AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Liga MX · Apertura - 13 Oct 22, 2026 · 01:00 · UTC Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Match Finished · 90'

Puebla
vs
Monterrey.

Quick answer

Who will win Puebla vs Monterrey?

Final score: Puebla 1–4 Monterrey. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Monterrey to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Puebla form Monterrey form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Monterrey (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Liga MX table Where Puebla and Monterrey stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Puebla win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Monterrey win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Monterrey win
1–2
56%
Monterrey’s stronger scoring record, Ocampos-Rossi production and five-match form edge outweigh Puebla’s home advantage. Recent head-to-heads also consistently favor Monterrey, though Puebla’s defensive record makes a narrow win more likely than a rout.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Monterrey win
1–2
47%
Monterrey's attack (Ocampos, Rossi) outscores Puebla's shaky defense historically, but Puebla's home form keeps this close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Monterrey win
1–2
55%
Puebla is winless in their last five, while Monterrey's attack led by Ocampos and Rossi has superior firepower and a strong recent head-to-head record against Puebla.
04
Grok 4.6
Monterrey win
1–2
42%
Puebla winless in last five (LDLDD) and weak H2H; Monterrey attack (Ocampos, Rossi) and DWLDW form travel better than Puebla’s 12-13 season output.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Monterrey win
1–2
47%
Monterrey have more attacking quality and better recent form, while Puebla are winless in five. H2H also favors Monterrey, though Puebla's home edge keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Monterrey win
1–2
42%
Monterrey dominates H2H (4W in last 5) and has superior attack (Ocampos, Rossi); Puebla winless in five but at home, likely to score once.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Monterrey win
1–2
60%
Monterrey stronger head-to-head and attack (Ocampos, Rossi); Puebla struggles to score, 3 clean sheets vs 2 for Monterrey.
08
Kimi K3
Monterrey win
1–2
58%
Monterrey have won four of the last five H2H meetings and possess superior attacking quality through Ocampos and Rossi. Puebla's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerability at home suggest a narrow away victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Monterrey win
1–2
55%
Monterrey unbeaten trend (DWLDW) with Ocampos and Rossi in form, plus four straight H2H wins over Puebla, who are winless in five (LDLDD) despite home venue.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Monterrey win
1–2
55%
Monterrey's attack (19 goals, Ocampos and Rossi producing) outguns Puebla's 12; H2H shows Rayados winning 4 of 5, and Puebla's winless run (LDDLD) offers little resistance despite home venue.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    10 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Puebla
Facundo Almada 66'
1–4
Monterrey
Diego Rossi 17'
Hugo Cuypers 31'
Lucas Ocampos 34'
Roberto de la Rosa 61'
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.20 / 3.80 / 1.80
Puebla Market 23% · AI 0%
Draw Market 24% · AI 0%
Monterrey Market 53% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Puebla vs Monterrey

Puebla

4-2-3-1
Gerardo Espinoza
29 E. Mustre
29 Mustre
25 H. Jurado
25 Jurado
10 M. Tomás
10 Tomás
27 B. Garnica
27 Garnica
16 A. Ramírez
16 Ramírez
24 A. Organista
24 Organista
7 F. Monárrez
7 Monárrez
4 J. Vargas
4 Vargas
5 F. Almada
5 Almada
12 I. Moreno
12 Moreno
28 R. Gutiérrez
28 Gutiérrez

Bench: E. Armenta, J. Díaz, L. Hernández, A. Herrera, I. Maestro Puch, O. Moreno, J. Pachuca, J. Rodríguez, Ó. Villa, Alvaro Burgos

Monterrey

4-2-3-1
M. Almeyda
99 H. Cuypers
99 Cuypers
7 L. Ocampos
7 Ocampos
9 D. Rossi
9 Rossi
18 Cesar Garza Cantu
18 Cantu
25 O. Pineda
25 Pineda
8 Óliver Torres
8 Torres
3 G. Arteaga
3 Arteaga
13 C. Salcedo
13 Salcedo
4 V. Guzmán
4 Guzmán
2 R. Chávez
2 Chávez
1 E. Andrada
1 Andrada

Bench: R. de la Rosa, J. Rodríguez, L. Reyes, L. Orellano, S. Medina, Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa, L. Cárdenas, J. Corona, F. Ambríz, A. Aceves

Season data

Liga MX numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Puebla

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-4-4
Goals
12-13
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
4
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Monterrey

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
5-2-4
Goals
19-16
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Puebla

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Monterrey

  • L. Ocampos 5 G · 2 A · 9 apps
  • D. Rossi 4 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · Liga MX

  1. 1 S. Rondón CF Pachuca 13
  2. 2 Juninho U.N.A.M. - Pumas 8
  3. 3 J. Brunetta Tigres UANL 7
  4. 4 J. Carranza Necaxa 7
  5. 5 H. Martín Club America 7
Venue Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Referee Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
New at Puebla H. Jurado (Cercle Brugge), E. Armenta (Club Queretaro), J. Díaz (Mazatlán)
New at Monterrey A. De Nigris (Monterrey U21), S. Lomelin (Monterrey), H. Cuypers (Chicago Fire)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Monterrey

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 2.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Monterrey win · AI Monterrey win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Puebla
#12 · 16 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
L D D L L
2 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Monterrey 1-4 L
  • Club Tijuana 0-0 D
  • Leon 1-1 D
  • Tigres UANL 1-0 L
  • Toluca 0-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Monterrey
#8 · 17 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W W D L W
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Puebla 1-4 W
  • CF Pachuca 2-1 W
  • Club America 1-1 D
  • Atlante FC 4-2 L
  • Cruz Azul 1-0 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

PUE 0 · D 1 · MON 4

MON VS PUE
2-1
HOME WIN
Apr 22, 2026
PUE VS MON
2-4
AWAY WIN
Aug 30, 2025
MON VS PUE
1-1
DRAW
Jan 13, 2025
PUE VS MON
1-2
AWAY WIN
Aug 17, 2024
MON VS PUE
2-0
HOME WIN
Jan 14, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Puebla, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Liga MX games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Puebla
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Monterrey
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Puebla is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Monterrey win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Puebla vs Monterrey in Liga MX? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Monterrey win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Puebla vs Monterrey, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.