GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% SAU 0-1 URU · 64% IRA 2-0 NEW · 63% FRA 2-1 SEN · 61% IRA 1-2 NOR · 60% ARG 2-0 ALG · 67% AUS 2-0 JOR · 64% POR 2-0 CON · 65% ENG 1-0 CRO · 58% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% SAU 0-1 URU · 64% IRA 2-0 NEW · 63% FRA 2-1 SEN · 61% IRA 1-2 NOR · 60% ARG 2-0 ALG · 67% AUS 2-0 JOR · 64% POR 2-0 CON · 65% ENG 1-0 CRO · 58%
La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 14, 2026 · 18:00 · UTC Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona Match Finished · 90'

Girona
vs
Real Sociedad.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Girona win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Real Sociedad win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
Draw
1–1
60%
Girona's home advantage is balanced by Real Sociedad's solid away form; recent head-to-heads suggest a close contest.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Girona win
2–1
41%
Girona won the most recent H2H away at Real Sociedad 2-1; home advantage at Montilivi and that recent momentum slightly favour a narrow Girona victory in a typically competitive, goal-containing fixture.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Draw
1–1
55%
Recent meetings at Montilivi have been very tight and low-scoring. With late-season stakes high for both sides, a cautious, evenly matched 1-1 draw is a highly probable outcome.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Girona win
2–1
62%
Girona’s home form and recent H2H win suggest narrow advantage; Real Sociedad’s away resilience keeps it close but not enough.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Draw
1–1
60%
Evenly matched sides; recent H2H trends suggest tight, low-scoring games.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows balanced results; both teams capable of scoring and conceding. Venue offers slight home edge, but Real Sociedad's away form is strong.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent head-to-heads show close matches; Girona's home edge is countered by Real Sociedad's strong away form.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Girona win
2–1
60%
Girona's home advantage and recent away win in H2H support a narrow victory; Real Sociedad may score but likely concede at Montilivi.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Draw
1–1
57%
Both teams are in good form, but Girona's recent defensive record suggests they will hold Real Sociedad, who have been inconsistent away.
10
Grok 4.3
Girona win
2–1
60%
Girona's recent win at Real Sociedad and home advantage at Montilivi suggest a narrow victory.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 2–1
    4 models

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Girona vs Real Sociedad in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Girona vs Real Sociedad, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.40 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Draw · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Girona
#19 · 41 PTS · GD -16
Last 5
D L D D L
3 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Elche 1-1 D
  • Atletico Madrid 1-0 L
  • Real Sociedad 1-1 D
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
  • Mallorca 0-1 L
Team news
Donny van de Beek — Injury Abel Ruiz — injured Miguel Ortega Gutierrez — Ankle surgery Paulo Gazzaniga — Suspension Y. Herrera — Hamstring muscle injury Juan Carlos — Jumpers knee V. Tsygankov — Leg Injury R. Artero — Ankle Injury T. Lemar — Foot Injury D. Lopez — Muscle Injury V. Krapyvtsov — Inactive J. Roca — International duty
Real Sociedad
#10 · 46 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
D L D D L
7 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Espanyol 1-1 D
  • Valencia 3-4 L
  • Girona 1-1 D
  • Real Betis 2-2 D
  • Sevilla 1-0 L
Team news
Jon Gorrotxategi — Injured Doubtful Rupérez — Jumpers knee Y. Herrera — Hamstring Injury O. Oskarsson — Thigh Injury I. Ruperez — Knee Injury A. Elustondo — Contusion J. Martin — International duty L. Beitia — Injury T. Kubo — Ankle Injury A. Lebarbier — Injury U. Sadiq — Coach's decision J. Karrikaburu — Muscle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

GIR 1 · D 2 · REA 2

GIR VS REA
1-1
DRAW
May 14, 2026
REA VS GIR
1-2
AWAY WIN
Dec 12, 2025
REA VS GIR
3-2
HOME WIN
May 18, 2025
GIR VS REA
0-1
AWAY WIN
Oct 19, 2024
GIR VS REA
0-0
DRAW
Feb 3, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with Girona, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Girona
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Real Sociedad
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Girona is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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Girona vs Real Sociedad · La Liga

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Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.