GEN 1-0 FRO · 56% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 56% SCF 2-1 BOR · 58% FCA 1-2 BAY · 59% FSV 1-1 EIN · 56% CHE 2-0 HUL · 65% LIV 2-1 FUL · 64% AST 2-1 NOT · 60% BOU 1-1 BRE · 56% CRY 1-0 IPS · 59% OSA 1-1 ESP · 57% STR 2-1 MON · 56% LAZ 1-0 ACM · 58% GEN 1-0 FRO · 56% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 56% SCF 2-1 BOR · 58% FCA 1-2 BAY · 59% FSV 1-1 EIN · 56% CHE 2-0 HUL · 65% LIV 2-1 FUL · 64% AST 2-1 NOT · 60% BOU 1-1 BRE · 56% CRY 1-0 IPS · 59% OSA 1-1 ESP · 57% STR 2-1 MON · 56% LAZ 1-0 ACM · 58%
La Liga · Regular Season - 5 May 12, 2026 · 19:30 · UTC Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona Match Finished · 90'

Osasuna
vs
Atletico Madrid.

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Atletico Madrid (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Osasuna beat Atletico Madrid in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Osasuna win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 20%

2 / 10 models

Atletico Madrid win 70%

7 / 10 models

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— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Atletico Madrid win
2–3
62%
Atletico's consistent H2H success and superior squad depth suggest an edge despite Osasuna's strong home form.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Draw
2–2
36%
Osasuna scored twice at El Sadar vs Atletico in May 2025; Atletico's away attack is too potent to be shut out, but Osasuna's home record vs them prevents a clean Atletico win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Atletico Madrid win
0–1
60%
Atletico Madrid's trademark defensive solidity often leads to narrow victories, especially in crucial late-season fixtures where grinding out results takes priority over expansive play.
04
Grok 4.6
Atletico Madrid win
1–2
62%
Atletico Madrid's defensive solidity and recent H2H edge (3 wins in 5) likely overpower Osasuna at El Sadar.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Atletico Madrid win
1–2
62%
Atletico's recent defensive solidity and Osasuna's struggles in key matches favor a narrow away win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Atletico Madrid win
1–2
62%
Atletico Madrid's strong away form and recent history of narrow wins support this scoreline.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Atletico Madrid win
1–2
62%
Atletico’s defensive solidity and away form in La Liga tilt balance; Osasuna’s home edge offset by Atletico’s counter-attacking threat.
08
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Atletico Madrid win
1–2
62%
Atletico's stronger recent form and Osasuna's home loss in their last H2H meeting.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Draw
1–1
68%
Atleti's recent form and H2H record suggest a tight game, but Osasuna's home advantage and strong defense point to a hard-fought draw.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Osasuna win
2–0
60%
Osasuna's last home H2H was a 2-0 win; venue edge and low-scoring pattern support similar result.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    5 models
  • 2–3
    1 model
  • 2–2
    1 model
  • 2–0
    1 model
  • 1–1
    1 model
  • 0–1
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Atletico Madrid win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 20% / 70% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Atletico Madrid

70% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 1.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Atletico Madrid win · AI Atletico Madrid win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Osasuna
Last 5
L W W D L
5 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Alaves 5-2 L
  • Getafe 1-0 W
  • Celta Vigo 1-2 W
  • Levante 0-0 D
  • Getafe 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Atletico Madrid
Last 5
L W D W L
8 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Athletic Club 3-0 L
  • Sevilla 1-3 W
  • Villarreal 2-2 D
  • Malaga 2-0 W
  • Villarreal 5-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

OSA 2 · D 0 · ATL 3

OSA VS ATL
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 12, 2026
ATL VS OSA
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 18, 2025
OSA VS ATL
2-0
HOME WIN
May 15, 2025
ATL VS OSA
1-0
HOME WIN
Jan 12, 2025
ATL VS OSA
1-4
AWAY WIN
May 19, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Osasuna, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 20% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Osasuna
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~20%
implied lean
Atletico Madrid
~70%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Osasuna is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Atletico Madrid win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.