AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 Oct 22, 2026 · 19:00 · UTC Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom Not Started

Lillestrom
vs
Real Sociedad.

Quick answer

Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

9 of 10 AI models pick Real Sociedad to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 0–2 at 57% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Lillestrom form Real Sociedad form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Real Sociedad (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–2 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Lillestrom and Real Sociedad stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Lillestrom win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Real Sociedad win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Real Sociedad win
0–2
64%
Real Sociedad bring a substantial technical and European-level quality advantage over Lillestrom, while the Norwegian venue offers some resistance. With no form or head-to-head data supplied, a controlled away win is more plausible than a high-scoring result.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Real Sociedad win
1–2
58%
Real Sociedad have clearly stronger squad depth and European experience; Lillestrom likely competitive at home but class gap favors away win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Real Sociedad win
0–2
68%
Real Sociedad possess vastly superior individual quality and European pedigree compared to Lillestrom, likely controlling possession and securing a comfortable clean-sheet victory.
04
Grok 4.6
Real Sociedad win
0–1
42%
Real Sociedad are a clear class above Lillestrom in Europa League. Home compactness points to a tight, low-scoring away win rather than a rout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Real Sociedad win
0–2
62%
Real Sociedad's superior European pedigree and squad depth should control a Lillestrom side stepping up in class; expect a controlled away win with a clean sheet.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Real Sociedad win
0–2
48%
Real Sociedad's La Liga quality far exceeds Lillestrom's Norwegian level; expect controlled away win with clean sheet despite Europa League rotation.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Real Sociedad win
0–2
68%
Real Sociedad's superior squad depth and European experience likely overpowers Lillestrom at home.
08
Kimi K3
Real Sociedad win
0–2
62%
Real Sociedad's La Liga quality and European experience should overwhelm Lillestrom's weaker Norwegian squad. Spanish sides typically control possession and secure clean sheets against lower-league opposition in Europa League fixtures.
09
GLM 5.3
Real Sociedad win
0–1
52%
Real Sociedad's technical control should edge a Norwegian side at home, but Lillestrom's compact defense keeps it tight; no H2H data, so modest confidence.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Lillestrom unbeaten in two of four in Europe but blunt; Sociedad winless with two away absences at full-back. Åråsen edge offsets La Liga quality, pointing to a tight draw with late Lillestrom goal threat.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 0–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–2
    6 models
  • 0–1
    2 models
  • 1–1
    1 model
  • 1–2
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 6.00 / 4.50 / 1.50
Lillestrom Market 16% · AI 0%
Draw Market 21% · AI 10%
Real Sociedad Market 63% · AI 90%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Lillestrom

4-3-3 · XI v Sandefjord, 18 Oct
Hans Odegaard
17 E. Kitolano
17 Kitolano
10 T. Olsen
10 Olsen
20 Felix Va
20 Va
16 H. Melland
16 Melland
21 F. Ottosson
21 Ottosson
29 Y. Ibrahimaj
29 Ibrahimaj
11 F. Elkaer
11 Elkaer
47 S. Kristiansen
47 Kristiansen
5 S. Foss
5 Foss
3 S. Ottesen
3 Ottesen
12 P. Dahlberg
12 Dahlberg

Real Sociedad

4-4-2 · XI v Malaga, 18 Oct
P. Matarazzo
9 O. Óskarsson
9 Óskarsson
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
10 Oyarzabal
7 Barrenetxea
7 Barrenetxea
18 Carlos Soler
18 Soler
4 Jon Gorrotxategi
4 Gorrotxategi
14 T. Kubo
14 Kubo
3 Aihen Muñoz
3 Muñoz
19 M. Sarr
19 Sarr
6 Jon Martín
6 Martín
22 Héctor Fort
22 Fort
1 Álex Remiro
1 Remiro

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Lillestrom

4-3-3
W-D-L
1-2-1
Goals
4-4
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Real Sociedad

4-4-2
W-D-L
0-1-1
Goals
2-3
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
0
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Lillestrom

  • T. Lehne Olsen 2 G · 0 A · 3 apps

Key players · Real Sociedad

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
  4. 4 Oh Hyeon-Gyu Beşiktaş 2
  5. 5 M. van Buren Hradec Králové 2
Venue Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
Referee Mohammad Al-Emara
New at Lillestrom F. Ottosson (IFK Goteborg), D. Bassi (Bodo/Glimt), H. Melland (Aalesund)
New at Real Sociedad Héctor Fort (Barcelona), M. Sarr (Chelsea), K. Kita (Kyoto)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Real Sociedad

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.20 vs 1.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Lillestrom
#23 · 1 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
W D D W L
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sandefjord 0-2 W
  • Sparta Praha 1-1 D
  • Molde 2-2 D
  • Bærum 1-5 W
  • Viking 3-0 L
Team news
C. Jebara — Injury E. B. Garnas — Knee Injury
Real Sociedad
#22 · 1 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
W D W W L
13 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Malaga 2-5 W
  • Union St. Gilloise 1-1 D
  • Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 W
  • Valencia 2-3 W
  • Bournemouth 1-2 L
Team news
J. Aramburu — Leg Injury A. Odriozola — Knee Injury L. Beitia — Ankle Injury Y. Herrera — Calf Injury

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Lillestrom, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Lillestrom
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Real Sociedad
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Lillestrom is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Real Sociedad win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Real Sociedad win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.