FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City First Half · 45'

Sporting Kansas City
vs
FC Dallas.

Quick answer

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?

Live: Sporting Kansas City 0–1 FC Dallas after 45'. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick FC Dallas to win (100%).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Sporting Kansas City form FC Dallas form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward FC Dallas (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Sporting Kansas City win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

FC Dallas win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
FC Dallas win
2–3
78%
FC Dallas are 15W-9D-7L with a strong recent run, while Sporting are 6W-4D-21L and have conceded 77 goals. Dallas also won the latest meeting and should exploit the hosts’ fragile defense.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
FC Dallas win
1–2
60%
Dallas is far stronger this season (15W, Musa in top form) while KC has collapsed defensively (77 conceded, last five LDLLL, won recent H2H shootout but overall porous).
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
FC Dallas win
1–3
62%
Sporting KC has conceded 77 goals this season and is winless in five. FC Dallas's potent attack led by Musa should easily exploit KC's porous defense.
04
Grok 4.7
FC Dallas win
1–2
58%
SKC’s 6-4-21 record and LDLLL form contrast Dallas’s 15-9-7 and Musa’s 22 goals; recent H2H also favors Dallas, with SKC still likely to nick one at home.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
FC Dallas win
1–2
58%
FC Dallas are 15W-9D-7L with Musa in form, while SKC have 21 losses and one clean sheet. Dallas won four of the last five H2Hs including at Kansas City.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
FC Dallas win
0–2
38%
SKC's dire form (LDLLL, 77 conceded) and Dallas's prolific attack (Musa 22 goals, 8 clean sheets) strongly favour an away win with SKC likely blanked.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
FC Dallas win
1–3
60%
Dallas won four of last five H2H with Musa scoring; Kansas City has 22 losses, 80 conceded and DLLLL form.
08
Kimi K3
FC Dallas win
1–2
62%
FC Dallas superior form (15W vs 6W) and H2H dominance (4 straight wins); SKC leaks 77 goals with only 1 clean sheet, while Dallas scores 58 led by Musa's 22.
09
GLM 5.3
FC Dallas win
1–2
62%
Dallas's strong season (15W, in-form WLWDW) and Musa's 22 goals outweigh SKC's home venue; SKC's league-worst defense (77 conceded) and LDLLL form point to a 1-2 away win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
FC Dallas win
1–2
58%
SKC sit last with 21 losses and 77 conceded, five straight defeats; Dallas lead the series and Musa's 22 goals fuel a strong late-scoring side. H2H shows goals at both ends, so 1-2 fits better than a blowout.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    6 models
  • 1–3
    2 models
  • 2–3
    1 model
  • 0–2
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.60 / 4.10 / 1.85
Sporting Kansas City Market 26% · AI 0%
Draw Market 23% · AI 0%
FC Dallas Market 51% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
R. Wicky
24 R. Ramos
24 Ramos
19 T. Calheira
19 Calheira
7 Capita
7 Capita
33 O. Wolff
33 Wolff
16 J. Bartlett
16 Bartlett
11 André Luiz
11 Luiz
18 E. Karić
18 Karić
28 Wyatt Meyer
28 Meyer
15 Jansen Miller
15 Miller
8 J. Davis
8 Davis
30 S. Cleveland
30 Cleveland

Bench: S. Afrifa, E. Bartlow, C. Harris, I. James, L. Johnsen, J. Pulskamp, J. Reid, M. Suleymanov, Alexander Cunningham

FC Dallas

4-4-2
Eric Quill
10 S. Moreno
10 Moreno
7 D. Job
7 Job
6 R. Binyamin
6 Binyamin
17 Ramiro
17 Ramiro
55 Kaick
55 Kaick
21 J. Valiente
21 Valiente
5 L. Abubakar
5 Abubakar
25 S. Ibeagha
25 Ibeagha
3 O. Urhoghide
3 Urhoghide
14 H. Johansson
14 Johansson
40 J. Sirois
40 Sirois

Bench: A. Julio, B. Kamungo, P. Musa, Samuel Sarver, Caleb Swann, P. Delgado, Daniel, C. Cappis, Alvaro Augusto

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
W-D-L
6-4-22
Goals
38-80
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
10
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

FC Dallas

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
15-9-8
Goals
58-49
Clean sheets
8
Failed to score
8
Best win run
3
Penalties
7/8
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Sporting Kansas City

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · FC Dallas

  • P. Musa 22 G · 5 A · 28 apps
  • J. Valiente 2 G · 9 A · 30 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Referee Fotis Bazakos
New at Sporting Kansas City R. Ramos (Los Angeles Galaxy), S. Reid (New York City FC), O. Wolff (Austin)
New at FC Dallas C. Holstad (Rhode Island), Daniel (San Jose Earthquakes), E. Sali (Al Riyadh)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors FC Dallas

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 2.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual FC Dallas win · AI FC Dallas win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Sporting Kansas City
#15 · 22 PTS · GD -42
Last 5
L L L L D
6 GF · 15 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Minnesota United FC 3-1 L
  • Austin 1-2 L
  • Real Salt Lake 1-3 L
  • Nashville SC 4-0 L
  • Portland Timbers 3-3 D
Team news
O. Blorian — Chest Injury Diego Borges — Groin Injury M. Mosquera — Hamstring Injury S. Reid — Hamstring Injury J. Reynolds — Muscle Injury Z. Bassong — Hamstring Injury L. Johnsen — Hamstring Injury
FC Dallas
#2 · 54 PTS · GD +9
Last 5
L W D W L
8 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Columbus Crew 0-2 L
  • San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 W
  • Houston Dynamo 2-2 D
  • Seattle Sounders 1-0 W
  • Charlotte 3-2 L
Team news
S. Moore — Yellow Cards N. Norris — Yellow Cards L. Farrington — Lower-Body Injury Geovane Jesus — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SPO 1 · D 0 · FCD 4

FCD VS SPO
4-3
HOME WIN
Sep 6, 2026
SPO VS FCD
2-4
AWAY WIN
Jun 15, 2025
FCD VS SPO
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 30, 2025
FCD VS SPO
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 20, 2024
SPO VS FCD
2-1
HOME WIN
Jul 11, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Sporting Kansas City, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Sporting Kansas City
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
FC Dallas
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Sporting Kansas City is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: FC Dallas win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is FC Dallas win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.