AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 21, 2026 · 10:00 · UTC Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu Match Finished · 90'

FC Tokyo
vs
Kashiwa Reysol.

Quick answer

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Final score: FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick FC Tokyo to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → FC Tokyo form Kashiwa Reysol form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward FC Tokyo (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

FC Tokyo win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Kashiwa Reysol win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
FC Tokyo win
2–1
64%
FC Tokyo’s perfect five-match run, 7-1-2 season record and seven clean sheets provide a strong home foundation. Kashiwa’s attack is dangerous but their 17 conceded and recent loss suggest a narrow Tokyo win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
FC Tokyo win
2–1
58%
FC Tokyo riding five straight wins with strong defense, while Kashiwa leaks goals (17 conceded) and lost last outing; home venue adds edge but Kashiwa's attack should score.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
FC Tokyo win
2–0
52%
FC Tokyo have won five straight matches while keeping seven clean sheets this season. Their dominant defensive structure should stifle Kashiwa, who have conceded 17 goals in 10 games.
04
Grok 4.6
FC Tokyo win
2–0
48%
Tokyo’s 7W-2D-1L, seven clean sheets and five straight wins point to a home shutout; Reysol score but concede freely and just lost.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
FC Tokyo win
2–1
42%
FC Tokyo's five straight wins, 7 clean sheets, and home venue offset Kashiwa's strong attack; recent H2H at this ground favors the visitors, so a narrow home win is only moderately confident.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
FC Tokyo win
2–0
58%
FC Tokyo's elite defense (7 clean sheets in 10) and five straight wins at home against Kashiwa's leaky back line (17 conceded) strongly support a clean-sheet home win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
FC Tokyo win
2–1
60%
FC Tokyo's 5-game win streak, strong defense (7 clean sheets), and home advantage outweigh Reysol's inconsistent form and leaky defense.
08
Kimi K3
FC Tokyo win
2–1
58%
FC Tokyo's perfect five-game run, 7 clean sheets and Nagakura's form at Ajinomoto outweigh Kashiwa's 22-goal attack, which still concedes; recent H2H split but Tokyo won the last meeting 3-1.
09
GLM 5.3
FC Tokyo win
2–1
55%
FC Tokyo's five straight wins and 7 clean sheets at home outweigh Kashiwa's leaky defense (1 clean sheet); Tokyo won the last H2H 3-1, but Kashiwa's Segawa-led attack should get one back.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
FC Tokyo win
2–1
52%
FC Tokyo's five straight wins, 7 clean sheets and 21-8 goal record at Ajinomoto outweigh Kashiwa's leaky 17 conceded; Segawa keeps the visitors scoring but Tokyo's form edges it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    7 models
  • 2–0
    3 models

Live match centre

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FC Tokyo
0–0
Kashiwa Reysol
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.95 / 3.60 / 3.70
FC Tokyo Market 48% · AI 100%
Draw Market 27% · AI 0%
Kashiwa Reysol Market 25% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
R. Matsuhashi
26 M. Nagakura
26 Nagakura
9 Marcelo Ryan
9 Ryan
7 S. Anzai
7 Anzai
8 T. Ko
8 Ko
27 Kyota Tokiwa
27 Tokiwa
10 K. Sato
10 Sato
6 K. Bangnagande
6 Bangnagande
4 H. Inamura
4 Inamura
24 A. Scholz
24 Scholz
22 H. Ishihara
22 Ishihara
81 Kim Seung-Gyu
81 Seung-Gyu

Bench: H. Tanaka, K. Suzuki, Dani Gómez, F. Yamada, K. Tawaratsumida, M. Morishige, S. Nagano, T. Nakagawa, R. Omori

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1
Ricardo Rodríguez
15 S. Fujio
15 Fujio
87 H. Yamauchi
87 Yamauchi
16 K. Yuruki
16 Yuruki
44 K. Yuba
44 Yuba
39 N. Nakagawa
39 Nakagawa
21 Y. Konishi
21 Konishi
24 T. Kubo
24 Kubo
2 H. Mitsumaru
2 Mitsumaru
4 T. Koga
4 Koga
28 S. Toshima
28 Toshima
29 K. Nagai
29 Nagai

Bench: K. Endo, Shusuke Furuya, W. Harada, R. Harakawa, M. Hosoya, Y. Koizumi, H. Saruta, Y. Segawa, D. Sugioka

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
W-D-L
7-3-1
Goals
21-8
Clean sheets
8
Failed to score
1
Best win run
5
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
7-1-3
Goals
22-17
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
3
Best win run
4
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · FC Tokyo

  • M. Nagakura 7 G · 4 A · 10 apps
  • Marcelo Ryan 4 G · 2 A · 10 apps
  • S. Anzai 4 G · 0 A · 9 apps

Key players · Kashiwa Reysol

  • Y. Segawa 7 G · 2 A · 10 apps
  • Y. Koizumi 3 G · 3 A · 10 apps
  • Masa 0 G · 5 A · 5 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
Referee Koki Nagamine
New at FC Tokyo Dani Gómez (Zaragoza), Everton Galdino (Mirassol), N. Vallys (Brondby)
New at Kashiwa Reysol S. Iwanaga (Avispa Fukuoka), S. Fujio (Machida Zelvia), F. Mohamado (Thespakusatsu Gunma)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors FC Tokyo

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI FC Tokyo win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

FC Tokyo
#3 · 23 PTS · GD +13
Last 5
D W L W W
9 GF · 1 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 D
  • Tokyo Verdy 0-4 W
  • Mito Hollyhock 1-0 L
  • Urawa 3-0 W
  • Ehime FC 0-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Kashiwa Reysol
#5 · 21 PTS · GD +5
Last 5
D L W W W
15 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • FC Tokyo 0-0 D
  • Nagoya Grampus 1-3 L
  • Port FC 5-1 W
  • Vissel Kobe 4-2 W
  • Gamba Osaka 5-4 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FCT 1 · D 1 · KAS 3

KAS VS FCT
1-3
AWAY WIN
Apr 29, 2026
FCT VS KAS
0-2
AWAY WIN
Feb 28, 2026
KAS VS FCT
1-0
HOME WIN
Jul 5, 2025
FCT VS KAS
1-1
DRAW
Apr 11, 2025
FCT VS KAS
0-1
AWAY WIN
Jul 30, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with FC Tokyo, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

FC Tokyo
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Kashiwa Reysol
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When FC Tokyo is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: FC Tokyo win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is FC Tokyo win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.