VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34 Avaya Stadium, San Jose Match Finished · 90'

San Jose Earthquakes
vs
Real Salt Lake.

Quick answer

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?

Final score: San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Real Salt Lake. Before kickoff, 5 of 10 AI models pick San Jose Earthquakes to win (50%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → San Jose Earthquakes form Real Salt Lake form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward San Jose Earthquakes (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 45% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

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Major League Soccer table Where San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Jose Earthquakes win 50%

5 / 10 models

Draw 50%

5 / 10 models

Real Salt Lake win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Both teams have comparable season records and balanced goal differences. San Jose's home advantage is offset by Real Salt Lake's stronger recent form, while their recent 1-1 meeting supports another tight draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
48%
San Jose's stronger record and Judd's scoring give home edge; RSL's leaky defense (48 conceded) supports goals both ways at PayPal Park.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
51%
Both sides possess reliable leading goalscorers but enter in closely matched form, having already drawn 1-1 just weeks ago.
04
Grok 4.7
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
48%
Earthquakes have the stronger season record and PayPal Park edge; Judd’s output supports a narrow home win despite RSL’s hotter last five.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
48%
San Jose has better overall form and home venue, but RSL won three of last five and both defenses are leaky, making a narrow home win most plausible.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
30%
Most recent H2H was 1-1 two weeks ago; San Jose's draw-heavy form (WDDDL) and RSL's decent away record support a tight, level result at PayPal Park.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Draw
1–1
46%
San Jose winless with four draws in five and drew 1-1 at Salt Lake Oct 15. RSL on three wins but missing Luna and rarely keeps clean sheets.
08
Kimi K3
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
52%
San Jose's superior record and home edge at PayPal Park outweigh RSL's recent form; both attacks score regularly, so a narrow home win with goals on both sides fits.
09
GLM 5.3
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
52%
San Jose stronger overall record at PayPal Park with Judd scoring freely; RSL arrive in better recent form (WLDWW) and scored in the last H2H, so a narrow home win with both scoring fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
San Jose's WDDDL form shows draws piling up despite home venue; RSL arrive on WLDWW but leak goals freely. Last meeting finished 1-1, and both attacks are productive yet inconsistent.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    5 models
  • 2–1
    5 models

Live match centre

Full-time
San Jose Earthquakes
Ousseni Bouda 2'
Benjamin Kikanovic 17'
2–1
Real Salt Lake
Juan Sanabria 23'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.35 / 4.00 / 2.70
San Jose Earthquakes Market 41% · AI 45%
Draw Market 24% · AI 55%
Real Salt Lake Market 35% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

San Jose Earthquakes

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
13-10-9
Goals
54-47
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
5
Best win run
6
Penalties
4/7
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
W-D-L
12-6-14
Goals
50-49
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
6
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · San Jose Earthquakes

  • P. Judd 16 G · 2 A · 29 apps
  • N. Tsakiris 3 G · 8 A · 21 apps

Key players · Real Salt Lake

  • S. Solans 14 G · 4 A · 30 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Avaya Stadium, San Jose
Referee Lorenzo Hernandez
New at San Jose Earthquakes E. Löwen (St. Louis City), L. Jovanović (Adelaide United), A. Gunn (Nottingham Forest)
New at Real Salt Lake D. Zagar (IMT Novi Beograd), L. De Fougerolles (Fulham), T. Booth (Twente)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors San Jose Earthquakes

50% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.50 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric San Jose Earthquakes Real Salt Lake Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 5.8 5.5 11.2 Under 11.5 55% 10 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.0 2.0 4.0 Over 3.5 56% 4 hit Ask AI
Shots 14.1 14.3 28.4 Under 28.5 52% 31 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 5.4 4.9 10.3 Under 10.5 55% 10 hit Ask AI

Sample: 3 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual San Jose Earthquakes win · AI San Jose Earthquakes win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

San Jose Earthquakes
#5 · 49 PTS · GD +7
Last 5
W D L D D
6 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Real Salt Lake 2-1 W
  • Colorado Rapids 2-2 D
  • FC Dallas 3-0 L
  • Nashville SC 1-1 D
  • Real Salt Lake 1-1 D
Team news
N. Adimabua — Hernia D. Johnson — Lower-Body Injury D. Jones — Achilles Tendon Injury T. Werner — Red Card J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza — Lower-Body Injury
Real Salt Lake
#9 · 42 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
L W W W D
10 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 L
  • Austin 1-2 W
  • St. Louis City 3-0 W
  • Sporting Kansas City 1-3 W
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 D
Team news
E. Eneli — Knee Injury M. Guilavogui — Yellow Cards D. Luna — Knee Injury J. J. Arias — Hamstring Injury G. Dillon — Foot Injury L. Engel — Hamstring Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SAN 2 · D 1 · REA 2

REA VS SAN
1-1
DRAW
Oct 15, 2026
REA VS SAN
2-1
HOME WIN
Jul 27, 2025
SAN VS REA
4-0
HOME WIN
Feb 23, 2025
SAN VS REA
0-1
AWAY WIN
Oct 6, 2024
REA VS SAN
0-2
AWAY WIN
Aug 25, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 50% of models side with San Jose Earthquakes, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 50% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

San Jose Earthquakes
~50%
implied lean
Draw
~50%
implied lean
Real Salt Lake
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When San Jose Earthquakes is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: San Jose Earthquakes win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Jose Earthquakes win, with vote shares roughly 50% / 50% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.