FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte Match Finished · 90'

Charlotte
vs
Orlando City SC.

Quick answer

Who will win Charlotte vs Orlando City SC?

Final score: Charlotte 4–0 Orlando City SC. Before kickoff, 3 of 10 AI models pick Orlando City SC to win (30%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 2–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Charlotte form Orlando City SC form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–2 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Charlotte and Orlando City SC stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Charlotte win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Orlando City SC win 30%

3 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
2–2
27%
Charlotte have the home advantage and stronger defensive record, but Orlando score more freely and both teams have shown inconsistent recent form. Their recent meetings also support a competitive, high-scoring draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Charlotte win
2–1
48%
Both sides leak goals and attack well; Charlotte's home comfort and Biel/Toklomati form edge a tight, high-scoring game.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
2–2
46%
Orlando possesses a potent attack with Ojeda and Griezmann but concedes heavily (72 goals allowed). Charlotte's solid home attack matches Orlando's firepower, pointing to another high-scoring stalemate.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
42%
Charlotte’s mixed home form (LWLDL) meets Orlando’s better recent run but leaky 72 conceded. Prior home H2H 2-2 and 0-0 points to a low shared-goal stalemate.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Orlando City SC win
1–2
48%
Orlando attack has Griezmann and Ojeda, and won 4-1 in April; Charlotte's form is poor (LWLDL) with defensive leaks, so away edge fits.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
Orlando's H2H dominance and better form offset by Charlotte's home edge; Orlando's leaky defense (72 conceded) ensures Charlotte score, while Griezmann/Ojeda threat guarantees a reply.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Draw
2–2
51%
Orlando unbeaten in five with Griezmann and Ojeda firing, but leaky defense meets Charlotte home attack; H2H recent 2-2 and 4-1 shows open games.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
2–2
38%
Charlotte's home form (13W) faces Orlando's potent attack (60 goals) led by Ojeda and Griezmann; H2H shows high-scoring parity (2-2, 1-1 recently), and both defenses concede heavily, suggesting an open draw.
09
GLM 5.3
Orlando City SC win
1–2
48%
Orlando unbeaten in three with Ojeda and Griezmann firing, and won 4-1 in April; Charlotte's LWLDL slide and leaky defense offset home advantage.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Orlando City SC win
1–2
44%
Orlando's attack (Ojeda, Griezmann) outpaces Charlotte's shaky defense (48 conceded), and H2H shows Orlando dominance recently; Charlotte's poor form (LWLDL) and home edge only keep this close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 2–2. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 2–2
    4 models
  • 1–2
    3 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Live match centre

73'
Charlotte
Henry Kessler 6'
Allan Saint-Maximin 49'
2–0
Orlando City SC
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.85 / 4.50 / 3.40
Charlotte Market 51% · AI 9%
Draw Market 21% · AI 55%
Orlando City SC Market 28% · AI 36%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Charlotte vs Orlando City SC

Charlotte

4-3-3
D. Smith
10 A. Saint-Maximin
10 Saint-Maximin
9 I. Toklomati Giorno
9 Giorno
11 L. Abada
11 Abada
16 Pep Biel
16 Biel
8 A. Westwood
8 Westwood
28 D. Diani
28 Diani
15 H. Toffolo
15 Toffolo
22 H. Kessler
22 Kessler
44 M. Agyemang
44 Agyemang
14 N. Byrne
14 Byrne
1 K. Kahlina
1 Kahlina

Bench: R. Aloko, B. Bronico, L. de la Torre, A. Doucouré, T. Miller, A. Privett, N. Richmond, D. Schnegg, Tyger Smalls

Orlando City SC

4-4-2
M. Perelman
10 M. Ojeda
10 Ojeda
7 A. Griezmann
7 Griezmann
77 I. Angulo
77 Angulo
5 Luis Otávio
5 Otávio
8 B. Ojeda
8 Ojeda
87 Marco Pasalic
87 Pasalic
27 Vinícius Nogueira
27 Nogueira
57 Iago
57 Iago
16 W. Cartagena
16 Cartagena
19 Z. Taifi
19 Taifi
71 M. Crépeau
71 Crépeau

Bench: Tiago, Harvey Sarajian, Javier Otero, N. Miller, Joran Gerbet, Justin Ellis, D. Dike, E. Atuesta, Adrián Marín

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Charlotte

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
14-8-10
Goals
59-48
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
6
Best win run
2
Penalties
4/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Orlando City SC

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
12-7-13
Goals
62-74
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
5
Best win run
3
Penalties
5/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Charlotte

  • I. Toklomati Giorno 15 G · 5 A · 31 apps
  • Pep Biel 12 G · 8 A · 32 apps

Key players · Orlando City SC

  • A. Griezmann 14 G · 7 A · 16 apps
  • M. Ojeda 16 G · 4 A · 26 apps
  • Justin Ellis 1 G · 9 A · 23 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Referee Victor Rivas
New at Charlotte A. Doucouré (NEOM), N. Richmond (Crown Legacy), A. Saint-Maximin (Lens)
New at Orlando City SC Vinícius Nogueira (Ludogorets), A. Griezmann (Atletico Madrid), D. Dike (West Brom)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.50 vs 1.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Charlotte win · AI Orlando City SC win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Charlotte
#5 · 50 PTS · GD +11
Last 5
W W L D L
13 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Orlando City SC 4-0 W
  • CF Montreal 4-0 W
  • Portland Timbers 3-2 L
  • Philadelphia Union 2-2 D
  • Columbus Crew 3-1 L
Team news
N. Berchimas — Foot Injury A. Goodwin — Foot Injury A. John — Shoulder Injury B. Bronico — Groin Injury W. Cleary — Illness T. Ream — Achilles Tendon Injury A. Saint-Maximin — Leg Injury
Orlando City SC
#7 · 43 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
L D D W D
11 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Charlotte 4-0 L
  • Chicago Fire 2-2 D
  • New York City FC 2-2 D
  • DC United 4-1 W
  • Toronto FC 3-3 D
Team news
D. Brekalo — Yellow Cards R. Jansson — Foot Injury T. Spicer — Foot Injury G. Dorsey — Back Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CHA 0 · D 3 · ORL 2

ORL VS CHA
4-1
HOME WIN
Apr 22, 2026
CHA VS ORL
2-2
DRAW
Jul 5, 2025
ORL VS CHA
3-1
HOME WIN
May 14, 2025
ORL VS CHA
1-1
DRAW
Nov 9, 2024
CHA VS ORL
0-0
DRAW
Nov 1, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Charlotte, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Charlotte
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Orlando City SC
~30%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Charlotte is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Orlando City SC win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Charlotte vs Orlando City SC in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Orlando City SC win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 60% / 30% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Charlotte vs Orlando City SC, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.