MEX 2-1 SOU · 60% SOU 1-1 CZE · 56% CAN 1-0 BOS · 58% USA 1-0 PAR · 61% QAT 0-1 SWI · 60% BRA 2-1 MOR · 59% HAI 1-2 SCO · 61% AUS 1-1 TüR · 57% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% MEX 2-1 SOU · 60% SOU 1-1 CZE · 56% CAN 1-0 BOS · 58% USA 1-0 PAR · 61% QAT 0-1 SWI · 60% BRA 2-1 MOR · 59% HAI 1-2 SCO · 61% AUS 1-1 TüR · 57% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61%
La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 17, 2026 · 17:00 · UTC Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid Match Finished · 90'

Rayo Vallecano
vs
Villarreal.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Villarreal (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Rayo Vallecano win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Villarreal win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
Villarreal win
0–1
62%
Villarreal's recent dominance in head-to-head and solid away form suggest a narrow victory despite Rayo's home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Villarreal win
1–2
52%
Villarreal dominated recent H2H (4-0, 0-1 at Vallecas this season) and outclass Rayo in quality; Rayo typically scores at home but Villarreal's attack has been sharper in this fixture.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Villarreal win
0–1
60%
Villarreal has dominated recent H2H encounters, keeping clean sheets in their last two wins. Rayo Vallecano often struggles to break down organized defenses at home, making a narrow away victory the most likely outcome.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows tight, low-scoring matches; both teams defensively solid, likely sharing points at Vallecas.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Villarreal win
1–2
62%
Villarreal's recent dominance in H2H and stronger overall form suggest a narrow away win.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
Villarreal win
0–1
60%
Villarreal's strong away form and recent dominance in head-to-heads suggest a narrow away win.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Villarreal win
1–2
61%
Villarreal's recent head-to-head dominance and slightly better form suggest a narrow away win.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Villarreal win
0–1
60%
Villarreal won their last away match at Rayo 0-1 in 2025 and has a strong H2H record; expect a low-scoring game with away dominance.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Villarreal win
1–2
51%
Villarreal's recent dominance in head-to-heads and superior goal-scoring form this season should see them edge a tight contest.
10
Grok 4.3
Villarreal win
1–2
60%
Villarreal's recent dominance in head-to-heads and stronger attacking form suggest an edge, despite Rayo’s home advantage.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    5 models
  • 0–1
    4 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Villarreal win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Villarreal

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.60 vs 1.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Rayo Vallecano win · AI Villarreal win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Rayo Vallecano
#8 · 50 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L W W D D
6 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Crystal Palace 1-0 L
  • Alaves 1-2 W
  • Villarreal 2-0 W
  • Valencia 1-1 D
  • Girona 1-1 D
Team news
Oscar Valentín — Injured Doubtful A. Mumin — Jumpers knee Luiz Felipe — Wound R. Nteka — Contusion S. Camello — Red Card D. Mendez — Injury P. Diaz — Injury Pacha — Injury P. Ciss — Red Card I. Palazon — Yellow Cards O. Trejo — Muscle Injury Alemao — Injury
Villarreal
#3 · 72 PTS · GD +26
Last 5
W L L D W
13 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Atletico Madrid 5-1 W
  • Rayo Vallecano 2-0 L
  • Sevilla 2-3 L
  • Mallorca 1-1 D
  • Levante 5-1 W
Team news
Ayoze Perez — Injured Doubtful Willy Kambwala — Hamstring Injury Denis Suarez Fernandez — Injured Doubtful Diego Conde — Injured Doubtful Ayoze Pérez — Hamstring Injury Gerard Moreno — Hamstring Injury Logan Costa — Jumpers knee Pau Cabanes — Jumpers knee P. Cabanes — Knee Injury L. Costa — Knee Injury W. Kambwala — Hamstring Injury G. Moreno — Hamstring Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

RAY 1 · D 1 · VIL 3

RAY VS VIL
2-0
HOME WIN
May 17, 2026
VIL VS RAY
4-0
HOME WIN
Nov 1, 2025
RAY VS VIL
0-1
AWAY WIN
Feb 22, 2025
VIL VS RAY
1-1
DRAW
Dec 18, 2024
VIL VS RAY
3-0
HOME WIN
Apr 28, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Rayo Vallecano, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Rayo Vallecano
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Villarreal
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Rayo Vallecano is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Villarreal win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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Push alerts the moment models finalize.

Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.