FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Allianz Field, Sao Paulo Match Finished · 90'

Minnesota United FC
vs
Sporting Kansas City.

Quick answer

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Final score: Minnesota United FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Minnesota United FC to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Minnesota United FC form Sporting Kansas City form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Minnesota United FC (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Minnesota United FC and Sporting Kansas City stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Minnesota United FC win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Sporting Kansas City win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Minnesota United FC win
2–1
72%
Minnesota’s 8-11-12 record and 47 goals are modest, but Sporting’s 21 losses, 77 goals conceded, and three straight defeats point to a home win. Minnesota’s recent H2H advantage also supports a narrow 2-1 result.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Minnesota United FC win
2–0
60%
Minnesota mid-table with Yeboah in strong form at home; Kansas City in freefall with five straight losses and league-worst defense.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Minnesota United FC win
2–0
62%
Sporting KC have conceded 77 goals in 31 games and lost 21 times this season. Minnesota's attack led by Yeboah should comfortably exploit the league's leakiest defense at home.
04
Grok 4.7
Minnesota United FC win
2–0
52%
SKC are 6-4-21 with 77 conceded and five-game collapse; Minnesota home with Yeboah plus a prior 3-0 at Allianz Field supports a controlled 2-0.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Minnesota United FC win
2–0
58%
Minnesota's stronger season form and home venue contrast with SKC's 21 losses and 77 goals conceded; H2H shows Minnesota winning 3-0 and 2-0 in recent meetings.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Minnesota United FC win
2–1
55%
Sporting KC's dire form (LDLLL) and leaky defense (1 clean sheet) favor Minnesota at home, but their 55 goals conceded suggests they'll allow one back.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Minnesota United FC win
2–1
62%
Minnesota stronger form (8W vs 6W), home venue, and H2H edge (3 wins in last 5). SKC’s poor defense (77 goals conceded) likely to concede.
08
Kimi K3
Minnesota United FC win
2–0
58%
Minnesota's superior form and home advantage against SKC's league-worst defense (77 goals conceded, 1 clean sheet) support a comfortable home win, though Minnesota's own defensive leaks keep confidence moderate.
09
GLM 5.3
Minnesota United FC win
2–1
60%
Sporting KC's dreadful season (6W, 77 conceded, LDLLL) favors Minnesota at home; H2H shows Minnesota usually wins this matchup, but their leaky defense (55 conceded) suggests SKC can score once.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Minnesota United FC win
2–1
58%
Kansas City's 6W-21L season and leaky defense (77 conceded) versus Minnesota's Yeboah-led attack at home; recent H2H shows goals, but SKC's struggles point to a narrow home win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    5 models
  • 2–0
    5 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Minnesota United FC
Anthony Markanich 72'
Mauricio González Carabalí 76'
Kelvin Yeboah 88'
3–1
Sporting Kansas City
Taylor Calheira 31'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.42 / 5.00 / 6.50
Minnesota United FC Market 67% · AI 100%
Draw Market 18% · AI 0%
Sporting Kansas City Market 15% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City

Minnesota United FC

4-4-2
C. Knowles
9 K. Yeboah
9 Yeboah
16 A. Jackson
16 Jackson
18 M. Gonzalez
18 Gonzalez
30 O. Gene
30 Gene
25 N. Triantis
25 Triantis
21 B. Hlongwane
21 Hlongwane
13 A. Markanich
13 Markanich
23 M. Duggan
23 Duggan
28 J. Díaz
28 Díaz
52 Cherrion Valerius
52 Valerius
12 D. Callender
12 Callender

Bench: T. Chancalay, Marcus Caldeira, M. Boxall, K. Duncan, C. Harvey, M. Malone, J. Pereyra, N. Romero, A. Smir

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
R. Wicky
17 S. Afrifa
17 Afrifa
19 T. Calheira
19 Calheira
7 Capita
7 Capita
20 K. Agyabeng
20 Agyabeng
16 J. Bartlett
16 Bartlett
11 André Luiz
11 Luiz
18 E. Karić
18 Karić
28 Wyatt Meyer
28 Meyer
15 Jansen Miller
15 Miller
8 J. Davis
8 Davis
30 S. Cleveland
30 Cleveland

Bench: M. Suleymanov, J. Reid, R. Ramos, J. Pulskamp, I. James, C. Harris, E. Bartlow, O. Wolff

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Minnesota United FC

3-4-3
W-D-L
9-11-12
Goals
50-56
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
6
Best win run
4
Penalties
3/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
W-D-L
6-4-22
Goals
38-80
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
10
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Minnesota United FC

  • K. Yeboah 18 G · 3 A · 31 apps
  • J. Pereyra 3 G · 12 A · 30 apps

Key players · Sporting Kansas City

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Allianz Field, Sao Paulo
Referee Serhiy Boiko
New at Minnesota United FC Cherrion Valerius (NAC Breda), M. Malone (Sturm Graz), A. Jackson (Jagiellonia)
New at Sporting Kansas City R. Ramos (Los Angeles Galaxy), S. Reid (New York City FC), O. Wolff (Austin)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Minnesota United FC

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Minnesota United FC Sporting Kansas City Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.8 4.8 9.7 Over 9.5 50% 12 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.7 1.7 3.4 Under 3.5 56% 4 miss Ask AI
Shots 16.2 13.9 30.1 Under 30.5 54% 28 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 6.1 5.2 11.3 Under 11.5 55% 10 hit Ask AI

Sample: 3 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 285 graded matches, cards 59% of 286. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Minnesota United FC win · AI Minnesota United FC win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Minnesota United FC
#12 · 38 PTS · GD -6
Last 5
W D W D D
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sporting Kansas City 3-1 W
  • Houston Dynamo 0-0 D
  • St. Louis City 3-2 W
  • Colorado Rapids 2-2 D
  • Houston Dynamo 2-2 D
Team news
P. Stroud — Muscle Injury W. Trapp — Concussion A. Smir — Knee Injury
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · 22 PTS · GD -42
Last 5
L L L L D
6 GF · 15 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Minnesota United FC 3-1 L
  • Austin 1-2 L
  • Real Salt Lake 1-3 L
  • Nashville SC 4-0 L
  • Portland Timbers 3-3 D
Team news
O. Blorian — Chest Injury Diego Borges — Groin Injury M. Mosquera — Hamstring Injury S. Reid — Hamstring Injury J. Reynolds — Muscle Injury Z. Bassong — Hamstring Injury L. Johnsen — Hamstring Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

MIN 3 · D 1 · SPO 1

SPO VS MIN
2-1
HOME WIN
Jul 23, 2026
SPO VS MIN
0-3
AWAY WIN
Feb 7, 2026
MIN VS SPO
3-0
HOME WIN
Oct 5, 2025
SPO VS MIN
3-3
DRAW
Mar 16, 2025
SPO VS MIN
0-2
AWAY WIN
Sep 22, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Minnesota United FC, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Minnesota United FC
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Sporting Kansas City
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Minnesota United FC is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Minnesota United FC win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Minnesota United FC win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.