AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
J1 League · Regular Season - 11 Oct 25, 2026 · 05:00 · UTC Toyota Stadium, Toyota City Not Started

Nagoya Grampus
vs
Yokohama F. Marinos.

Quick answer

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

4 of 10 AI models pick Yokohama F. Marinos to win (40%). A draw is in play: 6 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 44% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Nagoya Grampus form Yokohama F. Marinos form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

J1 League table Where Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Nagoya Grampus win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Yokohama F. Marinos win 40%

4 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
34%
Yokohama’s stronger defensive record and unbeaten recent run offset Nagoya’s home advantage. Nagoya’s recent improvement and mixed head-to-head results point to a competitive, relatively low-scoring draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Yokohama F. Marinos win
1–2
48%
Marinos unbeaten in five, strong defensive record and Tanimura's scoring form outweigh Nagoya's shaky defense and inconsistent run.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Yokohama F. Marinos are draw-heavy with 5 stalemates and solid defense, while Nagoya struggles for clean sheets. A competitive, shared-point 1-1 outcome is most likely.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
38%
Marinos are draw-heavy (DWDDD) with six clean sheets; Nagoya leak goals and lack shutouts. Tight J1 tempo at Toyota Stadium points to a shared point.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Nagoya's poor home form and no clean sheets meet Marinos' five draws in six; both sides lack cutting edge, so a low-scoring stalemate fits.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
38%
Yokohama's last five (DWDDD) show extreme draw tendency; Nagoya's 0 clean sheets but home edge and slight recent uptick balance it to a low-scoring stalemate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Marinos' defensive solidity (6 clean sheets) meets Grampus' inconsistent form; H2H mixed but recent draws dominate Marinos' last five.
08
Kimi K3
Yokohama F. Marinos win
0–1
52%
Nagoya have zero clean sheets and failed to score four times; Yokohama's six clean sheets and Tanimura's six goals suggest a tight away win at Toyota Stadium.
09
GLM 5.3
Yokohama F. Marinos win
0–1
48%
Marinos are solid defensively (6 clean sheets) while Nagoya struggle (4W 6L, 0 clean sheets); Marinos also won the last H2H 3-0. Draw-heavy form keeps confidence modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Yokohama F. Marinos win
0–1
38%
Nagoya's 0 clean sheets and 6 losses contrast Marinos' 6 clean sheets and 2 defeats; Tanimura's scoring keeps Marinos edge despite draw-heavy form and Nagoya's decent home H2H.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 0–1
    3 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.38 / 3.40 / 2.70
Nagoya Grampus Market 39% · AI 0%
Draw Market 27% · AI 60%
Yokohama F. Marinos Market 34% · AI 40%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1 · XI v Cerezo Osaka, 21 Oct
Michael Petrovic
18 K. Nagai
18 Nagai
22 Y. Kimura
22 Kimura
7 R. Izumi
7 Izumi
27 K. Nakayama
27 Nakayama
14 T. Morishima
14 Morishima
15 S. Inagaki
15 Inagaki
17 T. Uchida
17 Uchida
3 Y. Sato
3 Sato
31 T. Takamine
31 Takamine
70 T. Hara
70 Hara
1 D. Schmidt
1 Schmidt

Yokohama F. Marinos

4-2-3-1 · XI v Tokyo Verdy, 21 Oct
S. Corica
9 K. Tanimura
9 Tanimura
23 R. Miyaichi
23 Miyaichi
7 D. Tono
7 Tono
11 J. Croux
11 Croux
41 K. Matsumura
41 Matsumura
14 K. Chinen
14 Chinen
13 T. Inoue
13 Inoue
33 K. Suwama
33 Suwama
17 J. Quiñónes
17 Quiñónes
34 T. Kimura
34 Kimura
21 H. Iikura
21 Iikura

Season data

J1 League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
4-1-6
Goals
13-17
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
4
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Yokohama F. Marinos

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-5-2
Goals
15-11
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Nagoya Grampus

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Yokohama F. Marinos

  • K. Tanimura 6 G · 1 A · 10 apps
  • K. Matsumura 0 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · J1 League

  1. 1 Léo Ceará Kashima 12
  2. 2 M. Nagakura FC Tokyo 7
  3. 3 Y. Segawa Kashiwa Reysol 7
  4. 4 A. Suzuki Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7
  5. 5 Marcinho Kawasaki Frontale 6
Venue Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
New at Nagoya Grampus G. Kato (Omiya Ardija), K. Shiihashi (Avispa Fukuoka), T. Takamine (Consadole Sapporo)
New at Yokohama F. Marinos K. Mochizuki (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), Rubén Blanco (Girona), T. Tagawa (Consadole Sapporo)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.70 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Nagoya Grampus
#12 · 12 PTS · GD -4
Last 5
D W D W W
12 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Cerezo Osaka 1-1 D
  • Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 W
  • Fagiano Okayama 3-3 D
  • Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 W
  • Kitakyushu 1-3 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Yokohama F. Marinos
#8 · 16 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
D D W D W
6 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Tokyo Verdy 2-2 D
  • JEF United Chiba 0-0 D
  • Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 W
  • Cerezo Osaka 0-0 D
  • Montedio Yamagata 1-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

NAG 3 · D 0 · YOK 2

YOK VS NAG
3-0
HOME WIN
Jul 20, 2025
NAG VS YOK
2-0
HOME WIN
Apr 2, 2025
YOK VS NAG
0-2
AWAY WIN
Dec 8, 2024
NAG VS YOK
1-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 13, 2024
YOK VS NAG
1-3
AWAY WIN
Oct 9, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Nagoya Grampus, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight J1 League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Nagoya Grampus
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Yokohama F. Marinos
~40%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Nagoya Grampus is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Yokohama F. Marinos win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos in J1 League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Yokohama F. Marinos win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 60% / 40% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.