AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 21, 2026 · 10:00 · UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka Match Finished · 90'

Shimizu S-pulse
vs
Machida Zelvia.

Quick answer

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

Final score: Shimizu S-pulse 0–5 Machida Zelvia. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Machida Zelvia to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Shimizu S-pulse form Machida Zelvia form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Machida Zelvia (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where Shimizu S-pulse and Machida Zelvia stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Shimizu S-pulse win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Machida Zelvia win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Machida Zelvia win
0–1
62%
Machida’s 7-2-1 record, 25 goals and no scoreless matches substantially outweigh Shimizu’s 4-2-4 season, while the recent 3-0 H2H win supports a narrow away victory despite the venue.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
58%
Machida's strong attacking form (25 goals, 7W) and recent H2H dominance outweigh Shimizu's mediocre scoring record and home venue.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
56%
Machida Zelvia have been prolific with 25 goals in 10 games, never failing to score. Their potent attack led by Soma and Yengi gives them the edge away from home.
04
Grok 4.6
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
48%
Machida lead the table form (7-2-1, 25-10) and always score; Shimizu mixed (10-11) at Nihondaira. Recent 3-0 H2H and Zelvia late goals point to a narrow away win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Machida Zelvia win
0–2
48%
Machida's 7W 2D 1L form, 25 goals scored and zero blanks contrast with Shimizu's three scoreless games and 10-11 goal record; Machida won 3-0 in the last meeting.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
48%
Machida's superior attack (2.5 goals/game, scored every match) and recent 3-0 H2H dominance outweigh Shimizu's modest home form. Shimizu may nick one given recent LWWWD run.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Machida Zelvia win
0–2
68%
Machida's strong form (7W 1L), 25 goals scored, and recent 3-0 H2H win outweigh Shimizu's modest home record.
08
Kimi K3
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
52%
Machida's superior form (7W-2D-1L, 25 goals) and recent H2H edge (3-0 win) outweigh Shimizu's home advantage; expect tight contest but visitors' attack proves decisive.
09
GLM 5.3
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
55%
Machida's 7W-2D-1L record, 25 goals scored and never blanked outweigh Shimizu's home edge; recent H2H also favors Machida, though Shimizu should score at Nihondaira.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Machida Zelvia win
1–2
55%
Machida lead the table with 25 goals in 10 and beat Shimizu 3-0 recently; Shimizu's 10-11 record and home form keep this tight.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    7 models
  • 0–2
    2 models
  • 0–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Shimizu S-pulse
0–5
Machida Zelvia
Neta Lavi 35'
Koki Ogawa 50'
Takuma Nishimura 62', 77', 82'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.10 / 3.25 / 1.95
Shimizu S-pulse Market 23% · AI 0%
Draw Market 29% · AI 0%
Machida Zelvia Market 48% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia

Shimizu S-pulse

4-1-4-1
T. Yoshida
9 Oh Se-Hun
9 Se-Hun
7 Capixaba
7 Capixaba
47 Y. Shimamoto
47 Shimamoto
37 K. Koizumi
37 Koizumi
21 K. Matsuzaki
21 Matsuzaki
17 M. Yumiba
17 Yumiba
25 Mateus Brunetti
25 Brunetti
15 Y. Honda
15 Honda
4 S. Hasukawa
4 Hasukawa
24 H. Sugai
24 Sugai
16 T. Umeda
16 Umeda

Bench: R. Germain, Y. Oki, Park Seung-Wook, Y. Yoshida, T. Hirato, K. Kozuka, K. Kinoshita, K. Inoue, T. Fujii

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
G. Kuroda
99 T. Yengi
99 Yengi
7 Y. Soma
7 Soma
9 Koki Ogawa
9 Ogawa
33 T. Akimoto
33 Akimoto
31 N. Lavi
31 Lavi
16 H. Mae
16 Mae
6 H. Mochizuki
6 Mochizuki
2 T. Ouwejan
2 Ouwejan
50 D. Okamura
50 Okamura
3 G. Shōji
3 Shōji
1 K. Tani
1 Tani

Bench: M. Duke, T. Morita, T. Nishimura, K. Sento, H. Shimoda, R. Shirasaki, Futa Tokumura, I. Drešević, H. Nakamura

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
W-D-L
4-2-5
Goals
10-16
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
4
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
8-2-1
Goals
30-10
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
0
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Shimizu S-pulse

  • T. Fujii 1 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Key players · Machida Zelvia

  • Y. Soma 3 G · 3 A · 10 apps
  • T. Yengi 3 G · 1 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
Referee Yuzo Sutani
New at Shimizu S-pulse T. Hirato (Kyoto Sanga), Won Du-Jae (Khorfakkan), Vini Peixoto (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)
New at Machida Zelvia T. Ouwejan (NEC Nijmegen), Koki Ogawa (NEC Nijmegen), T. Akimoto (OH Leuven)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Machida Zelvia

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.70 vs 1.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Machida Zelvia win · AI Machida Zelvia win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Shimizu S-pulse
#10 · 14 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
L D L W W
7 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Machida Zelvia 0-5 L
  • Gamba Osaka 2-2 D
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 L
  • Mito Hollyhock 1-2 W
  • Kanazawa 0-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Machida Zelvia
#2 · 23 PTS · GD +15
Last 5
W W W W D
10 GF · 0 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Shimizu S-pulse 0-5 W
  • Avispa Fukuoka 3-0 W
  • Tampines Rovers 0-1 W
  • Kyoto Sanga 0-1 W
  • Kyoto Sanga 0-0 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SHI 2 · D 1 · MAC 2

MAC VS SHI
3-0
HOME WIN
Jul 5, 2025
SHI VS MAC
2-2
DRAW
May 11, 2025
SHI VS MAC
3-2
HOME WIN
Aug 19, 2023
MAC VS SHI
2-1
HOME WIN
May 21, 2023
SHI VS MAC
2-0
HOME WIN
Oct 8, 2016

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Shimizu S-pulse, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Shimizu S-pulse
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Machida Zelvia
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Shimizu S-pulse is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Machida Zelvia win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Machida Zelvia win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.