FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 Q2 Stadium, Austin Match Finished · 90'

Austin
vs
Real Salt Lake.

Quick answer

Who will win Austin vs Real Salt Lake?

Final score: Austin 1–2 Real Salt Lake. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Real Salt Lake to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Austin form Real Salt Lake form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Real Salt Lake (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 49% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Austin and Real Salt Lake stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Austin win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Real Salt Lake win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Real Salt Lake win
2–3
55%
Real Salt Lake have the stronger recent run, better season record and won the latest meeting. Austin’s home advantage and late-goal tendency should keep this close, but their 57 goals conceded points to another narrow RSL victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
47%
RSL in better form (WLDWW vs DLLLW) with Solans dangerous attacking threat; Austin's leaky defense (57 conceded) and recent losing skid favor the visitors despite home venue.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Austin struggle defensively but hold their ground at Q2 Stadium, where previous meetings frequently finished level. Real Salt Lake are in stronger form but often drop points away.
04
Grok 4.7
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
42%
Austin’s DLLLW form and 57 goals conceded trail RSL’s WLDWW and H2H edge; Q2 helps Austin score once, Solans likely tips a narrow away win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
48%
Real Salt Lake are in stronger form (WLDWW) and have won the last two meetings, while Austin have lost four of five. Both sides concede regularly, supporting a narrow away win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
45%
RSL dominates H2H (3W in last 5), better form (WLDWW vs DLLLW), and Austin's leaky defense (57 conceded) supports an away edge despite home venue.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
60%
RSL's recent form (WLDWW) and head-to-head dominance (4 wins in last 5) outweigh Austin's home struggles and defensive leaks.
08
Kimi K3
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
48%
Austin's poor form (DLLLW) and defensive record (57 conceded) contrast with RSL's better attack (48 goals, Solans 14) and recent H2H wins, though RSL's away form tempers confidence.
09
GLM 5.3
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
52%
RSL arrive in form (WLDWW) with Solans scoring freely, while Austin's DLLLW run and leaky defense (57 conceded) suggest an away edge despite Q2 Stadium.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Real Salt Lake win
1–2
48%
RSL's stronger form (WLDWW) and Solans' 14 goals contrast Austin's four straight losses and leaky defense; H2H shows RSL dominance, though Q2 Stadium keeps it close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    8 models
  • 2–3
    1 model
  • 1–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Austin
Jorge Alastuey 52'
1–2
Real Salt Lake
Saba Lobjanidze 55'
Morgan Guilavogui 61'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.30 / 3.60 / 2.10
Austin Market 29% · AI 0%
Draw Market 26% · AI 10%
Real Salt Lake Market 45% · AI 90%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Austin vs Real Salt Lake

Austin

3-4-3
D. Arnaud
11 F. Torres
11 Torres
9 B. Vázquez
9 Vázquez
10 M. Uzuni
10 Uzuni
17 J. Gallagher
17 Gallagher
24 Jorge Alastuey
24 Alastuey
14 B. Šabović
14 Šabović
30 J. Rosales
30 Rosales
29 Guilherme Biro
29 Biro
6 Ilie Sánchez
6 Sánchez
3 M. Desler
3 Desler
12 D. Las
12 Las

Bench: M. Burton, M. Đorđević, B. Hines-Ike, Ž. Kolmanič, P. Płacheta, C. Ramirez, B. Stuver, O. Svatok, R. Thomas

Real Salt Lake

5-4-1
P. Mastroeni
22 S. Solans
22 Solans
9 M. Guilavogui
9 Guilavogui
92 N. Caliskan
92 Caliskan
6 S. Spierings
6 Spierings
12 S. Lobzhanidze
12 Lobzhanidze
8 J. Sanabria
8 Sanabria
3 K. Henry
3 Henry
26 P. Quinton
26 Quinton
44 L. De Fougerolles
44 Fougerolles
11 D. Marczuk
11 Marczuk
1 Rafael Cabral
1 Cabral

Bench: D. Yedlin, M. Stajduhar, A. Piol, A. Katránis, S. Junqua, A. Hezarkhani, Colin Guske, J. Glad, Chadwick Zachary Booth

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Austin

4-4-2
W-D-L
8-10-14
Goals
41-59
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
6
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
W-D-L
12-6-14
Goals
50-49
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
6
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Austin

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Real Salt Lake

  • S. Solans 14 G · 4 A · 30 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue Q2 Stadium, Austin
Referee Ricardo Montero Araya
New at Austin Chris Applewhite (Nashville SC), C. Farrar (Austin), P. Płacheta (Oxford United)
New at Real Salt Lake D. Zagar (IMT Novi Beograd), L. De Fougerolles (Fulham), T. Booth (Twente)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Real Salt Lake

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 49% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 2.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Real Salt Lake win · AI Real Salt Lake win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Austin
#14 · 34 PTS · GD -18
Last 5
L W L L L
6 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Real Salt Lake 1-2 L
  • Sporting Kansas City 1-2 W
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 L
  • Los Angeles FC 3-1 L
  • Nashville SC 1-4 L
Team news
C. Applewhite — Muscle Injury J. Bell — Abdominal strain E. Torres — Injury
Real Salt Lake
#9 · 42 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
W W W D L
10 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Austin 1-2 W
  • St. Louis City 3-0 W
  • Sporting Kansas City 1-3 W
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 D
  • Philadelphia Union 2-1 L
Team news
E. Eneli — Knee Injury D. Luna — Knee Injury J. J. Arias — Hamstring Injury G. Dillon — Foot Injury L. Engel — Hamstring Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

AUS 0 · D 2 · REA 3

REA VS AUS
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 15, 2026
REA VS AUS
3-1
HOME WIN
Sep 28, 2025
AUS VS REA
1-1
DRAW
May 29, 2025
AUS VS REA
2-2
DRAW
Sep 29, 2024
REA VS AUS
5-1
HOME WIN
Jun 2, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Austin, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Austin
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Real Salt Lake
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Austin is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Real Salt Lake win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Austin vs Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Real Salt Lake win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Austin vs Real Salt Lake, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.