AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 Oct 22, 2026 · 16:45 · UTC Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz Not Started

Sturm Graz
vs
Marseille.

Quick answer

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Marseille?

9 of 10 AI models pick Marseille to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 1–2 at 48% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Sturm Graz form Marseille form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Marseille (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 48% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Sturm Graz and Marseille stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Sturm Graz win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Marseille win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Marseille win
1–2
43%
Marseille’s greater squad depth and European experience give them a narrow edge, while Sturm Graz’s home advantage should keep the match competitive. With no form or H2H data supplied, confidence remains modest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Marseille win
1–2
48%
Marseille's squad depth and European experience edge Sturm Graz, though home crowd keeps it competitive and close-scoring.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Marseille win
1–2
52%
Marseille possess superior individual quality and attacking firepower in European competition, which should narrowly edge out a competitive Sturm Graz side playing at Merkur-Arena.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
42%
No H2H and thin form data. Graz’s Merkur-Arena edge offsets Marseille’s extra quality in UEL league stage; a tight, low-event 1-1 is the best single guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Marseille win
0–1
52%
Marseille's stronger squad depth and European experience edge a tight away match; Sturm Graz's compact home setup keeps it low-scoring.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Marseille win
1–2
38%
Marseille's superior squad quality should edge a tight affair; Sturm Graz likely compact at home but lack the firepower to trouble a disciplined French side.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Marseille win
0–1
62%
Marseille's higher European pedigree and attacking depth edge out Sturm Graz at home; tight game likely decided by a single away goal.
08
Kimi K3
Marseille win
1–2
52%
Marseille's Ligue 1 quality and European experience edge Sturm Graz, though Graz's home form in Europe keeps it competitive; expect Marseille to control and nick a tight away win.
09
GLM 5.3
Marseille win
1–2
48%
Marseille's superior squad depth should edge a tight league-stage game, but Sturm's Merkur-Arena home form keeps it close and low-scoring.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Marseille win
0–1
42%
Sturm Graz miss Weiper, Kiteishvili and several attackers, failing to score in both UEL games; Marseille's deeper squad, despite two losses, should edge a low-scoring contest in Graz.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    6 models
  • 0–1
    3 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.90 / 3.50 / 1.95
Sturm Graz Market 24% · AI 0%
Draw Market 27% · AI 10%
Marseille Market 49% · AI 90%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Sturm Graz vs Marseille

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Sturm Graz

3-4-2-1 · XI v Grazer AK, 18 Oct
F. Ingolitsch
14 O. Diakité
14 Diakité
78 V. Matoshi
78 Matoshi
19 S. Seidl
19 Seidl
27 L. Balbo
27 Balbo
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič
4 Stankovič
39 Luca Weinhandl
39 Weinhandl
28 J. Heil
28 Heil
30 P. Koller
30 Koller
2 J. Quarshie
2 Quarshie
23 A. Malic
23 Malic
Out
53 D. Khudyakov
53 Khudyakov

1 of this XI is ruled out of this match or no longer at the club.

Marseille

4-2-3-1 · XI v Angers, 18 Oct
Bruno Genesio
9 A. Gouiri
9 Gouiri
14 Igor Paixão
14 Paixão
8 H. Abdelli
8 Abdelli
77 A. Harit
77 Harit
6 T. Nnadi
6 Nnadi
42
42 Kamissoko
33 Emerson
33 Emerson
19 G. Kondogbia
19 Kondogbia
4 C. Egan-Riley
4 Egan-Riley
22 T. Weah
22 Weah
1 J. de Lange
1 Lange

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Sturm Graz

5-3-2
W-D-L
0-1-1
Goals
0-3
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Marseille

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
0-0-2
Goals
1-5
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
  4. 4 Oh Hyeon-Gyu Beşiktaş 2
  5. 5 M. van Buren Hradec Králové 2
Venue Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz
Referee Nenad Minakovic
New at Sturm Graz O. Diakité (Reims), J. Quarshie (Southampton), V. Matoshi (FC Thun)
New at Marseille H. Traorè (Bournemouth), F. Medina (Lens), T. Weah (Juventus)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Marseille

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 48% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.70 vs 1.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Sturm Graz
#26 · 1 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W L W W L
11 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Grazer AK 6-1 W
  • Bournemouth 3-0 L
  • Austria Vienna 0-2 W
  • Floridsdorfer AC 3-1 W
  • Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 L
Team news
N. Geyrhofer — Off the roster L. Grgic — Knee Injury S. Jatta — Shoulder Injury D. Khudyakov — Inactive O. Kiteishvili — Calf Injury G. Mamageishvili — Injury F. Rozga — Muscle Injury E. Soglo — Muscle Injury N. Weiper — Injury S. Wlodarczyk — Off the roster
Marseille
#32 · 0 PTS · GD -4
Last 5
W L W L L
9 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Angers 2-5 W
  • Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 L
  • Estac Troyes 0-2 W
  • Paris Saint Germain 1-2 L
  • Beşiktaş 4-1 L
Team news
D. Cornelius — Hip Injury A. Koum Mbondo — Inactive P. Hojbjerg — Muscle Injury F. Moumbagna — Inactive

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Sturm Graz, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Sturm Graz
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Marseille
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Sturm Graz is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Marseille win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Sturm Graz vs Marseille in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Marseille win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Sturm Graz vs Marseille, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.