AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 21, 2026 · 10:00 · UTC JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama Match Finished · 90'

Fagiano Okayama
vs
Mito Hollyhock.

Quick answer

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

Final score: Fagiano Okayama 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Fagiano Okayama to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Fagiano Okayama form Mito Hollyhock form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Fagiano Okayama (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 49% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Fagiano Okayama win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Mito Hollyhock win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
55%
Okayama’s home advantage and stronger recent start support a narrow win, while both teams’ losing runs and modest scoring records point to a tight, low-scoring match. Recent H2H also favors Okayama in Okayama.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Fagiano Okayama win
2–1
48%
Okayama holds home edge and h2h dominance at this venue; Mito struggling badly (DLLLL) but scores occasionally via Watanabe.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
56%
Mito Hollyhock are winless in five matches without a clean sheet, while Okayama hold the home advantage and historically edge this low-scoring fixture.
04
Grok 4.6
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
42%
Venue H2H both 1-0; Mito last five DLLLL and zero clean sheets. Both sides modest scoring, so a narrow home win fits better than 2-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
52%
Fagiano Okayama's recent WWLLL form and home venue edge over Mito's five-match losing run support a narrow home win; H2H shows two prior 1-0 Okayama wins, and Mito has no clean sheets this season.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
45%
H2H shows repeated 1-0 home wins; Mito on four-game losing streak with zero clean sheets, while Okayama's low-scoring profile suits a narrow home edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
58%
Fagiano home form and recent 1-0 H2H wins outweigh Mito’s poor away run and 0 clean sheets.
08
Kimi K3
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
48%
Okayama hold home edge and H2H wins (1-0 twice recently) versus Mito's winless run and zero clean sheets; tight, low-scoring match likely.
09
GLM 5.3
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
46%
Okayama stronger at home with H2H edge (three 1-0/0-0 style results); Mito winless in five and no clean sheets. Low-scoring home win fits both sides' modest scoring.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Fagiano Okayama win
1–0
42%
H2H shows three tight low-scoring meetings (1-0, 1-0, 0-0) with Okayama unbeaten at home in this fixture; Mito's 0 clean sheets and four straight losses, plus Watanabe carrying their attack, favor a narrow home edge despite Okayama's own wobble.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    9 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Fagiano Okayama
Ataru Esaka 52', 65'
2–0
Mito Hollyhock
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.67 / 3.70 / 5.00
Fagiano Okayama Market 56% · AI 100%
Draw Market 25% · AI 0%
Mito Hollyhock Market 19% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

Fagiano Okayama

3-4-2-1
T. Kiyama
99 Lucão
99 Lucão
8 A. Esaka
8 Esaka
10 Na Sang-Ho
10 Sang-Ho
88 T. Yamane
88 Yamane
80 Oberdan
80 Oberdan
41 E. Miyamoto
41 Miyamoto
28 M. Matsumoto
28 Matsumoto
43 Y. Suzuki
43 Suzuki
48 Y. Tatsuta
48 Tatsuta
26 H. Motoyama
26 Motoyama
1 L. Moser
1 Moser

Bench: Y. Fujii, T. Hamada, Y. Kamiya, K. Kawano, Léo Gaúcho, S. Mori, R. Sato, K. Shirai, R. Takeuchi

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
D. Kimori
8 C. Kato
8 Kato
9 R. Nemoto
9 Nemoto
22 K. Taniguchi
22 Taniguchi
20 Y. Funabashi
20 Funabashi
38 Leonardo Hugo
38 Hugo
30 J. Okumura
30 Okumura
16 Y. Tamura
16 Tamura
17 K. Itakura
17 Itakura
15 Y. Kimoto
15 Kimoto
25 T. Mase
25 Mase
27 J. Słowik
27 Słowik

Bench: M. Fofana, R. Ieizumi, M. Nishihara, K. Nishikawa, K. Osaki, Patryck Ferreira, K. Tada, H. Yamamoto, K. Yamazaki

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Fagiano Okayama

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
5-1-5
Goals
14-15
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
W-D-L
2-3-6
Goals
12-16
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Fagiano Okayama

  • Lucão 1 G · 3 A · 9 apps
  • H. Motoyama 0 G · 3 A · 3 apps

Key players · Mito Hollyhock

  • A. Watanabe 5 G · 0 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama
Referee Koichiro Fukushima
New at Fagiano Okayama R. Sato (Jubilo Iwata), Kewin (Damac), Oberdan (Jeonbuk Motors)
New at Mito Hollyhock J. Okumura (Albirex Niigata), Leonardo Hugo (Sao Paulo), A. Kawazura (Nagoya Grampus)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Fagiano Okayama

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 49% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Fagiano Okayama win · AI Fagiano Okayama win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Fagiano Okayama
#11 · 13 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W L D L W
8 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Mito Hollyhock 2-0 W
  • Vissel Kobe 0-3 L
  • Nagoya Grampus 3-3 D
  • Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 L
  • Consadole Sapporo 1-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Mito Hollyhock
#14 · 9 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
L L W L W
9 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Fagiano Okayama 2-0 L
  • Urawa 0-1 L
  • FC Tokyo 1-0 W
  • Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 L
  • Fukushima United 0-7 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FAG 2 · D 3 · MIT 0

MIT VS FAG
0-0
DRAW
Sep 22, 2024
FAG VS MIT
1-0
HOME WIN
Mar 20, 2024
FAG VS MIT
1-0
HOME WIN
Jul 1, 2023
MIT VS FAG
1-1
DRAW
Mar 5, 2023
MIT VS FAG
1-1
DRAW
Jun 25, 2022

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Fagiano Okayama, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Fagiano Okayama
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Mito Hollyhock
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Fagiano Okayama is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Fagiano Okayama win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Fagiano Okayama win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.