AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 24, 2026 · 06:00 · UTC Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu Not Started

Tokyo Verdy
vs
Avispa Fukuoka.

Quick answer

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

5 of 10 AI models pick Avispa Fukuoka to win (50%). A draw is in play: 5 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 0–1 at 41% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Tokyo Verdy form Avispa Fukuoka form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Avispa Fukuoka (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 41% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where Tokyo Verdy and Avispa Fukuoka stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Tokyo Verdy win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 50%

5 / 10 models

Avispa Fukuoka win 50%

5 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
0–0
31%
Tokyo Verdy have scored only four times and failed to score in six matches, while both teams have several recent low-scoring H2Hs. Avispa’s slightly better attack is offset by Tokyo’s home advantage, making 0-0 the best exact-score estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Avispa Fukuoka win
1–2
52%
Verdy winless in 10 with poor attack; Fukuoka has more goals, recent H2H dominance, and Morooka provides a scoring threat.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Avispa Fukuoka win
0–1
46%
Tokyo Verdy are winless in ten games and have scored only four goals all season. Fukuoka offer slightly better attacking output to edge a typically low-scoring encounter.
04
Grok 4.6
Avispa Fukuoka win
0–1
38%
Verdy are winless with only 4 goals in 10 and six blanks; Avispa have more punch (Morooka) and a recent 3-4 H2H. Low 0-1 fits both attacks.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
0–0
38%
Tokyo Verdy are winless with only 4 goals in 10, failing to score 6 times; Fukuoka also struggle away. Three of last five H2H meetings ended 0-0, supporting another low-scoring stalemate.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Avispa Fukuoka win
0–1
32%
Verdy have scored just 4 goals in 10 home games and failed to score 60% of the time; Fukuoka's slight attacking edge and H2H low-scoring pattern support a narrow away win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
0–0
60%
Both teams struggling to score; recent H2H includes three 0-0s, and Tokyo Verdy failed to score in 6 of 10 games.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
38%
Tokyo Verdy are winless in ten (0W 4D 6L) and score rarely, while Avispa Fukuoka have lost seven of ten; H2H shows three 0-0s in five meetings, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
32%
Verdy winless (0W, 4 goals in 10) but Fukuoka also poor; recent H2H meetings are low-scoring with three 0-0s. Home venue offsets Verdy's worse form, so a tight draw fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Avispa Fukuoka win
0–1
38%
Verdy have 4 goals in 10 games and failed to score 6 times; Fukuoka's Morooka offers more threat. H2H shows tight, low-scoring games, so a narrow away win fits better than Verdy's home edge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 0–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 0–1
    4 models
  • 0–0
    3 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.40 / 3.10 / 2.20
Tokyo Verdy Market 27% · AI 0%
Draw Market 31% · AI 50%
Avispa Fukuoka Market 42% · AI 50%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Tokyo Verdy

3-4-2-1 · XI v Yokohama F. Marinos, 21 Oct
N. Soma
33 K. Ichimi
33 Ichimi
25 I. Kumatoriya
25 Kumatoriya
40 Y. Arai
40 Arai
18 S. Mizoguchi
18 Mizoguchi
16 R. Hirakawa
16 Hirakawa
8 K. Saito
8 Saito
19 K. Fujimoto
19 Fujimoto
96 Cho Yu-Min
96 Yu-Min
4 N. Hayashi
4 Hayashi
15 K. Suzuki
15 Suzuki
1 Matheus Vidotto
1 Vidotto

Avispa Fukuoka

3-4-2-1 · XI v Gamba Osaka, 21 Oct
S. Tsukahara
13 S. Morooka
13 Morooka
25 Y. Kitajima
25 Kitajima
6 M. Shigemi
6 Shigemi
29 Y. Maejima
29 Maejima
11 T. Miki
11 Miki
55 K. Maeda
55 Maeda
2 M. Yuzawa
2 Yuzawa
15 Y. Tsujioka
15 Tsujioka
5 T. Kamijima
5 Kamijima
16 T. Oka
16 Oka
24 Y. Obata
24 Obata

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Tokyo Verdy

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
0-5-6
Goals
6-20
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
6
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Avispa Fukuoka

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-1-8
Goals
12-18
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Tokyo Verdy

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Avispa Fukuoka

  • S. Morooka 3 G · 1 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
New at Tokyo Verdy K. Fujimoto (Birmingham), K. Ichimi (Fagiano Okayama), K. Shibato (Urawa)
New at Avispa Fukuoka Oriol Romeu (Southampton), K. Mikuni (Nagoya Grampus), S. Morooka (Kashima)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Avispa Fukuoka

50% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 41% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.30 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Tokyo Verdy
#20 · 4 PTS · GD -14
Last 5
D L L L D
4 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 D
  • FC Tokyo 0-4 L
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 L
  • Sagan Tosu 2-1 L
  • JEF United Chiba 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Avispa Fukuoka
#17 · 7 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
L L L W W
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Gamba Osaka 1-2 L
  • Machida Zelvia 3-0 L
  • Sagan Tosu 2-1 L
  • Fagiano Okayama 2-1 W
  • Osaka 1-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

TOK 1 · D 3 · AVI 1

TOK VS AVI
3-4
AWAY WIN
Jan 20, 2026
TOK VS AVI
0-0
DRAW
Nov 8, 2025
AVI VS TOK
0-0
DRAW
May 31, 2025
AVI VS TOK
0-1
AWAY WIN
Jul 20, 2024
TOK VS AVI
0-0
DRAW
Apr 28, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Tokyo Verdy, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 50% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Tokyo Verdy
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~50%
implied lean
Avispa Fukuoka
~50%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Tokyo Verdy is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Avispa Fukuoka win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Avispa Fukuoka win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 50% / 50% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.