GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% SAU 0-1 URU · 64% IRA 2-0 NEW · 63% FRA 2-1 SEN · 61% IRA 1-2 NOR · 60% ARG 2-0 ALG · 67% AUS 2-0 JOR · 64% POR 2-0 CON · 65% ENG 1-0 CRO · 58% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% SAU 0-1 URU · 64% IRA 2-0 NEW · 63% FRA 2-1 SEN · 61% IRA 1-2 NOR · 60% ARG 2-0 ALG · 67% AUS 2-0 JOR · 64% POR 2-0 CON · 65% ENG 1-0 CRO · 58%
La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 14, 2026 · 17:00 · UTC Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia Match Finished · 90'

Valencia
vs
Rayo Vallecano.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Valencia win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 90%

9 / 10 models

Rayo Vallecano win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
Draw
1–1
62%
Valencia and Rayo Vallecano have consistently drawn in recent meetings; similar form suggests another tight contest at Mestalla.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Draw
1–1
42%
H2H shows relentlessly tight meetings — two recent 1-1 draws and two 0-0/0-1 home results at Mestalla. Low-scoring parity pattern still looks applicable; 1-1 is the single most supported line.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H meetings between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano have been extremely tight and low-scoring, with the last two ending 1-1. At Mestalla late in the season, a cautious draw is a highly probable outcome.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows frequent draws; both teams defensively solid and likely to cancel each other out at Mestalla.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Draw
1–1
62%
Recent H2H suggests tight contests; Mestalla’s home advantage balanced by Rayo’s resilience.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows multiple draws; both teams have strong defenses and are likely to score one goal each.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent head-to-heads show a pattern of low-scoring draws, and both teams' current form suggests a closely contested match.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Draw
1–1
55%
Recent H2H features two 1-1 draws, showing low-scoring close games; limited context supports a draw at Mestalla.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Valencia win
1–0
56%
Valencia's home advantage and Rayo's inconsistent away form suggest a narrow win. A tight 1-0 is likely, with Valencia's defence holding firm.
10
Grok 4.3
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent head-to-heads show tight, low-scoring games; both teams often settle for draws in similar matchups.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    9 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 10% / 90% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

90% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 0.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Draw · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Valencia
#9 · 49 PTS · GD -9
Last 5
W W D W L
9 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Barcelona 3-1 W
  • Real Sociedad 3-4 W
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
  • Athletic Club 0-1 W
  • Atletico Madrid 0-2 L
Team news
Alberto Mari — injured André Almeida — Sprained ankle F. Ugrinic — Contusion Thierry Correia — Jumpers knee M. Diakhaby — Hamstring Injury D. Foulquier — Injury L. Ramazani — Muscle Injury E. Comert — Injury L. Rioja — Illness C. Tarrega — Yellow Cards S. Dimitrievski — Groin Injury J. Agirrezabala — Muscle Injury
Rayo Vallecano
#8 · 50 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L W W D D
6 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Crystal Palace 1-0 L
  • Alaves 1-2 W
  • Villarreal 2-0 W
  • Valencia 1-1 D
  • Girona 1-1 D
Team news
Oscar Valentín — Injured Doubtful A. Mumin — Jumpers knee Luiz Felipe — Wound R. Nteka — Contusion S. Camello — Red Card D. Mendez — Injury P. Diaz — Injury Pacha — Injury P. Ciss — Red Card I. Palazon — Yellow Cards O. Trejo — Muscle Injury Alemao — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

VAL 0 · D 4 · RAY 1

VAL VS RAY
1-1
DRAW
May 14, 2026
RAY VS VAL
1-1
DRAW
Dec 1, 2025
RAY VS VAL
1-1
DRAW
Apr 19, 2025
VAL VS RAY
0-1
AWAY WIN
Dec 7, 2024
VAL VS RAY
0-0
DRAW
May 12, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Valencia, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 90% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Valencia
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~90%
implied lean
Rayo Vallecano
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Valencia is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

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Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.