FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus Second Half · 84'

Columbus Crew
vs
DC United.

Quick answer

Who will win Columbus Crew vs DC United?

Live: Columbus Crew 3–0 DC United after 84'. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Columbus Crew to win (100%).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Columbus Crew form DC United form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Columbus Crew (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Columbus Crew and DC United stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Columbus Crew win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

DC United win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Columbus Crew win
2–1
54%
Columbus has stronger recent form and home advantage, while DC United’s 38-55 record and three straight losses indicate defensive vulnerability. Recent meetings suggest a competitive, often high-scoring matchup rather than a comfortable home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Columbus Crew win
2–1
58%
Crew's strong form (WLWWW) and home venue favor them, though DC's Baribo keeps them dangerous; expect a competitive, goal-sharing match.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Columbus Crew win
2–0
56%
Columbus enter in strong form having won four of five, while DC United have struggled for results and failed to score in ten league matches.
04
Grok 4.7
Columbus Crew win
2–1
52%
Crew’s WLWWW form and home venue beat DC’s LWLLL slump and frequent blanks; Baribo can nick one, so a 2-1 home edge fits better than a shutout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Columbus Crew win
2–1
52%
Columbus have won four straight and host a DC United side on a three-match losing run; H2H often produces 2-1 either way, so home edge tilts it.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Columbus Crew win
2–1
52%
Columbus in good form (WLWWW) at home vs DC United on four losses in five; H2H supports narrow home wins, though DC's Baribo keeps them dangerous.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Columbus Crew win
2–0
58%
Columbus LWWWW at home vs DC WLLLL; DC failed to score 10 times and Baribo doubtful with hip issue.
08
Kimi K3
Columbus Crew win
2–1
58%
Columbus in strong late-season form (4 wins in 5) with home advantage against struggling DC United (4 losses in 5). DC's Baribo threat (16 goals) likely keeps it competitive, but Crew's superior momentum and venue edge should secure a narrow victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Columbus Crew win
2–1
55%
Columbus are in strong form (4 of last 5 won) at home, while DC struggle to score (10 blanks) but Baribo and late goals keep them competitive; recent H2H games were tight, so a narrow home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Columbus Crew win
2–1
42%
Crew's WLWWW form and home venue outweigh DC's LWLL run despite the September loss; Baribo's threat keeps it close in a fixture that rarely produces clean sheets between these sides.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    8 models
  • 2–0
    2 models

Live match centre

31'
Columbus Crew
Sean Zawadzki 16'
1–0
DC United
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.44 / 4.75 / 7.00
Columbus Crew Market 66% · AI 100%
Draw Market 20% · AI 0%
DC United Market 14% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Columbus Crew vs DC United

Columbus Crew

4-4-2
L. Courtois
33 G. Tapia
33 Tapia
16 T. Habroune
16 Habroune
8 S. Rodríguez
8 Rodríguez
17 S. Bangoura
17 Bangoura
7 D. Chambost
7 Chambost
23 M. Farsi
23 Farsi
21 A. Zaroury
21 Zaroury
18 M. Amundsen
18 Amundsen
25 S. Zawadzki
25 Zawadzki
31 S. Moreira
31 Moreira
28 P. Schulte
28 Schulte

Bench: E. Bailly, L. Giaccone, N. Hagen, M. Herrera, T. Karumanchi, B. Lennon, Josef Martínez, Cesar Ruvalcaba, J. Thiaré

DC United

4-4-2
R. Weiler
7 Peglow
7 Peglow
22 N. Ordaz
22 Ordaz
8 J. Stroud
8 Stroud
21 A. Dozzell
21 Dozzell
4 M. Peltola
4 Peltola
2 K. Nono
2 Nono
6 K. Kurokawa
6 Kurokawa
15 K. Rowles
15 Rowles
3 L. Bartlett
3 Bartlett
5 S. Hefti
5 Hefti
26 A. Bono
26 Bono

Bench: S. Nealis, B. Servania, Gavin Turner, Nikola Markovic, J. Hopkins, J. Farr, K. Castillo, O. Avilez, C. Antley

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Columbus Crew

4-4-2
W-D-L
12-5-15
Goals
52-49
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
4
Best win run
2
Penalties
4/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

DC United

4-4-2
W-D-L
7-12-13
Goals
39-57
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
10
Best win run
2
Penalties
6/6
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Columbus Crew

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · DC United

  • T. Baribo 16 G · 1 A · 25 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Referee Elijio Arreguin
New at Columbus Crew A. Zaroury (Panathinaikos), S. Rodríguez (Botafogo), Josef Martínez (Club Tijuana)
New at DC United C. Antley (Tampa Bay Rowdies), K. Nono (Kashima), N. Ordaz (Los Angeles FC)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Columbus Crew

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Columbus Crew win · AI Columbus Crew win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Columbus Crew
#9 · 41 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W W D W W
11 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • FC Dallas 0-2 W
  • Toronto FC 4-2 W
  • St. Louis City 0-0 D
  • FC Cincinnati 0-2 W
  • Charlotte 3-1 W
Team news
W. Abou Ali — Knee Injury E. Bailly — Leg Injury R. Camacho — Chest Injury B. Mendez — Thigh Injury A. Zaroury — Ankle Injury
DC United
#13 · 33 PTS · GD -18
Last 5
L L L L W
5 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Toronto FC 2-1 L
  • FC Cincinnati 0-2 L
  • FC Cincinnati 2-1 L
  • Orlando City SC 4-1 L
  • New York Red Bulls 2-1 W
Team news
L. Munteanu — Leg Injury T. Baribo — Hip Injury H. Kijima — Leg Injury G. Segal — Ankle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

COL 2 · D 2 · DCU 1

DCU VS COL
2-1
HOME WIN
Sep 9, 2026
COL VS DCU
2-1
HOME WIN
Jul 19, 2025
DCU VS COL
1-2
AWAY WIN
Mar 29, 2025
DCU VS COL
2-2
DRAW
Sep 28, 2024
COL VS DCU
1-1
DRAW
Apr 6, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Columbus Crew, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Columbus Crew
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
DC United
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Columbus Crew is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Columbus Crew win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Columbus Crew vs DC United in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Columbus Crew win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Columbus Crew vs DC United, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.