AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23 Oct 25, 2026 · 00:30 · UTC America First Field, Sandy Not Started

Real Salt Lake
vs
St. Louis City.

Quick answer

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?

9 of 10 AI models pick St. Louis City to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 1–2 at 51% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Real Salt Lake form St. Louis City form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward St. Louis City (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Real Salt Lake win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

St. Louis City win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
St. Louis City win
1–2
52%
St. Louis City have the stronger season profile, with 14 wins and 56 goals versus Real Salt Lake's 10 wins and 45 goals. RSL's home advantage and the teams' recent high-scoring meetings keep this close, but Navarro's output favors the visitors.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
St. Louis City win
1–2
47%
St. Louis City's superior record, stronger recent form and prolific Navarro outweigh RSL's home edge; H2H shows frequent draws/tight scores.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
51%
Three of their last four meetings finished level. St. Louis has superior seasonal form led by Navarro, but Real Salt Lake's home altitude balances the clash.
04
Grok 4.6
St. Louis City win
1–2
48%
St. Louis has a clearly better 2026 record and attack (Navarro) than sub-.500 RSL; recent H2H draws and RSL home goals keep it tight rather than a blowout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
St. Louis City win
1–2
48%
St. Louis City have stronger form (WWWDL) and 56 goals, while Real Salt Lake sit 14L with poor defensive record. H2H is tight, so moderate confidence.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
St. Louis City win
1–2
50%
St. Louis's superior form (WWWDL) and Navarro's 18 goals outweigh RSL's home edge; recent H2H draws suggest a tight contest but away quality should prevail narrowly.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
St. Louis City win
1–2
62%
St. Louis City stronger form (WWWDL), better attack (56 goals), and consistent H2H scoring edge.
08
Kimi K3
St. Louis City win
1–2
52%
St. Louis have the stronger season (14W, 56 goals) and Navarro's 18-goal threat, while RSL sit at 10W-14L; H2H is tight and high-scoring, so a narrow away win fits.
09
GLM 5.3
St. Louis City win
2–3
51%
Wait — St. Louis clearly stronger: 14 wins vs RSL's 10, in-form WWWDL vs LWLDW, Navarro scoring freely. H2H leans draws, but St. Louis edge.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
St. Louis City win
1–2
48%
St. Louis' stronger season (14W, Navarro's 18 goals) and four-game unbeaten run outweigh RSL's home edge; H2H shows goals, and RSL's leaky defense (48 conceded) suits a narrow away win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    8 models
  • 1–1
    1 model
  • 2–3
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.38 / 3.75 / 2.62
Real Salt Lake Market 39% · AI 0%
Draw Market 25% · AI 10%
St. Louis City Market 36% · AI 90%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
W-D-L
10-6-14
Goals
45-48
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
6
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

St. Louis City

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
14-9-7
Goals
56-41
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
5
Best win run
4
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Real Salt Lake

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · St. Louis City

  • Rafael Navarro 18 G · 6 A · 30 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 20
  3. 3 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  4. 4 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 18
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 17
Venue America First Field, Sandy
New at Real Salt Lake D. Zagar (IMT Novi Beograd), L. De Fougerolles (Fulham), T. Booth (Twente)
New at St. Louis City D. Downs (Southampton), C. Brunet (Nashville SC), Rafael Navarro (Colorado Rapids)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors St. Louis City

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 2.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Real Salt Lake
#10 · 36 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W D L W L
8 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sporting Kansas City 1-3 W
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 D
  • Philadelphia Union 2-1 L
  • New England Revolution 3-0 W
  • Seattle Sounders 2-0 L
Team news
J. Glad — Groin Injury D. Luna — Knee Injury J. J. Arias — Hamstring Injury G. Dillon — Foot Injury E. Eneli — Knee Injury L. Engel — Hamstring Injury
St. Louis City
#2 · 51 PTS · GD +15
Last 5
D L D W W
11 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Columbus Crew 0-0 D
  • Minnesota United FC 3-2 L
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 D
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 6-2 W
  • New York Red Bulls 0-3 W
Team news
Celio Pompeu — Knee Injury C. Durkin — Concussion K. Hiebert — Hip Injury C. Wallem — Head Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

REA 2 · D 3 · STL 0

STL VS REA
1-1
DRAW
Aug 2, 2026
STL VS REA
2-2
DRAW
Oct 19, 2025
REA VS STL
3-2
HOME WIN
Jul 6, 2025
STL VS REA
1-1
DRAW
Feb 5, 2025
REA VS STL
3-1
HOME WIN
Mar 31, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Real Salt Lake, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Real Salt Lake
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
St. Louis City
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Real Salt Lake is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: St. Louis City win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is St. Louis City win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.