AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 24, 2026 · 06:00 · UTC Mercari Stadium, Kashima Not Started

Kashima
vs
Kashiwa Reysol.

Quick answer

Who will win Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

10 of 10 AI models pick Kashima to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 53% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Kashima form Kashiwa Reysol form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Kashima (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 53% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where Kashima and Kashiwa Reysol stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Kashima win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Kashiwa Reysol win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Kashima win
2–1
57%
Kashima have won all four listed recent meetings, including twice at home, and possess strong scoring form through Léo Ceará and Čavrić. Kashiwa’s attack is dangerous, but Kashima’s venue edge favors another narrow home victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Kashima win
2–1
48%
Kashima dominate recent H2H at home and Léo Ceará's scoring form is strong, but Kashiwa Reysol's solid away record keeps this close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Kashima win
2–1
52%
Kashima have dominated recent head-to-head meetings and feature in-form striker Léo Ceará. Kashiwa consistently score but struggle for clean sheets, pointing to a narrow Kashima home victory.
04
Grok 4.6
Kashima win
2–1
52%
Kashima own recent H2H including 2-0 at Mercari; Ceará's 12 goals in 9. Both attack well so both score; similar league form caps certainty.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kashima win
2–1
48%
Kashima have won four straight H2H meetings and hold home advantage, but Kashiwa sit higher with strong attack. Both sides score freely, so a narrow Kashima win fits best.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Kashima win
2–1
53%
Kashima dominate this H2H at home (2-0, 3-2, 0-0); Ceará's 12 goals in 9 games give edge, but Kashiwa's 2.2 goals/game average suggests they'll score.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Kashima win
2–1
60%
Kashima's home form and Léo Ceará's scoring edge; Reysol's attack strong but Kashima's recent H2H dominance.
08
Kimi K3
Kashima win
2–1
52%
Kashima dominate recent H2H (four straight wins) and hold home edge at Mercari Stadium; both sides score freely but concede, so a narrow home win with goals fits best.
09
GLM 5.3
Kashima win
2–1
52%
Kashima won four straight H2H meetings and hosts at Mercari Stadium; Kashiwa's 7-0-3 form keeps it close, so a narrow home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Kashima win
2–1
52%
Kashima won last four H2H and Léo Ceará's scoring plus late goals suit Mercari; Kashiwa's form is strong though, so only a modest home edge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.20 / 3.50 / 3.00
Kashima Market 42% · AI 100%
Draw Market 27% · AI 0%
Kashiwa Reysol Market 31% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Kashima

4-4-2 · XI v Kyoto Sanga, 21 Oct
T. Oniki
9 Léo Ceará
9 Ceará
40 Y. Suzuki
40 Suzuki
30 M. Yoshida
30 Yoshida
8 Matheus Bueno
8 Bueno
6 K. Misao
6 Misao
27 Y. Matsumura
27 Matsumura
7 R. Ogawa
7 Ogawa
3 Kim Tae-Hyeon
3 Tae-Hyeon
55 N. Ueda
55 Ueda
23 K. Tsukui
23 Tsukui
1 T. Hayakawa
1 Hayakawa

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1 · XI v FC Tokyo, 21 Oct
Ricardo Rodríguez
15 S. Fujio
15 Fujio
87 H. Yamauchi
87 Yamauchi
16 K. Yuruki
16 Yuruki
44 K. Yuba
44 Yuba
39 N. Nakagawa
39 Nakagawa
21 Y. Konishi
21 Konishi
24 T. Kubo
24 Kubo
2 H. Mitsumaru
2 Mitsumaru
4 T. Koga
4 Koga
28 S. Toshima
28 Toshima
29 K. Nagai
29 Nagai

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Kashima

4-4-2
W-D-L
6-2-3
Goals
23-18
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
1
Best win run
4
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
7-1-3
Goals
22-17
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
3
Best win run
4
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Kashima

  • Léo Ceará 12 G · 0 A · 9 apps
  • A. Čavrić 5 G · 1 A · 10 apps

Key players · Kashiwa Reysol

  • Y. Segawa 7 G · 2 A · 10 apps
  • Y. Koizumi 3 G · 3 A · 10 apps
  • Masa 0 G · 5 A · 5 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue Mercari Stadium, Kashima
New at Kashima Rui Onuki (Kashima), R. Hirose (Vissel Kobe), Yan Matheus (Qatar SC)
New at Kashiwa Reysol S. Iwanaga (Avispa Fukuoka), S. Fujio (Machida Zelvia), F. Mohamado (Thespakusatsu Gunma)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Kashima

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 53% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Kashima
#6 · 19 PTS · GD +5
Last 5
D W W W W
10 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kyoto Sanga 2-2 D
  • V-varen Nagasaki 2-0 W
  • Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 W
  • Gamba Osaka 2-0 W
  • Ventforet Kofu 3-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Kashiwa Reysol
#5 · 21 PTS · GD +5
Last 5
D L W W W
15 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • FC Tokyo 0-0 D
  • Nagoya Grampus 1-3 L
  • Port FC 5-1 W
  • Vissel Kobe 4-2 W
  • Gamba Osaka 5-4 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

KAS 4 · D 1 · KAS 0

KAS VS KAS
0-1
AWAY WIN
Apr 24, 2026
KAS VS KAS
2-0
HOME WIN
Feb 21, 2026
KAS VS KAS
3-2
HOME WIN
Jul 20, 2025
KAS VS KAS
1-3
AWAY WIN
Mar 8, 2025
KAS VS KAS
0-0
DRAW
Sep 21, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Kashima, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Kashima
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Kashiwa Reysol
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Kashima is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Kashima win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Kashima win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.