FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Avaya Stadium, San Jose Match Finished · 90'

San Jose Earthquakes
vs
Colorado Rapids.

Quick answer

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

Final score: San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Colorado Rapids. Before kickoff, 4 of 10 AI models pick San Jose Earthquakes to win (40%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → San Jose Earthquakes form Colorado Rapids form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

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Major League Soccer table Where San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Jose Earthquakes win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Colorado Rapids win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
28%
San Jose’s stronger scoring record and home venue are balanced by Colorado’s 11 clean sheets and recent unbeaten finish. Their latest meeting also ended 1-1, supporting a tight, evenly matched draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
48%
San Jose's stronger season record and Judd's scoring form give them a home edge; recent H2H draw shows Colorado can compete, keeping confidence moderate.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Both teams have drawn three of their last five matches, including their recent 1-1 meeting weeks ago. San Jose's home edge is neutralized by Colorado's organized defense.
04
Grok 4.7
San Jose Earthquakes win
1–0
48%
SJ has a better season record and Judd at PayPal Park; Rapids’ 11 clean sheets and both sides’ mixed last five point to a tight 1-0.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
San Jose's recent WDDDL form and Colorado's LDDDW run both show draws common; H2H last meeting ended 1-1 and both sides have similar scoring rates.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Jose Earthquakes win
1–0
42%
San Jose's home form and Judd's 16 goals edge Colorado's solid but blunt attack; recent 1-1 H2H suggests tight affair, but venue advantage tips it narrowly.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H draw and mixed form; both teams score but struggle to dominate. Home edge neutralized by Rapids' resilience.
08
Kimi K3
San Jose Earthquakes win
2–1
52%
San Jose's home edge and Judd's 16 goals outweigh Colorado's slightly better clean-sheet record; H2H is mixed, but SJ's superior points and scoring at PayPal Park tilt a tight, moderately open game.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
51%
Evenly matched sides with patchy form; latest H2H ended 1-1 and Colorado are unbeaten in three. Both attack moderately, so a low-scoring draw at PayPal Park fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
San Jose's WDDDL form and Colorado's LDDDW both show tight, low-margin games; recent H2H was 1-1 and both sides concede moderately. Home edge is real but modest against a Colorado side with 11 clean sheets.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 1–0
    2 models

Live match centre

Full-time
San Jose Earthquakes
Reid Roberts 15'
Jack Jasinski 83'
2–2
Colorado Rapids
Morgan Whittaker 26'
Darren Yapi 73'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.35 / 3.60 / 2.88
San Jose Earthquakes Market 41% · AI 40%
Draw Market 26% · AI 60%
Colorado Rapids Market 33% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

San Jose Earthquakes

3-4-2-1
B. Arena
7 O. Bouda
7 Bouda
11 T. Werner
11 Werner
34 Beau Leroux
34 Leroux
19 P. Judd
19 Judd
23 E. Löwen
23 Löwen
14 R. Vieira
14 Vieira
17 Jack Jasinski
17 Jasinski
18 R. Roberts
18 Roberts
87 Vítor Costa
87 Costa
5 D. Munie
5 Munie
1 A. Gunn
1 Gunn

Bench: E. Edwards, N. Fernandez, M. Floriani, I. Harkes, L. Jovanović, P. Marie, J. Ricketts, D. Romney, N. Tsakiris

Colorado Rapids

4-1-4-1
Matt Wells
7 M. Whittaker
7 Whittaker
93 G. Minoungou
93 Minoungou
13 W. Frederick II
13 II
32 D. Phillip
32 Phillip
10 P. Aaronson
10 Aaronson
12 J. Atencio
12 Atencio
29 M. Navarro
29 Navarro
5 Loïc Williams
5 Williams
6 R. Holding
6 Holding
33 K. Thompson
33 Thompson
41 N. Defreitas
41 Defreitas

Bench: D. Yapi, J. Travis, K. Rosenberry, H. Ojediran, T. Ku-DiPietro, A. Harris, N. Cobb, A. Beaudry, S. Abu

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

San Jose Earthquakes

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
13-10-9
Goals
54-47
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
5
Best win run
6
Penalties
4/7
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Colorado Rapids

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
12-7-13
Goals
44-43
Clean sheets
11
Failed to score
8
Best win run
3
Penalties
3/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · San Jose Earthquakes

  • P. Judd 16 G · 2 A · 29 apps
  • N. Tsakiris 3 G · 8 A · 21 apps

Key players · Colorado Rapids

  • P. Aaronson 7 G · 8 A · 32 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Avaya Stadium, San Jose
Referee Ramy Touchan
New at San Jose Earthquakes E. Löwen (St. Louis City), L. Jovanović (Adelaide United), A. Gunn (Nottingham Forest)
New at Colorado Rapids M. Whittaker (Middlesbrough), I. Sadiq (AZ Alkmaar), S. Farhi (Maccabi Tel Aviv)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI San Jose Earthquakes win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

San Jose Earthquakes
#5 · 49 PTS · GD +7
Last 5
D L D D D
5 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Colorado Rapids 2-2 D
  • FC Dallas 3-0 L
  • Nashville SC 1-1 D
  • Real Salt Lake 1-1 D
  • Colorado Rapids 1-1 D
Team news
N. Adimabua — Hernia D. Johnson — Lower-Body Injury D. Jones — Achilles Tendon Injury J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza — Lower-Body Injury
Colorado Rapids
#7 · 43 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
D W D D D
6 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 D
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 W
  • Portland Timbers 0-0 D
  • Minnesota United FC 2-2 D
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 D
Team news
R. Cannon — Leg Injury Y. Maziz — Leg Injury I. Sadiq — Leg Injury Z. Steffen — Shoulder Injury A. Fadal — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SAN 2 · D 1 · COL 2

COL VS SAN
1-1
DRAW
Oct 11, 2026
COL VS SAN
2-0
HOME WIN
May 21, 2026
COL VS SAN
0-2
AWAY WIN
May 11, 2025
SAN VS COL
1-2
AWAY WIN
Mar 16, 2025
COL VS SAN
2-3
AWAY WIN
May 12, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with San Jose Earthquakes, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

San Jose Earthquakes
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Colorado Rapids
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When San Jose Earthquakes is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: San Jose Earthquakes win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Jose Earthquakes win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.