AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Liga MX · Apertura - 13 Oct 22, 2026 · 03:10 · UTC Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto Match Finished · 90'

CF Pachuca
vs
Cruz Azul.

Quick answer

Who will win CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?

Final score: CF Pachuca 1–2 Cruz Azul. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Cruz Azul to win (80%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → CF Pachuca form Cruz Azul form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Cruz Azul (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 48% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Liga MX table Where CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

CF Pachuca win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 20%

2 / 10 models

Cruz Azul win 80%

8 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Cruz Azul win
1–2
43%
Cruz Azul have the stronger season record and attack, while Pachuca’s recent WDLDL form is uneven. Pachuca’s home advantage and Rondón’s scoring threat keep this close, but Cruz Azul’s balanced chance creation gives them a narrow edge.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Cruz Azul win
1–2
48%
Cruz Azul's superior record (6W2D4L vs 3W4D5L) and better goal difference edge this; Rondón's threat keeps Pachuca competitive at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
44%
Pachuca rely heavily on Rondón's goals at Estadio Hidalgo, while Cruz Azul carry a stronger overall record but have shown inconsistent finishing lately.
04
Grok 4.6
Cruz Azul win
1–2
48%
Cruz Azul have a stronger Apertura record and more goals; Pachuca are mixed at home despite Rondón. Recent H2H splits, so a narrow away win fits better than a draw.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Cruz Azul win
1–2
48%
Cruz Azul have better form (6W vs 3W) and stronger attack (27 goals), while Pachuca sit mid-table with only one win in five. H2H is mixed but Cruz Azul's overall quality edges it.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Cruz Azul win
1–2
44%
Cruz Azul's superior season form (6W vs 3W) and creative depth edge it, though Rondón's 13 goals and Pachuca's late-scoring tendency keep them in it.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Pachuca's inconsistent form and Cruz Azul's balanced record suggest a tight, low-scoring draw at home.
08
Kimi K3
Cruz Azul win
1–2
52%
Cruz Azul's superior form (6W vs 3W) and stronger attack (27 goals) outweigh Pachuca's home venue; H2H shows competitive recent meetings with both teams scoring.
09
GLM 5.3
Cruz Azul win
1–2
48%
Cruz Azul's superior form (6W, 27 goals) outweighs Pachuca's home edge; Pachuca's WDLDL run is weak despite Rondón's goals, and H2H games are tight, low-margin affairs.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Cruz Azul win
1–2
42%
Cruz Azul sit higher with better form (WLDDW) and stronger scoring, while Pachuca struggle at home (WDLDL). Rondón keeps Pachuca dangerous, but Cruz Azul's attack should edge it at Estadio Hidalgo.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    8 models
  • 1–1
    2 models

Live match centre

Full-time
CF Pachuca
Francisco Venegas 20'
1–2
Cruz Azul
Gabriel Fernández 13'
Andrés Montaño 79' (pen)
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.00 / 3.60 / 2.25
CF Pachuca Market 32% · AI 0%
Draw Market 26% · AI 20%
Cruz Azul Market 42% · AI 80%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul

CF Pachuca

4-2-3-1
B. Mora
23 S. Rondón
23 Rondón
11 O. Idrissi
11 Idrissi
7 R. Pizarro
7 Pizarro
21 N. Vallejo
21 Vallejo
16 C. Rivera
16 Rivera
26 Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
26 Gutiérrez
15 F. Venegas
15 Venegas
32 P. Budib
32 Budib
4 Eduardo Bauermann
4 Bauermann
13 J. Berlanga
13 Berlanga
25 C. Moreno
25 Moreno

Bench: G. Álvarez, J. Eulogio, C. Hernandez, M. Isaís, Kenedy, S. Rodríguez, S. Santos, Ángel López Bustamante, Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso, A. Alcáraz

Cruz Azul

4-2-3-1
Joel Huiqui
21 G. Fernández
21 Fernández
19 C. Rodríguez
19 Rodríguez
8 A. Palavecino
8 Palavecino
12 A. Montes
12 Montes
6 É. Lira
6 Lira
16 J. Márquez
16 Márquez
3 O. Campos
3 Campos
33 G. Piovi
33 Piovi
17 A. García
17 García
2 A. Mozo
2 Mozo
1 A. Gudiño
1 Gudiño

Bench: J. Orozco, L. Romero, J. Calero, N. Ibáñez, A. Montaño, K. Mier, R. Gonzalez, C. Ebere, Ariel Castro Sevilla, C. Rotondi

Season data

Liga MX numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

CF Pachuca

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-4-5
Goals
19-16
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Cruz Azul

5-3-2
W-D-L
6-2-4
Goals
27-21
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
2
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · CF Pachuca

  • S. Rondón 13 G · 0 A · 12 apps
  • O. Idrissi 1 G · 3 A · 12 apps
  • N. Vallejo 0 G · 3 A · 12 apps

Key players · Cruz Azul

  • J. Paradela 2 G · 5 A · 10 apps
  • N. Ibáñez 4 G · 2 A · 12 apps
  • C. Rodríguez 1 G · 5 A · 12 apps

Top scorers · Liga MX

  1. 1 S. Rondón CF Pachuca 13
  2. 2 Juninho U.N.A.M. - Pumas 8
  3. 3 J. Brunetta Tigres UANL 7
  4. 4 J. Carranza Necaxa 7
  5. 5 H. Martín Club America 7
Venue Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Referee Daniel Quintero Huitron
New at CF Pachuca I. Zavala (CF Pachuca), S. Santos (Leon), A. Arroyo (Fortaleza FC)
New at Cruz Azul R. Orquin (Club America), A. Mozo (Guadalajara Chivas), R. Rodríguez (Mazatlán)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Cruz Azul

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 48% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 1.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Cruz Azul win · AI Cruz Azul win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

CF Pachuca
#14 · 13 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
L L D L D
7 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Cruz Azul 1-2 L
  • Monterrey 2-1 L
  • Necaxa 3-3 D
  • Santos Laguna 1-0 L
  • Club Tijuana 2-2 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Cruz Azul
#5 · 20 PTS · GD +6
Last 5
W W D D L
13 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • CF Pachuca 1-2 W
  • FC Juarez 5-0 W
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 D
  • Toluca 3-3 D
  • Monterrey 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CFP 2 · D 0 · CRU 3

CRU VS CFP
1-2
AWAY WIN
Apr 5, 2026
CFP VS CRU
0-1
AWAY WIN
Sep 13, 2025
CRU VS CFP
2-1
HOME WIN
Feb 9, 2025
CFP VS CRU
2-4
AWAY WIN
Sep 29, 2024
CRU VS CFP
0-1
AWAY WIN
Jan 14, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with CF Pachuca, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 20% — tight Liga MX games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

CF Pachuca
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~20%
implied lean
Cruz Azul
~80%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When CF Pachuca is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Cruz Azul win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul in Liga MX? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Cruz Azul win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 20% / 80% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.