AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Liga MX · Apertura - 13 Oct 21, 2026 · 00:07 · UTC Estadio Akron, Guadalajara Match Finished · 90'

Guadalajara Chivas
vs
Necaxa.

Quick answer

Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?

Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Guadalajara Chivas to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Guadalajara Chivas form Necaxa form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Guadalajara Chivas (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–0 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Liga MX table Where Guadalajara Chivas and Necaxa stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Guadalajara Chivas win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Necaxa win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Guadalajara Chivas win
1–0
62%
Chivas are unbeaten in 12 league matches with a strong 19-12 record, while Necaxa are 2-3-7 and have conceded 25. At Estadio Akron, Chivas' defensive edge points to a narrow, low-scoring win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–0
58%
Chivas solid at home with decent defense (4 clean sheets) while Necaxa are winless in five and have conceded 25 goals; home edge clear.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–0
62%
Necaxa are winless in five matches and have conceded 25 goals in 12 games without a clean sheet, while Chivas are solid at Estadio Akron.
04
Grok 4.6
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–1
52%
Chivas are clearly stronger (5-5-2 vs 2-3-7) at Akron; Necaxa have no clean sheets and Carranza can still score, so a 2-1 home win fits better than a shutout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–0
58%
Chivas are strong at home with 4 clean sheets and solid form, while Necaxa have lost five straight and conceded in every match. Necaxa's poor defense makes a home win with a clean sheet likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–0
55%
Chivas solid at home with 4 clean sheets; Necaxa in dire form (LLL DL), 0 clean sheets all season, and leaking over 2 goals per game.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–1
62%
Chivas stronger form (5W 5D 2L), home venue, Necaxa leaky defense (25 conceded). H2H mixed but recent home win 3-1.
08
Kimi K3
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–0
58%
Chivas solid at home with 4 clean sheets; Necaxa leak 25 goals, zero clean sheets, and lost 4 of last 5 away from home.
09
GLM 5.3
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–1
58%
Chivas unbeaten-heavy form at Akron versus Necaxa's 2W-7L, no clean sheets; Carranza should nick one, but Chivas' stronger attack edges it.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Guadalajara Chivas win
2–1
58%
Chivas' home form and Necaxa's leaky defense (25 conceded, no clean sheets) favor a home win, though Necaxa's late goals and Carranza keep it close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 2–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–0
    5 models
  • 2–1
    4 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Guadalajara Chivas
Agustin Oliveros 77' (og)
1–0
Necaxa
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.33 / 5.50 / 8.00
Guadalajara Chivas Market 71% · AI 100%
Draw Market 17% · AI 0%
Necaxa Market 12% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa

Guadalajara Chivas

3-4-2-1
G. Milito
17 R. Marín
17 Marín
10 E. Álvarez
10 Álvarez
25 R. Alvarado
25 Alvarado
182 L. Calderon
182 Calderon
33 J. Carrillo
33 Carrillo
28 R. González
28 González
37 R. Ledezma
37 Ledezma
16 L. Rey
16 Rey
3 D. Campillo
3 Campillo
23 D. Aguirre
23 Aguirre
1 J. Rangel
1 Rangel

Bench: J. Pérez, Óscar Whalley, H. Camberos, K. Castañeda, B. González, M. Gómez, J. Hernández, C. Hernandez, C. Inda, Santiago Sandoval

Necaxa

4-1-4-1
Juan Reynoso
90 J. Valencia
90 Valencia
10 J. Ruiz
10 Ruiz
8 L. Faravelli
8 Faravelli
6 D. Leyva
6 Leyva
99 M. Rodríguez
99 Rodríguez
14 M. Zaleta
14 Zaleta
15 D. Ochoa
15 Ochoa
3 A. Oliveros
3 Oliveros
5 Kaiky Naves
5 Naves
2 E. Martínez
2 Martínez
181
181 Orantes

Bench: C. Andrade, Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos, J. Carranza, R. Cortéz, M. Espíndola, R. Martínez, Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido, M. Pedroza, Owen de Jesús González Ojeda, C. Vargas

Season data

Liga MX numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Guadalajara Chivas

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
6-5-2
Goals
20-12
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Necaxa

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-3-8
Goals
15-26
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Guadalajara Chivas

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Necaxa

  • J. Carranza 7 G · 2 A · 11 apps

Top scorers · Liga MX

  1. 1 S. Rondón CF Pachuca 13
  2. 2 Juninho U.N.A.M. - Pumas 8
  3. 3 J. Brunetta Tigres UANL 7
  4. 4 J. Carranza Necaxa 7
  5. 5 H. Martín Club America 7
Venue Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
Referee Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce
New at Guadalajara Chivas A. Mozo (CF Pachuca), F. Barajas (Atletico San Luis), K. Castañeda (Club Tijuana)
New at Necaxa Owen de Jesús González Ojeda (Puebla), Kaiky Naves (Palmeiras), J. Valencia (Internacional de Bogota)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Guadalajara Chivas

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 0.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Guadalajara Chivas win · AI Guadalajara Chivas win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Guadalajara Chivas
#4 · 20 PTS · GD +7
Last 5
W D D L D
5 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Necaxa 1-0 W
  • Tigres UANL 1-1 D
  • Atlas 1-1 D
  • Club Queretaro 0-2 L
  • Club America 2-2 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Necaxa
#17 · 9 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
L L D L L
5 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 L
  • Atlas 0-2 L
  • CF Pachuca 3-3 D
  • Club America 2-4 L
  • Puebla 0-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

GUA 2 · D 1 · NEC 2

NEC VS GUA
0-0
DRAW
Apr 23, 2026
GUA VS NEC
3-1
HOME WIN
Sep 24, 2025
NEC VS GUA
3-2
HOME WIN
Jan 18, 2025
GUA VS NEC
3-2
HOME WIN
Oct 23, 2024
NEC VS GUA
1-0
HOME WIN
Feb 21, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Guadalajara Chivas, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Liga MX games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Guadalajara Chivas
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Necaxa
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Guadalajara Chivas is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Guadalajara Chivas win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa in Liga MX? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Guadalajara Chivas win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.