FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Geodis Park, Nashville Match Finished · 90'

Nashville SC
vs
Philadelphia Union.

Quick answer

Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Final score: Nashville SC 0–0 Philadelphia Union. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Nashville SC to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Nashville SC form Philadelphia Union form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Nashville SC (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Nashville SC win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Philadelphia Union win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Nashville SC win
2–1
72%
Nashville’s 21-3-7 record, 66-23 goal difference and 15 clean sheets are markedly stronger than Philadelphia’s 13-7-11 and 62-50, while Geodis Park and recent head-to-head results reinforce a narrow home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Nashville SC win
2–1
58%
Nashville's elite record (21W-7D-3L, 66 goals, 15 clean sheets) and strong home H2H history outweigh Philadelphia's inconsistent defense (50 conceded).
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Nashville SC win
2–0
62%
Nashville's dominant 21-7-3 record and elite defense (15 clean sheets, only 23 goals conceded) should contain Philadelphia's offense at Geodis Park, while Mukhtar and Surridge provide the decisive edge.
04
Grok 4.7
Nashville SC win
2–0
52%
Nashville’s 21-7-3 record, 15 clean sheets and 66-23 attack dwarf Union’s mixed form; Geodis plus recent H2H home wins support a controlled 2-0.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Nashville SC win
2–0
48%
Nashville's 21W-7D-3L record, 66-23 goal difference and 15 clean sheets show elite defense at Geodis Park, while Philadelphia's 6 clean sheets and 11 losses suggest vulnerability. H2H shows Nashville won 3 of last 4, including 3-1 and 1-0 at home.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Nashville SC win
2–0
55%
Nashville's elite defense (15 clean sheets, 23 conceded) and dominant home form support a clean sheet; Surridge and Mukhtar provide enough firepower against Philadelphia's leaky back line.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Nashville SC win
2–1
62%
Nashville's dominant home form (21W, 66-23 goals) and recent H2H edge (3-1, 1-0, 3-1) outweigh Philly's late surge. Union's 6 clean sheets vs Nashville's 15.
08
Kimi K3
Nashville SC win
2–1
62%
Nashville's elite defense (23 goals conceded, 15 clean sheets) and home form (WWWDW) should edge Philadelphia's inconsistent attack, though Union's 62 goals suggest they'll score.
09
GLM 5.3
Nashville SC win
2–0
60%
Nashville dominant at home (15 clean sheets, 66-23 goals) and unbeaten vs Philadelphia recently; Union leaky defense suggests a 2-0 home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Nashville SC win
2–1
58%
Nashville's 21W-3L season, 15 clean sheets and strong home form at Geodis Park outweigh Philadelphia's leakier 50 goals conceded; Union's Iloski keeps it close but Nashville's attack edges it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    5 models
  • 2–0
    5 models

Live match centre

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Nashville SC
0–0
Philadelphia Union
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.95 / 3.60 / 3.75
Nashville SC Market 49% · AI 100%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Philadelphia Union Market 25% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union

Nashville SC

4-3-3
B. Callaghan
37 A. Qasem
37 Qasem
41 W. Madrigal
41 Madrigal
7 C. Espinoza
7 Espinoza
20 E. Tagseth
20 Tagseth
8 P. Yazbek
8 Yazbek
19 A. Muyl
19 Muyl
2 D. Lovitz
2 Lovitz
3 M. Woledzi
3 Woledzi
4 J. Palacios
4 Palacios
27 R. Baker-Whiting
27 Baker-Whiting
99 B. Schwake
99 Schwake

Bench: J. Maher, B. Acosta, J. Bauer, S. Mohammed, H. Mukhtar, A. Najar, E. Saad, S. Surridge, J. Willis

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
Ryan Richter
51 M. Jakupovic
51 Jakupovic
23 E. Alladoh
23 Alladoh
19 I. Vassilev
19 Vassilev
4 J. Lukić
4 Lukić
21 D. Jean-Jacques
21 Jean-Jacques
33 Q. Sullivan
33 Sullivan
27 K. Wagner
27 Wagner
44 Neil Pierre
44 Pierre
5 J. Sery Larsen
5 Larsen
26 N. Harriel
26 Harriel
18 A. Blake
18 Blake

Bench: A. Anello, A. Bedoya, B. Bender, K. LeBlanc, G. Martínez, F. Sundstrom, J. Rafanello, A. Rick

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
21-8-3
Goals
66-23
Clean sheets
16
Failed to score
6
Best win run
5
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
W-D-L
13-8-11
Goals
62-50
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
6
Best win run
8
Penalties
7/8
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Nashville SC

  • H. Mukhtar 16 G · 7 A · 32 apps
  • S. Surridge 18 G · 1 A · 26 apps
  • C. Espinoza 4 G · 12 A · 28 apps

Key players · Philadelphia Union

  • M. Iloski 19 G · 2 A · 31 apps
  • F. Westfield 0 G · 8 A · 27 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Geodis Park, Nashville
Referee Pierre Luce Lauziere
New at Nashville SC Owen Presthus (Columbus Crew), F. Camara (Ranheim), Z. Yañez (New York City FC)
New at Philadelphia Union M. Anderson (Brooklyn), K. Wagner (Birmingham), Neil Pierre (Lyngby)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Nashville SC

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Nashville SC win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Nashville SC
#1 · 71 PTS · GD +43
Last 5
D W D W W
11 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Philadelphia Union 0-0 D
  • CF Montreal 0-2 W
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 D
  • Sporting Kansas City 4-0 W
  • Austin 1-4 W
Team news
O. Presthus — Lower-Body Injury F. Camara — Lower-Body Injury
Philadelphia Union
#6 · 47 PTS · GD +12
Last 5
D L D W W
8 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Nashville SC 0-0 D
  • New England Revolution 1-2 L
  • Charlotte 2-2 D
  • Chicago Fire 1-3 W
  • Real Salt Lake 2-1 W
Team news
J. Bueno — Hamstring Injury B. Damiani — Yellow Cards M. Iloski — Muscle Injury C. Sullivan — Ankle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

NAS 3 · D 1 · PHI 1

PHI VS NAS
0-0
DRAW
May 2, 2026
NAS VS PHI
3-1
HOME WIN
Sep 17, 2025
NAS VS PHI
1-0
HOME WIN
Jul 6, 2025
PHI VS NAS
1-3
AWAY WIN
Mar 16, 2025
PHI VS NAS
3-0
HOME WIN
Jul 20, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Nashville SC, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Nashville SC
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Philadelphia Union
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Nashville SC is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Nashville SC win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Nashville SC win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.