins, often 2-0; Nagasaki fail to score often.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
72%
Sanfrecce sit top with 7W 2D 1L and 25-6 goals while Nagasaki are 2W 3D 5L; H2H shows three straight Hiroshima wins including two 2-0s.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
62%
Hiroshima's 6 clean sheets and 25 goals in 10 games dominate; Nagasaki's weak attack (11 goals, 3 blanks) and H2H pattern (0-2 twice) support a comfortable away win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
72%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima dominate form (7W, 25-6 goals), clean sheets, and recent H2H (2-0, 3-1, 2-0, 2-0). Nagasaki struggles defensively (11-18 goals).
08
Kimi K3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
68%
Sanfrecce dominate with 7 wins and 6 clean sheets versus Nagasaki's 5 losses and single clean sheet; H2H shows three 2-0 away wins, and Sanfrecce's defensive solidity should contain Nagasaki's struggling attack.
09
GLM 5.3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
62%
Hiroshima's 7W-2D-1L form, 25-6 goal edge and six clean sheets dominate; H2H shows repeated 2-0 away wins over weak Nagasaki, who concede freely.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
0–2
68%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's dominant form (7W 1L) and strong attack face a V-varen side with poor defense (18 goals conceded) and recent H2H losses.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 0–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–2
    9 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
V-varen Nagasaki
Hijiri Onaga 36'
Matheus Jesus 45'
Kenshin Yasuda 73', 90+7'
4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 6.50 / 5.00 / 1.40
V-varen Nagasaki Market 14% · AI 0%
Draw Market 19% · AI 0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Market 67% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

V-varen Nagasaki

3-4-2-1
T. Takagi
99 Jonathan
99 Jonathan
19 T. Sawada
19 Sawada
10 Matheus Jesus
10 Jesus
23 S. Yoneda
23 Yoneda
41 M. Hasegawa
41 Hasegawa
5 H. Yamaguchi
5 Yamaguchi
22 H. Onaga
22 Onaga
31 K. Doi
31 Doi
29 I. Arai
29 Arai
25 T. Ominami
25 Ominami
1 M. Goto
1 Goto

Bench: Y. Egawa, Diego Pituca, G. Hatano, A. Masuyama, R. Shindo, R. Yamada, R. Yamasaki, K. Yasuda

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
Bartosch Gaul
22 S. Haller
22 Haller
10 A. Suzuki
10 Suzuki
29 T. Asano
29 Asano
18 D. Suga
18 Suga
35 Y. Nakajima
35 Nakajima
6 H. Kawabe
6 Kawabe
5 N. Arai
5 Arai
7 S. Higashi
7 Higashi
4 H. Araki
4 Araki
15 S. Nakano
15 Nakano
1 K. Osako
1 Osako

Bench: I. Ouchi, T. Matsumoto, S. Koshimichi, S. Kobayashi, Kim Ju-Sung, T. Kawamura, M. Kato, K. Yengi, S. Ayukawa

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

V-varen Nagasaki

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
3-3-5
Goals
15-18
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
7-2-2
Goals
25-10
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
2
Best win run
4
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · V-varen Nagasaki

  • H. Yamaguchi 0 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Key players · Sanfrecce Hiroshima

  • A. Suzuki 7 G · 4 A · 10 apps
  • M. Kato 2 G · 3 A · 0 apps
  • S. Higashi 1 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
New at V-varen Nagasaki A. Masuyama (Machida Zelvia), Jonathan (Stal Rzeszów), S. Diop (Fukuyama City)
New at Sanfrecce Hiroshima K. Yengi (Aberdeen), T. Kawamura (Red Bull Salzburg), T. Asano (Mallorca)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 65% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.10 vs 2.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual V-varen Nagasaki win · AI Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

V-varen Nagasaki
#15 · 9 PTS · GD -7
Last 5
W L D L W
7 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0 W
  • Kashima 2-0 L
  • JEF United Chiba 1-1 D
  • Gainare Tottori 2-0 L
  • Nagoya Grampus 2-0 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#1 · 23 PTS · GD +19
Last 5
L W W W W
8 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • V-varen Nagasaki 4-0 L
  • Kyoto Sanga 3-0 W
  • Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 W
  • Tokyo Verdy 0-2 W
  • Tochigi City 0-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

VVA 0 · D 0 · SAN 4

SAN VS VVA
2-0
HOME WIN
Apr 18, 2026
VVA VS SAN
1-3
AWAY WIN
Feb 6, 2026
SAN VS VVA
2-0
HOME WIN
Aug 11, 2018
VVA VS SAN
0-2
AWAY WIN
Apr 28, 2018

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with V-varen Nagasaki, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

V-varen Nagasaki
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When V-varen Nagasaki is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.