AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 Oct 22, 2026 · 16:45 · UTC Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf Not Started

Union St. Gilloise
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Quick answer

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

9 of 10 AI models pick Union St. Gilloise to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 1–0 at 54% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Union St. Gilloise form Hapoel Beer Sheva form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Union St. Gilloise (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Union St. Gilloise win 90%

9 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Hapoel Beer Sheva win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Union St. Gilloise win
1–0
57%
Union St. Gilloise appear the stronger side on paper and retain a home-side advantage despite the neutral-feeling Heverlee venue. With no form or H2H data supplied, a tight 1-0 is the most defensible estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
56%
USG are European regulars with strong home-style form, while Hapoel typically struggle defensively against stronger continental sides.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
62%
Union St. Gilloise possess greater tactical organization and European quality at home against a Hapoel Beer Sheva side that often struggles offensively on travels.
04
Grok 4.6
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
52%
No H2H; Union SG are stronger at this UEL league-stage home night. Hapoel often struggle away in Europe, so a controlled 2-0 fits better than a shootout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
48%
Union St. Gilloise typically strong at Den Dreef in European ties, while Hapoel Beer Sheva can score but often concedes away. Home edge supports a narrow win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Union St. Gilloise win
1–0
55%
Union SG are the stronger side at home against a Hapoel Beer Sheva likely to sit deep; expect a controlled, low-scoring home win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Union’s home solidity vs Beer Sheva’s compact away form; Europa League parity often yields tight low-scoring draws.
08
Kimi K3
Union St. Gilloise win
1–0
52%
Union St. Gilloise's strong home record at Den Dreef and organized defense should edge Hapoel Beer Sheva, who struggle for goals away in Europe.
09
GLM 5.3
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
52%
No H2H data; Union St. Gilloise are strong at home in Europe and typically solid at Den Dreef, while Hapoel Beer Sheva can score away. Modest home lean, low confidence.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Union St. Gilloise win
1–0
52%
Union unbeaten in Europe (4-1 goals, one clean sheet) while Hapoel failed to score once; heavy Union absences temper edge, so a tight 1-0 fits better than a shootout.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 1–0. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 1–0
    4 models
  • 2–0
    3 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.33 / 5.50 / 7.50
Union St. Gilloise Market 70% · AI 90%
Draw Market 18% · AI 10%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Market 12% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Union St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-0
Goals
4-1
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-3-3
W-D-L
0-1-1
Goals
1-2
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
1
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
  4. 4 Oh Hyeon-Gyu Beşiktaş 2
  5. 5 M. van Buren Hradec Králové 2
Venue Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf
Referee Mikola Balakin
New at Union St. Gilloise D. Egel (FC Astoria Walldorf), D. Aquino (Lanus), Daniel Tshilanda (Sporting Hasselt)
New at Hapoel Beer Sheva A. Forson (Norwich), A. Ugarriza (Ironi Kiryat Shmona), I. Nachmias (Ludogorets)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Union St. Gilloise

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.50 vs 0.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Union St. Gilloise
#12 · 4 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W D D W W
10 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Nijlen 3-0 W
  • Real Sociedad 1-1 D
  • OH Leuven 1-1 D
  • Antwerp 0-2 W
  • Plzen 0-3 W
Team news
A. Ait El Hadj — Off the roster I. Hurtevent — Knock O. Kricfalusi — Knock K. Mac Allister — Knee Injury I. Pavlic — Off the roster R. Schoofs — Knock K. Rodriguez — Muscle Injury R. Sykes — Shoulder Injury A. Zorgane — Knock
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#25 · 1 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
W L W W D
6 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Hapoel Katamon 2-1 W
  • AZ Alkmaar 2-1 L
  • Ironi Tiberias 0-2 W
  • Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1-0 W
  • Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 D
Team news
D. Biton — Heart Problems Lucas Ventura — Muscle Injury I. Nachmias — Injury Y. Stoyanov — Off the roster Joao Victor — Inactive

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 90% of models side with Union St. Gilloise, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Union St. Gilloise
~90%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Hapoel Beer Sheva
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Union St. Gilloise is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Union St. Gilloise win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Union St. Gilloise win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.