FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Citypark, Saint Louis Match Finished · 90'

St. Louis City
vs
Portland Timbers.

Quick answer

Who will win St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

Final score: St. Louis City 2–3 Portland Timbers. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick St. Louis City to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → St. Louis City form Portland Timbers form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward St. Louis City (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where St. Louis City and Portland Timbers stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

St. Louis City win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Portland Timbers win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
St. Louis City win
2–1
54%
St. Louis City’s stronger season record, home venue, and Rafael Navarro’s 18 goals give them a narrow edge. Portland’s leaky defense and both teams’ recent high-scoring H2H support a competitive 2-1 result.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
St. Louis City win
2–1
54%
St. Louis stronger record, Navarro in form, home venue edge; Portland's poor away form (14 losses) and leaky defense support home goals.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
St. Louis City win
2–1
52%
St. Louis boasts superior form and home advantage led by Rafael Navarro, facing a leaky Portland defense that has conceded 58 goals and managed just two clean sheets.
04
Grok 4.7
St. Louis City win
2–1
52%
St. Louis have a stronger season record and home edge at CITYPARK; Navarro leads a high-scoring attack. Portland concede freely and sit below mid-table, matching last year’s 2-1 here.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
St. Louis City win
2–1
52%
St. Louis has stronger season form and home advantage, but recent WWDLL dip and Portland's late scoring threat keep this close. H2H suggests tight contests.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
St. Louis City win
2–1
58%
St. Louis superior record and home edge at CITYPARK; Navarro's 18 goals exploit Portland's leaky defense (58 conceded). H2H at this venue was 2-1, and both teams tend to score.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
St. Louis City win
2–1
58%
St. Louis home form strong, Navarro's finishing edge; Timbers leak goals but score late. H2H tight but home advantage tips it.
08
Kimi K3
St. Louis City win
2–1
52%
St. Louis has stronger form and home edge at CITYPARK; Portland concedes often but scores regularly, so a narrow home win with both teams netting fits.
09
GLM 5.3
St. Louis City win
2–1
52%
St. Louis's stronger season record and CITYPARK edge outweigh their two recent losses; Portland's leaky defense (58 conceded) suggests goals both ways in a narrow home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
St. Louis City win
2–1
52%
St. Louis' stronger season record and CITYPARK edge offset their wobbly last five; Portland's leaky defense (58 conceded) and prior 2-1 home loss here suggest a narrow home win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    10 models

Live match centre

Full-time
St. Louis City
Daniel Edelman 58'
Sang-bin Jung 90+1'
2–3
Portland Timbers
Kristoffer Velde 42', 48'
David Da Costa 45+3'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.95 / 4.00 / 3.40
St. Louis City Market 49% · AI 100%
Draw Market 23% · AI 0%
Portland Timbers Market 28% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers

St. Louis City

3-4-3
Y. Damet
42 D. Downs
42 Downs
9 Rafael Navarro
9 Navarro
19 C. Holse
19 Holse
14 T. Totland
14 Totland
24 D. Edelman
24 Edelman
8 C. Durkin
8 Durkin
6 C. Wallem
6 Wallem
21 D. Polvara
21 Polvara
5 L. MacNaughton
5 MacNaughton
32 T. Baumgartl
32 Baumgartl
39 B. Lundt
39 Lundt

Bench: M. Perez, C. Brunet, S. Becher, M. Fall, F. Fall, Jeong Sang-Bin, Riley Lynch, C. Olivares, J. Orozco

Portland Timbers

4-3-3
Martí Cifuentes
99 K. Velde
99 Velde
10 David Pereira da Costa
10 Costa
7 A. Lassiter
7 Lassiter
17 C. Bassett
17 Bassett
21 D. Chará
21 Chará
80 J. Ortiz
80 Ortiz
27 J. Fory
27 Fory
4 K. Miller
4 Miller
2 J. Waterman
2 Waterman
12 R. Hernández
12 Hernández
41 J. Pantemis
41 Pantemis

Bench: O. Fernandez, Eric Izoita, V. Janssen, E. Miller, Ian Smith, H. Sulte, F. Surman, J. Caicedo, A. Aravena

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

St. Louis City

3-4-3
W-D-L
14-9-9
Goals
58-47
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
6
Best win run
4
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Portland Timbers

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
11-7-14
Goals
57-60
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
7
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · St. Louis City

  • Rafael Navarro 19 G · 6 A · 32 apps

Key players · Portland Timbers

  • David Pereira da Costa 6 G · 8 A · 28 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Citypark, Saint Louis
Referee Rubiel Vazquez
New at St. Louis City D. Downs (Southampton), C. Brunet (Nashville SC), Rafael Navarro (Colorado Rapids)
New at Portland Timbers R. Hernández (Atlanta United FC), J. Waterman (Chicago Fire), V. Janssen (Antwerp)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors St. Louis City

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Portland Timbers win · AI St. Louis City win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

St. Louis City
#3 · 51 PTS · GD +11
Last 5
L L D L D
4 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Portland Timbers 2-3 L
  • Real Salt Lake 3-0 L
  • Columbus Crew 0-0 D
  • Minnesota United FC 3-2 L
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 D
Team news
R. Burki — Concussion Celio Pompeu — Knee Injury A. Matan — Leg Injury T. Ostrak — Red Card
Portland Timbers
#11 · 40 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W W D L D
9 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • St. Louis City 2-3 W
  • Charlotte 3-2 W
  • Colorado Rapids 0-0 D
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 L
  • Sporting Kansas City 3-3 D
Team news
A. Bonetig — Shoulder Injury B. Bye — Leg Injury Z. McGraw — Back Injury J. Mosquera — Foot Injury T. Muse — Concussion Antony — Knee Injury H. Sulte — Lower-Body Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

STL 2 · D 2 · POR 1

POR VS STL
2-2
DRAW
Sep 10, 2026
STL VS POR
2-1
HOME WIN
Jul 13, 2025
POR VS STL
2-1
HOME WIN
Jun 8, 2025
POR VS STL
4-4
DRAW
Aug 25, 2024
STL VS POR
3-1
HOME WIN
Aug 10, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with St. Louis City, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

St. Louis City
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Portland Timbers
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When St. Louis City is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: St. Louis City win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is St. Louis City win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.