MEX 2-1 SOU · 60% SOU 1-1 CZE · 56% CAN 1-0 BOS · 58% USA 1-0 PAR · 61% QAT 0-1 SWI · 60% BRA 2-1 MOR · 59% HAI 1-2 SCO · 61% AUS 1-1 TüR · 57% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% MEX 2-1 SOU · 60% SOU 1-1 CZE · 56% CAN 1-0 BOS · 58% USA 1-0 PAR · 61% QAT 0-1 SWI · 60% BRA 2-1 MOR · 59% HAI 1-2 SCO · 61% AUS 1-1 TüR · 57% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61%
La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 17, 2026 · 17:00 · UTC Reale Arena, San Sebastian Match Finished · 90'

Real Sociedad
vs
Valencia.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Real Sociedad (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 61% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Real Sociedad win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Valencia win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
Real Sociedad win
2–0
68%
Real Sociedad's strong home form and recent head-to-head advantage suggest a win over Valencia at Anoeta.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Real Sociedad win
1–0
52%
Real Sociedad won 3 of last 5 H2H, mostly 1-0 margins at Anoeta; late-season fixture with Valencia's defensive vulnerability away from home supports a narrow home win.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Real Sociedad win
1–0
60%
Real Sociedad have a strong home record against Valencia, winning the last two meetings at Anoeta without conceding. A tight, low-scoring affair is likely given their historical matchups.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Real Sociedad win
1–0
62%
Recent H2H favors Real Sociedad at Anoeta; both teams defensively solid, but home side more likely to nick a narrow win.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Real Sociedad win
1–0
65%
Real Sociedad’s strong home form and recent H2H dominance suggest a narrow win.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
Real Sociedad win
1–0
60%
Home advantage and recent form favor Real Sociedad; Valencia's away record is weaker.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Real Sociedad win
2–1
62%
Real Sociedad's stronger recent form and home advantage at Anoeta give them a slight edge; Valencia's struggles to score away from home also a factor.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Real Sociedad win
1–0
55%
Real Sociedad's home advantage at Anoeta and historical clean sheets against Valencia in H2H favor a narrow, low-scoring home win.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Real Sociedad win
1–0
62%
Recent head-to-heads show tight, low-scoring affairs. Real Sociedad's home advantage and stronger recent form should be enough for a narrow win.
10
Grok 4.3
Real Sociedad win
1–0
60%
Real Sociedad's strong home record at Anoeta and historical edge over Valencia suggest a narrow victory.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    8 models
  • 2–0
    1 model
  • 2–1
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Real Sociedad vs Valencia in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Real Sociedad win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Real Sociedad vs Valencia, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Real Sociedad

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 61% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 0.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Valencia win · AI Real Sociedad win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Real Sociedad
#10 · 46 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
D L D D L
7 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Espanyol 1-1 D
  • Valencia 3-4 L
  • Girona 1-1 D
  • Real Betis 2-2 D
  • Sevilla 1-0 L
Team news
Jon Gorrotxategi — Injured Doubtful Rupérez — Jumpers knee Y. Herrera — Hamstring Injury O. Oskarsson — Thigh Injury I. Ruperez — Knee Injury A. Elustondo — Contusion J. Martin — International duty L. Beitia — Injury T. Kubo — Ankle Injury A. Lebarbier — Injury U. Sadiq — Coach's decision J. Karrikaburu — Muscle Injury
Valencia
#9 · 49 PTS · GD -9
Last 5
W W D W L
9 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Barcelona 3-1 W
  • Real Sociedad 3-4 W
  • Rayo Vallecano 1-1 D
  • Athletic Club 0-1 W
  • Atletico Madrid 0-2 L
Team news
Alberto Mari — injured André Almeida — Sprained ankle F. Ugrinic — Contusion Thierry Correia — Jumpers knee M. Diakhaby — Hamstring Injury D. Foulquier — Injury L. Ramazani — Muscle Injury E. Comert — Injury L. Rioja — Illness C. Tarrega — Yellow Cards S. Dimitrievski — Groin Injury J. Agirrezabala — Muscle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

REA 2 · D 1 · VAL 2

REA VS VAL
3-4
AWAY WIN
May 17, 2026
VAL VS REA
1-1
DRAW
Aug 16, 2025
VAL VS REA
1-0
HOME WIN
Jan 19, 2025
REA VS VAL
3-0
HOME WIN
Sep 28, 2024
REA VS VAL
1-0
HOME WIN
May 16, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Real Sociedad, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Real Sociedad
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Valencia
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Real Sociedad is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Real Sociedad win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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Push alerts the moment models finalize.

Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.